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> Raw Almonds Market Outlook 2026-2034: Market Share, and Growth Analysis By Product (Pieces, Paste, Flour, Milk, Others), By Application (Snacks and Bars, Milk Substitutes and Ice Creams, Bakery and Confectionery, Nut and Seed Butters, RTE Cereals, Others)
Raw Almonds Market Outlook 2026-2034: Market Share, and Growth Analysis By Product (Pieces, Paste, Flour, Milk, Others), By Application (Snacks and Bars, Milk Substitutes and Ice Creams, Bakery and Confectionery, Nut and Seed Butters, RTE Cereals, Others)
The Raw Almonds Market is valued at USD 10.09 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10% to reach USD 23.79 billion by 2034. Raw Almonds Market The Raw Almonds Market spans in-shel... もっと見る
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Summary The Raw Almonds Market is valued at USD 10.09 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10% to reach USD 23.79 billion by 2034. Raw Almonds MarketThe Raw Almonds Market spans in-shell and shelled sweet almonds sold as whole, diced, meal, and flour, positioned across retail snacking, bakery, confectionery, dairy-alternative bases, nut butters, and foodservice. Supply is anchored by large, export-oriented origins with varietals such as Nonpareil, Carmel-type, Butte/Padre, and Spanish/Italian pollinators; value creation hinges on kernel appearance, size, chip/scratch tolerance, moisture control, and tight food-safety systems. Water availability, pollination efficacy, and heat/frost risks shape yields and grade mix, while alternate bearing and orchard age profiles influence medium-term supply elasticity. Handlers differentiate through optical sorting, gentle conveyance, allergen segregation, and steam/PP pasteurization that preserves “raw” labeling interpretations where permitted. Demand is buoyed by protein-dense, clean-label snacking, low-carb/keto adoption, and plant-forward reformulations, with private label and club formats expanding penetration. Regulatory drivers include aflatoxin controls, pesticide MRLs, organic certification, and import documentation, alongside evolving definitions of “raw” and accepted lethality steps. Trade flows track tariff regimes, currency swings, and container availability; festivals and gifting cycles add seasonality in key import markets. Sustainability narratives center on micro-irrigation, orchard water budgets, bee-friendly practices, by-product valorization (hulls/shells), and carbon accounting from orchard establishment to handling. As brands tighten specifications, the winners combine reliable grade availability, validated food safety, and responsive pack formats with storytelling on origin, pollinator health, and water stewardship - while managing cost-to-serve through efficient conditioning, inventory rotation, and multi-market routing. Raw Almonds Market Key Insights• Supply fundamentals: orchards, water, and pollination
Orchard age structure, rootstock choice, and replant pipelines dictate medium-term productivity, while drought, heat waves, or spring frost shift grade distributions and chip/scratch rates. Bee colony strength, hive placement, and bloom overlap with compatible pollinizers directly influence nut set; suppliers investing in pollinator partnerships and bloom-risk mitigation achieve more stable output and quality.
• Quality and grading drive realized value
Kernel color, size counts, freedom from chips/splits, and infestation control are primary price discriminators. Advanced optical sorters, X-ray, and inline NIR moisture checks reduce defects and enable tighter specifications for premium retail, confectionery, and export buyers. Gentle handling - from hulling through conditioning - preserves surface integrity crucial for “natural” whole-kernel packs.
• Food safety and the meaning of “raw”
Salmonella controls increasingly require validated lethality steps (steam, PPO/PP alternatives where permitted) while retaining sensory attributes. Different jurisdictions interpret “raw” variably; processors maintain clear labeling and certificates of treatment. Allergen cross-contact programs, sanitation design, and full traceability are now baseline for multinational buyers and e-commerce brands alike.
• Aflatoxin vigilance and residue compliance
Tight screening protocols and lot-based certification are essential for high-scrutiny destinations. Upstream drying practices, rapid moisture stabilization, and sound storage (temperature, aW) prevent mold growth. Integrated residue monitoring - and rapid rework/separation of non-compliant lots - protects service levels and brand reputation.
• Processing formats expand use occasions
Growth in clean-label almond flour, protein-forward blends, and minimally processed snack mixes widens channel reach. Particle-size control, fat management, and anti-caking are critical to baking performance, while stabilized meal/flour reduces rancidity risk. In-shell formats retain relevance for seasonal gifting and value-seeking segments in key import markets.
• Channel dynamics: private label vs. brands
Retailers scale private labels with stringent vendor scorecards (fill rates, spec adherence, sustainability claims), compressing premiums for mid-tier brands. National and challenger brands defend share via origin stories, bee-friendly certifications, transparency on irrigation practices, and functional benefits (satiety, macros), often paired with recyclable or mono-material packs.
