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5G技術、市場と予測 2020-2030年:5G技術と素材の革新、インフラストラクチャ、ユーザ向け機器、垂直市場とNB-IoT

5G Technology, Market and Forecasts 2020-2030

5G technology and materials innovations, infrastructure, user equipment, vertical applications and NB-IoT

 

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IDTechEx
アイディーテックエックス
2020年6月GBP4,650498

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サマリー

このレポートは世界の5G市場を調査し、無線技術や主要ネットワーク技術の進歩、用途別の事例研究を掲載しています。

Report Details

5G is considered one of the largest market opportunities in the coming years, with large scale roll-out of infrastructures and rapid adoption of 5G devices and services. 5G will not only accelerate the growth and expansion of telecom; it will also redefine and accelerate industries such as automotive, entertainment, computing, and manufacturing. With high throughput and low latency, 5G is the most promising technique to tackle the high-value areas including 3D robotic control, virtual reality monitoring and remote medical control. Those are the problems that today's technologies have not addressed yet. However, the enormous investment required to develop 5G and the unclear map of killer applications for 5G also put the future of 5G to test. This report provides a holistic view of 5G technologies and vertical applications, which are essential to understanding the 5G market opportunity.
 
Many characteristic benefits promised by 5G will operate at high frequency (above 26 GHz), i.e. mmWave 5G. Such high frequency requires new materials and different device design. On one hand, high frequency leads to more significant transmission loss, which offers opportunities for low-loss materials with small dielectric constant and small tan loss. Advanced packaging designs aim at reducing the signal loss by integrated passive components into the whole package. On the other hand, high frequency needs high power to drive and will generate more heat. Power amplifiers with higher power density and higher gain will be essential, as well as thermal management. We point out the unique niches for 5G materials and design and highlight the trends for technology innovations.
 
In this report, we provide an unbiased and complete view across different 5G segments, including:
 
  • Introduction to 5G with the main advancements
  • Technology innovations in 5G, both 5G new radio technologies and 5G core network
  • 5G networks and user equipment, including base station and antennas, 5G chipset and module, 5G smartphones, fixed wireless devices and more
  • Challenges and market opportunities for high-frequency 5G materials and components, i.e. mmWave 5G
  • 5G vertical applications with comprehensive case studies in healthcare, automotive, consumer devices, smart factory and smart city
  • Roadmap and implementation of 5G globally
  • The current state of narrow-band Internet of Things, which now is also included in 5G
 
This report identifies and analyses the critical trends in 5G in the following areas:
 
  • The base station architecture and the rise of small cells
  • Active antennas and beamforming ICs
  • Radiofrequency front-end modules components, such as high-frequency filter, power amplifiers, EMI shielding and optical transceivers
  • 5G thermal management for station and smartphone
  • Killing applications for 5G, such as AR&VR, fixed wireless access, healthcare, smart factory and autonomous driving
  • Three waves of 5G investment in the coming years
 
This report also includes comprehensive company profiles for more than 20 key global players from infrastructure suppliers to telecommunication operators.
 
This report also comes with a ten-year forecast for the 5G revenue and connection number based on five global regions (US, China, Korea & Japan, Europe and others), 5G infrastructure and 5G component & infrastructure. The 5G market is expected to be around $720 bn by 2030, mainly contributing from the mobile service, fixed wireless services and narrow-band IoT.
 
Overview of 5G market forecast
 

 



