Summary

Philippines: telecoms market forecasts 2026–2031

07 October 2026 | Research

"The availability of low-cost prepaid fibre plans will encourage the adoption of fixed broadband services in medium- and low-income households."
Analysys Mason provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the telecoms market in emerging Asia–Pacific. This report focuses on operators’ core telecoms services in the Philippines. 

This report and the associated data provide:
    a 5-year forecast of mobile and fixed KPIs for the Philippines
    an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service
    an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics
    a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage
Region modelled:Emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP)
Country modelled individually: Philippines

Key performance indicators
Connections
    Mobile:
        total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
        handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
        mobile broadband
        total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
        business, residential
        total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
        IoT
        penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT
    Fixed:
        voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
        broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
        business, residential
        dedicated connections
        penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)
    Pay TV
        operator, traditional
        business, residential

Traffic
    Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
    Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics
    GDP
    Population
    Households
    Business sites
    Exchange rates

Service revenue
    Mobile:
        total
        share of GDP
        per capita per month
        residential, business
        prepaid, contract, prepaid share
        2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
    Fixed:
        total (retail plus wholesale)
        share of GDP
        per capita per month
 
Retail revenue
    Mobile:
        total
        share of GDP
        per capita per month
        business, residential
        per GB
        2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
        voice, voice per minute
        data, data per GB 
        handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
        mobile broadband
        IoT connectivity
    Fixed:
        total
        share of GDP
        per capita per month
        business, residential
        voice: narrowband, VoBB
        dedicated connections
        broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue
    ICT services
    Pay TV
        operator, traditional
        business, residential 

Wholesale revenue
    Mobile
    Fixed 

ASPU
    Mobile:
        total
        voice
        data
        mobile broadband
        IoT
        handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
        business, residential
    Fixed:
        voice
        broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
        business, residential

ARPU
    Mobile:
        total
        prepaid, contract
        business, residential
        2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

tag>Forecast report | PPTX and PDF | Emerging Asia–Pacific Metrics and Forecasts