• Trade policy and logistics as swing variables
Tariff bands, quota windows, and sanitary documentation requirements steer routing and pack decisions. Container availability and freight volatility influence shipment timing and preferred forms (in-shell vs. shelled) to balance damage risk and freight yield. Multi-origin portfolios and bonded inventory near demand centers improve continuity.
• Sustainability as a procurement criterion
Water-use efficiency (drip, regulated deficit irrigation), soil health, and orchard biomass valorization shape buyer shortlists. Hulls/shells to feed/energy, precision irrigation telemetry, and pollinator habitat plans move from CSR rhetoric to measurable KPIs in tenders - especially for retailers with Scope 3 targets.
• R&D and varietal mix matter for the future
Breeding pipelines focus on self-fertile or low-chill varieties, improved shell seal, and cracking performance, aiming to stabilize yield under climate stress and simplify pollination logistics. Post-harvest innovations in rapid drying, cold storage, and modified-atmosphere approaches extend shelf life and reduce quality complaints.
• Risk management and inventory strategy
Alternate bearing cycles and weather shocks necessitate conservative forward sales and quality-tier hedging. Handlers that align pack plans with realistic grade distributions, maintain fungible specs across customers, and use near-real-time QA dashboards minimize write-downs and protect service performance through the crop year. Raw Almonds Market Reginal AnalysisNorth America Production is concentrated in large, export-oriented orchards with sophisticated irrigation, bee-rental ecosystems, and high-capacity hulling/shelling. Handlers emphasize validated lethality steps compatible with “raw” claims, robust aflatoxin testing, and rapid grading to meet club, natural channel, and e-commerce demand. Sustainability narratives - water budgeting, micro-irrigation, pollinator stewardship - feature prominently in retailer scorecards and brand storytelling. Europe Demand centers on natural snacking, premium confectionery inputs, and bakery usage with stringent aflatoxin and residue compliance. Buyers prioritize lot-level documentation, organic certification, and recyclable packaging. Value accrues to suppliers offering tight count calibrations, consistent light color grades, and sustainability disclosures (water, pollinators, carbon) aligned with retailer programs and eco-labels. Asia-Pacific High-growth import markets balance value and quality across in-shell and shelled formats, with strong seasonal peaks around festivals. Private label and modern trade expand shelf space for whole kernels and almond flour; local roasting/seasoning adds value near point of sale. Importers reward partners with reliable grade continuity, flexible pack sizes, and agile documentation to navigate dynamic customs regimes. Middle East & Africa Regional trading hubs support re-exports and value-added roasting/seasoning operations. Demand mixes premium gifting with everyday snacking, requiring both high-spec kernels and competitively priced in-shell. Suppliers that pair consistent grading with strong food-safety credentials and heat-resilient logistics (temp-controlled storage, rapid port clearance) build durable positions. South & Central America Urban retail and bakery/confectionery segments adopt almond inputs for better-for-you positioning. Currency swings and freight costs steer buyers toward efficient pack formats and occasional in-shell procurement for value. Partners offering steady quality, multilingual documentation, and technical support for flour/meal applications gain traction with regional processors and modern grocers. Raw Almonds Market SegmentationBy Product Pieces Paste Flour Milk Others
By Application Snacks and Bars Milk Substitutes and Ice Creams Bakery and Confectionery Nut and Seed Butters RTE Cereals Others
Key Market playersBlue Diamond Growers, Wonderful Pistachios & Almonds (The Wonderful Company), ofi (Olam Food Ingredients), Select Harvests Limited, Almondco Australia, Harris Woolf Almonds, Treehouse Almonds, Mariani Nut Company, Borges Agricultural & Industrial Nuts, Importaco Nuts, Almendras Llopis, Campos Brothers Farms, Stewart & Jasper Orchards, Travaille & Phippen, Inc., Hilltop Ranch, Inc.Raw Almonds Market Analytics
The report employs rigorous tools, including Porter’s Five Forces, value chain mapping, and scenario-based modelling, to assess supply–demand dynamics. Cross-sector influences from parent, derived, and substitute markets are evaluated to identify risks and opportunities. Trade and pricing analytics provide an up-to-date view of international flows, including leading exporters, importers, and regional price trends.
Macroeconomic indicators, policy frameworks such as carbon pricing and energy security strategies, and evolving consumer behaviour are considered in forecasting scenarios. Recent deal flows, partnerships, and technology innovations are incorporated to assess their impact on future market performance.
Raw Almonds Market Competitive Intelligence
The competitive landscape is mapped through OG Analysis’ proprietary frameworks, profiling leading companies with details on business models, product portfolios, financial performance, and strategic initiatives. Key developments such as mergers & acquisitions, technology collaborations, investment inflows, and regional expansions are analyzed for their competitive impact. The report also identifies emerging players and innovative startups contributing to market disruption.
