Summary

Finland Renewable Gas From Waste Market Analysis

According to Mordor Intelligence, the finland renewable gas from waste market size is expected to grow from USD 0.32 billion in 2025 to USD 0.34 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 0.51 billion by 2031 at 8.45% CAGR over 2026-2031. This report is Segmented by Feedstock (Municipal Solid Waste, Food Waste, and More), by Technology (Anaerobic Digestion, Gasification, Pyrolysis, and More), by Gas Type (Biogas, Syngas, and More), by Application (Electricity Generation, Grid Injection, and More), and by Component (Gas Collection, Digesters & Fermentation, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Finland Renewable Gas From Waste Market Trends and Insights

Finland's Biogas Sector Vision Targeting 4 TWh Production by 2030 is Supporting Investment Activity

Finland’s 4 TWh biogas production target by 2030 remains one of the strongest signals of demand and capacity in the Finland renewable gas from waste market. The target was backed in 2024 through the Biokaasuvisio2030 declaration, which was signed by Bioenergia ry, MTK, and other sector bodies, giving the goal broader cross-industry support rather than leaving it as a narrow policy statement. The importance of this target exceeds its numerical value because it frames the next phase of plant construction, feedstock contracting, and grid or liquefaction investment across the value chain. Finland’s technical-economic production potential still stands at nearly 10 TWh per year, so the 2030 target does not signal saturation and instead points to a longer runway for the Finland renewable gas from waste market. This gap between current ambition and broader potential supports staged investment opportunities for producers, technology suppliers, and infrastructure operators through the rest of the decade.

Up to 50% State Investment Subsidies for Biogas Plant Construction Lowering Entry Barriers

State aid has become a major cost bridge for new projects in the Finland renewable gas from waste market. Between 2022 and 2024, the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment directed EUR 469 million (USD 551.7 million) in European Union Recovery and Resilience Facility energy aid to 77 clean energy projects, with a significant share tied to biogas plant construction. Individual awards have already reached EUR 26 million (USD 30.6 million) for Nivala Biokaasu, EUR 19.2 million (USD 22.6 million) for Suomen Lantakaasu’s Kiuruvesi facility, and EUR 28 million (USD 32.9 million) for Nordic Ren-Gas’s methanation demonstration project in Lahti. In June 2025, the Finnish Ministerial Finance Committee approved another EUR 49.5 million (USD 58.2 million) for three new demonstration projects, including EUR 11.6 million (USD 13.6 million) for Lännen Biokaasu’s liquefied biomethane plant in Kurikka. Beyond capacity expansion, subsidies are accelerating the commercialization of emerging technologies but also helping normalize first-of-their-kind technologies such as methanation, high-solids digestion, and integrated CO2 handling, which should improve replication economics in the Finland renewable gas from waste market.

Current Output of ~1 TWh Far Below 10 TWh Theoretical Production Potential

The Finland renewable gas from waste market remains supply-constrained. Finland produced 3,359 TJ of biogas in 2024, equivalent to 0.93 TWh, which was less than 10% of the country’s estimated 10 TWh technical-economic production potential. The feedstock mix is also shifting, with on-farm agricultural waste facilities increasing output by 14% in 2024 while landfill sites declined by 18% as older disposal assets lost gas-producing organic loads. This explains why new project announcements alone do not remove the bottleneck, because the timing gap between the project pipeline and producing assets still limits available domestic volumes. As a result, the Finland renewable gas from waste market is currently unable to capture all local value from rising demand and has had to rely on imports to fill the shortfall.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. European Union REPowerEU Biomethane Targets Aligning with and Reinforcing Finland's National Policy
2. Biomethane Inclusion in National Biofuel Blending Obligation Since 2022 Boosting Transport Demand
3. Geographically Dispersed Feedstock Raising Logistics Costs and Reducing Plant Profitability

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Agricultural residues accounted for 33.1% of the Finland renewable gas from waste market share in 2025, making them the largest feedstock base by value. This position reflects Finland’s large agricultural base and the policy focus on better use of manure and other farm side streams within domestic biogas expansion. The national energy strategy states that Finland has around 20 million tonnes of biogas-suitable feedstocks available each year, and a large share of that volume comes from agricultural sources, giving this segment a strong structural role in the Finland renewable gas from waste market. European Union sustainability rules also strengthen the position of waste-derived agricultural inputs, as they align with the compliance logic that supports premium treatment for low-carbon fuels and certified gas.