目次

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1. 5G, next generation cellular communications network
1.2. What can 5G offer: high speed, massive connection and low latency
1.3. Two types of 5G: Sub-6 GHz and high frequency
1.4. Sub-6 GHz will be the first option for most operators
1.5. 5G is live globally
1.6. 5G for consumers overview
1.7. 5G market forecast for services 2018-2030
1.8. 5G Capex 2020-2025
1.9. Global trends and new opportunities in 5G
1.10. 5G new radio technologies
1.11. 5G core network technologies
1.12. 5G base station types
1.13. Evolution of the cellular base station: overview
1.14. Trends in 5G network: easier for carriers to deploy
1.15. 5G infrastructure: Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Samsung
1.16. Global market share of 5G base station shipment in 2019
1.17. Competition landscape for key 5G infrastructure vendors
1.18. Trends in 5G: small cells will see a rapid growth
1.19. 5G station number forecast (2020-2030) by region
1.20. 5G station instalment forecast (2020-2030) by type of cell (macro, micro, pico/femto)
1.21. Trends in 5G antennas: active antennas and massive MIMO
1.22. Structure of massive MIMO system
1.23. Key challenges for massive MIMO deployment
1.24. Main suppliers of 5G active antennas unit (AAU)
1.25. Global market share and historic shipment of base station antennas and active antennas
1.26. Top infrastructure venders are now equipped with antennas capabilities
1.27. 5G System on chip global market share 2019
1.28. List of 5G modems and SoC
1.29. 5G user equipment landscape
1.30. 5G smartphones vendors and devices
1.31. 5G mobile shipment units 2018-2030
1.32. Market overview of the 5G CPE
1.33. Shipment of customer promised equipment and hotspots by units 2018-2030
1.34. Overview of challenges, trends and innovations for high frequency 5G
1.35. Dielectric constant: benchmarking different substrate technologies
1.36. Loss tangent: benchmarking different substrate technologies
1.37. Moisture uptake: benchmarking different substrate technologies
1.38. Radio frequency front end module (RF FEM)
1.39. Power amplifier and beamforming component forecast
1.40. Filter technologies that can work at mmWave 5G and which one will be the future
1.41. Benchmarking different transmission lines filters
1.42. The choice of the semiconductor technology for power amplifiers
1.43. Key semiconductor properties
1.44. Summary of RF GaN Suppliers
1.45. Semiconductor choice forecast
1.46. Semiconductor forecast (2020-2030) for power amplifiers (GaN, LDMOS, SiGe/Si) by die area
1.47. What is Electromagnetic interference shielding and why it matters to 5G
1.48. Challenges and key trends for EMI shielding for 5G devices
1.49. Optical devices key players and their market share
1.50. Optical transceiver module supply chain and key players
1.51. TIM considerations
1.52. Properties of Thermal Interface Materials
1.53. Total TIM forecast for 5G stations
1.54. 5G now incorporates NB-IoT and LTE-M
1.55. Global deployment of NB-IoT and LTE-M
1.56. Key players
1.57. Overview of the 5G forecast
2. INTRODUCTION TO 5G
2.1. 5G, next generation cellular communications network
2.2. Evolution of mobile communications
2.3. What can 5G offer: high speed, massive connection and low latency
2.4. 5G is suitable for vertical applications
2.5. 5G for consumers overview
2.6. Two types of 5G: Sub-6 GHz and high frequency
2.7. Sub-6 GHz will be the first option for most operators
2.8. Why does 5G have lower latency radio transmissions
2.9. 5G is built on LTE (4G) technology
2.10. The main technique innovations
2.11. 5G supply chain
2.12. Two waves of 5G
2.13. First wave of 5G smartphones
2.14. Fixed wireless access to 5G / customer-premises equipment (CPE)
2.15. 5G investments at three stages
2.16. Capex spend for 5G infrastructure
2.17. Case study: expected 5G investment for infrastructure in China
2.18. Key players in 5G technologies
2.19. 5G patents by countries
2.20. 5G patents by companies
2.21. 5G is live globally
2.22. Charge for 5G service
2.23. 5G Capex 2020-2025
2.24. Global trends and new opportunities in 5G
3. 5G TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONS
3.1. End-to-end technology overview
3.2. 5G new radio technologies
3.3. Large number of antennas: massive MIMO
3.4. Massive MIMO enables advanced beam forming
3.5. Massive MIMO challenges and possible solutions
3.6. Massive MIMO requires active antennas
3.7. High frequency communication: mmWave
3.8. New multiple access methods: Non-orthogonal multiple-access techniques (NOMA)
3.9. Advanced waveforms and channel coding
3.10. Comparison of Turbo, LDPC and Polar code
3.11. Ultra dense network
3.12. Challenges for UDN
3.13. 5G core network technologies
3.14. Comparison of 4G core and 5G core
3.15. Service based architecture (SBA)
3.16. Edge-computing
3.17. Network slicing
3.18. Spectrum sharing
4. 5G INFRASTRUCTURE AND USER EQUIPMENT
4.1. Base station
4.1.1. 5G base station types
4.1.2. Evolution of the cellular base station: overview