Regional insights highlight the most promising investment destinations, regulatory landscapes, and evolving partnerships across energy and industrial corridors.
Countries Covered
- North America — Raw Almonds market data and outlook to 2034
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
- Europe — Raw Almonds market data and outlook to 2034
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- BeNeLux
- Russia
- Sweden
- Asia-Pacific — Raw Almonds market data and outlook to 2034
- China
- Japan
- India
- South Korea
- Australia
- Indonesia
- Malaysia
- Vietnam
- Middle East and Africa — Raw Almonds market data and outlook to 2034
- Saudi Arabia
- South Africa
- Iran
- UAE
- Egypt
- South and Central America — Raw Almonds market data and outlook to 2034
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Chile
- Peru
* We can include data and analysis of additional countries on demand.
Research Methodology
This study combines primary inputs from industry experts across the Raw Almonds value chain with secondary data from associations, government publications, trade databases, and company disclosures. Proprietary modeling techniques, including data triangulation, statistical correlation, and scenario planning, are applied to deliver reliable market sizing and forecasting.
Key Questions Addressed
What is the current and forecast market size of the Raw Almonds industry at global, regional, and country levels?
Which types, applications, and technologies present the highest growth potential?
How are supply chains adapting to geopolitical and economic shocks?
What role do policy frameworks, trade flows, and sustainability targets play in shaping demand?
Who are the leading players, and how are their strategies evolving in the face of global uncertainty?
Which regional “hotspots” and customer segments will outpace the market, and what go-to-market and partnership models best support entry and expansion?
Where are the most investable opportunities—across technology roadmaps, sustainability-linked innovation, and M&A—and what is the best segment to invest over the next 3–5 years?
Your Key Takeaways from the Raw Almonds Market Report
- Global Raw Almonds market size and growth projections (CAGR), 2024-2034
- Impact of Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Palestine, and Hamas conflicts on Raw Almonds trade, costs, and supply chains
- Raw Almonds market size, share, and outlook across 5 regions and 27 countries, 2023-2034
- Raw Almonds market size, CAGR, and market share of key products, applications, and end-user verticals, 2023-2034
- Short- and long-term Raw Almonds market trends, drivers, restraints, and opportunities
- Porter’s Five Forces analysis, technological developments, and Raw Almonds supply chain analysis
- Raw Almonds trade analysis, Raw Almonds market price analysis, and Raw Almonds supply/demand dynamics
- Profiles of 5 leading companies—overview, key strategies, financials, and products
- Latest Raw Almonds market news and developments
Additional Support
With the purchase of this report, you will receive
- An updated PDF report and an MS Excel data workbook containing all market tables and figures for easy analysis.
- 7-day post-sale analyst support for clarifications and in-scope supplementary data, ensuring the deliverable aligns precisely with your requirements.
- Complimentary report update to incorporate the latest available data and the impact of recent market developments.
* The updated report will be delivered within 3 working days"
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Table of Contents 1. Table of Contents 1.1 List of Tables 1.2 List of Figures
2. Global Raw Almonds Market Summary, 2025 2.1 Raw Almonds Industry Overview 2.1.1 Global Raw Almonds Market Revenues (In US$ billion) 2.2 Raw Almonds Market Scope 2.3 Research Methodology
3. Raw Almonds Market Insights, 2024-2034 3.1 Raw Almonds Market Drivers 3.2 Raw Almonds Market Restraints 3.3 Raw Almonds Market Opportunities 3.4 Raw Almonds Market Challenges 3.5 Tariff Impact on Global Raw Almonds Supply Chain Patterns
4. Raw Almonds Market Analytics 4.1 Raw Almonds Market Size and Share, Key Products, 2025 Vs 2034 4.2 Raw Almonds Market Size and Share, Dominant Applications, 2025 Vs 2034 4.3 Raw Almonds Market Size and Share, Leading End Uses, 2025 Vs 2034 4.4 Raw Almonds Market Size and Share, High Growth Countries, 2025 Vs 2034 4.5 Five Forces Analysis for Global Raw Almonds Market 4.5.1 Raw Almonds Industry Attractiveness Index, 2025 4.5.2 Raw Almonds Supplier Intelligence 4.5.3 Raw Almonds Buyer Intelligence 4.5.4 Raw Almonds Competition Intelligence 4.5.5 Raw Almonds Product Alternatives and Substitutes Intelligence 4.5.6 Raw Almonds Market Entry Intelligence