Municipal solid waste, sewage sludge, and industrial organic waste remain important to the Finland renewable gas from waste industry because they support established co-processing assets and wastewater-linked production. Co-processing plants produced 1,782 TJ of biogas in 2024, up 6% from the prior year, while wastewater treatment plants added 750 TJ, indicating that municipal and industrial waste streams remain a stable production base even as the investment narrative shifts toward agricultural expansion. Food waste is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 9.4% through 2031, driven by expanding separate collection obligations and circular economy measures that improve the consistency of incoming biowaste volumes. Landfill waste is moving in the opposite direction because Finland’s landfill diversion policies are reducing the amount of organic material sent to disposal sites, shrinking the long-term role of landfill gas and redirecting capital toward purpose-built digestion assets.

Anaerobic digestion accounted for 41.7% of the Finland renewable gas from waste market in 2025, keeping it clearly ahead of other technology pathways. Its leading position stems from extensive operating experience in municipal co-processing plants, farm digesters, and wastewater-linked facilities, all of which align with Finland’s dominant feedstock streams. The installed base also benefited from known upgrading routes and lower execution risk compared with less mature conversion routes. Doranova’s Vesilahti-Lempäälä Biopower project shows how this part of the Finland renewable gas from waste market is still improving in performance, with high-solids digestion and planned biogenic CO2 liquefaction extending revenue options beyond methane alone.

Gasification is projected to grow at 11.5% through 2031, making it the fastest-expanding technology segment. The main reason is that gasification opens access to woody residues and other materials that are less suitable for standard biological digestion, which matters in Finland because forestry side streams remain an important resource base. The Wood2Biogas project, piloted in Finland between 2022 and 2024, demonstrated the technical feasibility of combining gasification with digestion to produce biochar, broadening the use case for mixed residue systems. Landfill gas recovery is likely to keep losing ground as waste policy shifts away from disposal. At the same time, pyrolysis and upgrading systems continue to gain commercial attention as the Finland renewable gas from waste market moves toward grid-quality gas and higher-value transport use.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Feedstock
  • Municipal Solid Waste (MSW)
  • Agricultural Residues
  • Animal Manure
  • Industrial Organic Waste
  • Sewage Sludge
  • Food Waste
  • Others
• By Technology
  • Anaerobic Digestion
  • Landfill Gas Recovery
  • Gasification
  • Pyrolysis
  • Biogas Upgrading Systems
  • Others
• By Gas Type
  • Biogas
  • Biomethane / Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)
  • Syngas
• By Application
  • Electricity Generation
  • Combined Heat & Power (CHP)
  • Grid Injection
  • Transportation Fuel
  • Industrial Heating
  • Residential & Commercial Heating
  • Others
• By Component
  • Gas Collection Systems
  • Digesters & Fermentation Systems
  • Gas Processing & Upgrading Units
  • Compressors & Storage Systems
  • Power Generation Equipment
  • Monitoring & Control Systems
  • Others

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Gasum Oy
2. Suomen Lantakaasu Oy
3. Nordic Ren-Gas Oy
4. St1 Biokraft
5. Nevel Oy
6. BioKymppi Oy
7. Biolinja Oy
8. Ab Stormossen Oy
9. Ab Ekorosk Oy
10. Demeca Oy
11. Q Power Oy
12. Wega Group Oy
13. Doranova Oy
14. Nurmon Bioenergia Oy
15. Jeppo Biogas Ab
16. Envor Group Oy
17. Mustankorkea Oy
18. Kiertokaari Oy
19. Lakeuden Etappi Oy
20. Kymen Bioenergia Oy