4.1.3. Trends in 5G: base station architecture
4.1.4. Architecture of macro cell
4.1.5. Key challenges for 5G macro cell
4.1.6. Trends in 5G network: easier for carriers to deploy
4.1.7. 5G infrastructure: Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Samsung
4.1.8. Global market share of 5G base station shipment in 2019
4.1.9. Competition landscape for key 5G infrastructure vendors
4.1.10. 5G contracts landscape for key 5G infrastructure vendors
4.1.11. Trends in 5G: small cells will see a rapid growth
4.1.12. Case study: Ericsson 5G radio dot
4.1.13. Case study: Ericsson rural coverage solutions
4.2. Active antennas and beam forming ICs
4.2.1. What are active antennas
4.2.2. Trends in 5G antennas: active antennas and massive MIMO
4.2.3. Antenna array architectures for beam forming
4.2.4. Approach to beam forming
4.2.5. Structure of massive MIMO system
4.2.6. Key challenges for massive MIMO deployment
4.2.7. LTE antenna tear down
4.2.8. Active antennas design: planar vs non-planar
4.2.9. 5G base station teardown
4.2.10. Sub-6 GHz antenna teardown
4.2.11. mmWave antenna teardown
4.2.12. 28GHz all-silicon 64 dual polarized antenna
4.2.13. IDT (Renesas) has a strong position in beam-forming ICs
4.2.14. IDT (Renesas) 28Ghz 2x2 4-channel SiGe beamforming IC
4.2.15. Anokiwave: Tx/Rx 4-element 3GPP 5G band all in silicon
4.2.16. Anokiwave: 256-element all-silicon array
4.2.17. Sivers IMA: dual-quad 5G dual-polarized beam forming IC
4.2.18. Analog: a 16-channel dual polarized beam-forming IC?
4.2.19. NEC's new antenna technology
4.2.20. Case study: Ericsson antenna systems for 5G
4.2.21. Main suppliers of 5G active antennas unit (AAU) (1)
4.2.22. Case study: NEC 5G Radio Unit
4.2.23. Case study: Nokia AirScale mMIMO Adaptive Antenna
4.2.24. Case study: Samsung 5G Access solution for SK telecom
4.2.25. Global market share and historic shipment of base station antennas and active antennas
4.2.26. Top infrastructure venders are now equipped with antenna capabilities
4.2.27. 5G antennas for smartphone
4.3. Chipsets and modules
4.3.1. 5G Chipsets
4.3.2. System on chip global market share 2019
4.3.3. Landscape of different types of chipsets
4.3.4. Examples: 5G chipset and module
4.3.5. List of 5G modems and SoC
4.3.6. List of 5G modules
4.3.7. Case study: MediaTek 5G Modem Helio M70
4.3.8. Case study: Huawei 5G modem Balong 5000
4.3.9. Case study: Qualcomm 5G modem Snapdragon X55
4.3.10. Case study: Qualcomm Snapdragon 855 SoC
4.3.11. Case study: Qualcomm small cell 5G platform (FSM 100xx)
4.4. User equipment
4.4.1. 5G user equipment landscape
4.4.2. 5G smartphone overview
4.4.3. 5G smartphones vendors and devices
4.4.4. 5G mobile shipment units 2018-2030
4.4.5. 2019 shipment of smartphone by venders
4.4.6. Case study: Huawei Mate X 5G smartphone
4.4.7. Case study: ZTE Axon 10 Pro 5G smartphone
4.4.8. Case study: Motorola 5G mod Moto5G smartphone
4.4.9. Case study: Samsung Galaxy S10 5G smartphone
4.4.10. Market overview of the 5G CPE
4.4.11. List of 5G CPE and Hotspot
4.4.12. Shipment of customer promised equipment and hotspots by units 2018-2030
4.4.13. 5G fixed wireless devices
4.4.14. Case study: Huawei CPE Pro
4.4.15. Case study: Nokia FastMile 5G Gateway
5. CHALLENGES FOR MMWAVE 5G MATERIALS AND COMPONENTS
5.1. Low-loss materials for 5G
5.1.1. Overview of the high level requirements for high frequency operation
5.1.2. Dielectric constant: benchmarking different substrate technologies
5.1.3. Effect of low dielectric constant (I): feature sizes
5.1.4. Effect of low dielectric constant (II): thinness
5.1.5. Loss tangent: benchmarking different substrate technologies
5.1.6. Loss tangent: stability vs frequency for different substrates
5.1.7. Dielectric constant and loss tangent stability: behaviour at mmWave frequencies and higher
5.1.8. Temperature stability of dielectric constant: benchmarking organic substrates
5.1.9. Moisture uptake: benchmarking different substrate technologies
5.2. Radio frequency (RF) Front-end module and optical components
5.2.1. Trend in 5G: Radio Frequency devices moves to new materials and technologies
5.2.2. Radio frequency front end module (RF FEM)
5.2.3. Density of components in RFFE
5.2.4. RF module design architecture
5.2.5. Trend in 5G: antennas integrated with mmWave RFFE
5.2.6. Key players for RF FEM (smartphone) by the component types
5.2.7. RF FEM suppliers for LTE-advanced smartphone
5.2.8. Case study: Qorvo's GaN RF FEMs for mmWave
5.2.9. Case study: Qualcomm 5G NR Modem-to-Antenna module
5.2.10. Case study: MediaTek RFFE solution for 5G NR sub-6 GHz
5.2.11. Optical devices key players and their market share
5.2.12. Optical transceiver module supply chain and key players
5.2.13. Case study: SK Telecom 5G 5G-PON to reduce the use of fiber
5.3. mmWave 5G filters
5.3.1. Filter technologies that can work at mmWave 5G and which one will be the future
5.3.2. Challenge and requirements for filters to work at mmWave 5G
5.3.3. SAW and BAW filters are incumbent techno

 

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