5. Global Raw Almonds Market Statistics – Industry Revenue, Market Share, Growth Trends and Forecast by segments, to 2034 5.1 World Raw Almonds Market Size, Potential and Growth Outlook, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 5.1 Global Raw Almonds Sales Outlook and CAGR Growth By Product, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 5.2 Global Raw Almonds Sales Outlook and CAGR Growth By Application, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 5.3 Global Raw Almonds Sales Outlook and CAGR Growth By Segmentation3, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 5.4 Global Raw Almonds Market Sales Outlook and Growth by Region, 2024- 2034 ($ billion)
6. Asia Pacific Raw Almonds Industry Statistics – Market Size, Share, Competition and Outlook 6.1 Asia Pacific Raw Almonds Market Insights, 2025 6.2 Asia Pacific Raw Almonds Market Revenue Forecast By Product, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 6.3 Asia Pacific Raw Almonds Market Revenue Forecast By Application, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 6.4 Asia Pacific Raw Almonds Market Revenue Forecast By Segmentation3, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 6.5 Asia Pacific Raw Almonds Market Revenue Forecast by Country, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 6.5.1 China Raw Almonds Market Size, Opportunities, Growth 2024- 2034 6.5.2 India Raw Almonds Market Size, Opportunities, Growth 2024- 2034 6.5.3 Japan Raw Almonds Market Size, Opportunities, Growth 2024- 2034 6.5.4 Australia Raw Almonds Market Size, Opportunities, Growth 2024- 2034
7. Europe Raw Almonds Market Data, Penetration, and Business Prospects to 2034 7.1 Europe Raw Almonds Market Key Findings, 2025 7.2 Europe Raw Almonds Market Size and Percentage Breakdown By Product, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 7.3 Europe Raw Almonds Market Size and Percentage Breakdown By Application, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 7.4 Europe Raw Almonds Market Size and Percentage Breakdown By Segmentation3, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 7.5 Europe Raw Almonds Market Size and Percentage Breakdown by Country, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 7.5.1 Germany Raw Almonds Market Size, Trends, Growth Outlook to 2034 7.5.2 United Kingdom Raw Almonds Market Size, Trends, Growth Outlook to 2034 7.5.2 France Raw Almonds Market Size, Trends, Growth Outlook to 2034 7.5.2 Italy Raw Almonds Market Size, Trends, Growth Outlook to 2034 7.5.2 Spain Raw Almonds Market Size, Trends, Growth Outlook to 2034
8. North America Raw Almonds Market Size, Growth Trends, and Future Prospects to 2034 8.1 North America Snapshot, 2025 8.2 North America Raw Almonds Market Analysis and Outlook By Product, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 8.3 North America Raw Almonds Market Analysis and Outlook By Application, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 8.4 North America Raw Almonds Market Analysis and Outlook By Segmentation3, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 8.5 North America Raw Almonds Market Analysis and Outlook by Country, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 8.5.1 United States Raw Almonds Market Size, Share, Growth Trends and Forecast, 2024- 2034 8.5.1 Canada Raw Almonds Market Size, Share, Growth Trends and Forecast, 2024- 2034 8.5.1 Mexico Raw Almonds Market Size, Share, Growth Trends and Forecast, 2024- 2034
9. South and Central America Raw Almonds Market Drivers, Challenges, and Future Prospects 9.1 Latin America Raw Almonds Market Data, 2025 9.2 Latin America Raw Almonds Market Future By Product, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 9.3 Latin America Raw Almonds Market Future By Application, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 9.4 Latin America Raw Almonds Market Future By Segmentation3, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 9.5 Latin America Raw Almonds Market Future by Country, 2024- 2034 ($ billion) 9.5.1 Brazil Raw Almonds Market Size, Share and Opportunities to 2034 9.5.2 Argentina Raw Almonds Market Size, Share and Opportunities to 2034
10. Middle East Africa Raw Almonds Market Outlook and Growth Prospects 10.1 Middle East Africa Overview, 2025 10.2 Middle East Africa Raw Almonds Market Statistics By Product, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 10.3 Middle East Africa Raw Almonds Market Statistics By Application, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 10.4 Middle East Africa Raw Almonds Market Statistics By Segmentation3, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 10.5 Middle East Africa Raw Almonds Market Statistics by Country, 2024- 2034 (USD billion) 10.5.1 Middle East Raw Almonds Market Value, Trends, Growth Forecasts to 2034 10.5.2 Africa Raw Almonds Market Value, Trends, Growth Forecasts to 2034
11. Raw Almonds Market Structure and Competitive Landscape 11.1 Key Companies in Raw Almonds Industry 11.2 Raw Almonds Business Overview 11.3 Raw Almonds Product Portfolio Analysis 11.4 Financial Analysis 11.5 SWOT Analysis
12 Appendix 12.1 Global Raw Almonds Market Volume (Tons) 12.1 Global Raw Almonds Trade and Price Analysis 12.2 Raw Almonds Parent Market and Other Relevant Analysis 12.3 Publisher Expertise 12.2 Raw Almonds Industry Report Sources and Methodology
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