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

ページTOPに戻る

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.2.1 Finland's Biogas Sector Vision Targeting 4 TWh Production by 2030 is Supporting Investment Activity
4.2.2 Up to 50% State Investment Subsidies for Biogas Plant Construction Lowering Entry Barriers
4.2.3 European Union REPowerEU Biomethane Targets Aligning with and Reinforcing Finland's National Policy
4.2.4 Biomethane Inclusion in National Biofuel Blending Obligation Since 2022 Boosting Transport Demand
4.2.5 Surging Liquefied Biogas (LBG) Demand in Heavy Road Transport and Maritime Shipping
4.2.6 86% Rise in Biogas Guarantee of Origin Imports in 2024 Signaling Strong Market Demand
4.3 Market Restraints
4.3.1 Current Output of ~1 TWh Far Below 10 TWh Theoretical Production Potential
4.3.2 Geographically Dispersed Feedstock Raising Logistics Costs and Reducing Plant Profitability
4.3.3 Unstable Policy Environment and Insufficient Long-Term Incentives Dampening Investor Confidence
4.3.4 Limited Biomethane Infrastructure and Grid Connectivity
4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Landscape
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 Porter's Five Forces
4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
4.7.5 Industry Rivalry
4.8 Digital Feedstock Management and Process Optimization Improving Renewable Gas Plant Efficiency
4.9 Organic Waste Diversion and Segregation Policies Supporting Feedstock Supply Growth
4.10 Impact of Geopolitical Events on the Market

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts
5.1 By Feedstock
5.1.1 Municipal Solid Waste (MSW)
5.1.2 Agricultural Residues
5.1.3 Animal Manure
5.1.4 Industrial Organic Waste
5.1.5 Sewage Sludge
5.1.6 Food Waste
5.1.7 Others
5.2 By Technology
5.2.1 Anaerobic Digestion
5.2.2 Landfill Gas Recovery
5.2.3 Gasification
5.2.4 Pyrolysis
5.2.5 Biogas Upgrading Systems
5.2.6 Others
5.3 By Gas Type
5.3.1 Biogas
5.3.2 Biomethane / Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)
5.3.3 Syngas
5.4 By Application
5.4.1 Electricity Generation
5.4.2 Combined Heat & Power (CHP)
5.4.3 Grid Injection
5.4.4 Transportation Fuel
5.4.5 Industrial Heating
5.4.6 Residential & Commercial Heating
5.4.7 Others
5.5 By Component
5.5.1 Gas Collection Systems
5.5.2 Digesters & Fermentation Systems
5.5.3 Gas Processing & Upgrading Units
5.5.4 Compressors & Storage Systems
5.5.5 Power Generation Equipment
5.5.6 Monitoring & Control Systems
5.5.7 Others

6 Competitive Landscape
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
6.4.1 Gasum Oy
6.4.2 Suomen Lantakaasu Oy
6.4.3 Nordic Ren-Gas Oy
6.4.4 St1 Biokraft
6.4.5 Nevel Oy
6.4.6 BioKymppi Oy
6.4.7 Biolinja Oy
6.4.8 Ab Stormossen Oy
6.4.9 Ab Ekorosk Oy
6.4.10 Demeca Oy
6.4.11 Q Power Oy
6.4.12 Wega Group Oy
6.4.13 Doranova Oy
6.4.14 Nurmon Bioenergia Oy
6.4.15 Jeppo Biogas Ab
6.4.16 Envor Group Oy
6.4.17 Mustankorkea Oy
6.4.18 Kiertokaari Oy
6.4.19 Lakeuden Etappi Oy
6.4.20 Kymen Bioenergia Oy

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook
7.1 White-Space & Unmet-Need Assessment