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陸上、水上、空の電動車両向け電動機市場 2020-2030年

Electric Motors for Electric Vehicles: Land, Water, Air 2020-2030

 

出版社 出版年月電子版価格 ページ数
IDTechEx
アイディーテックエックス
2019年9月GBP4,650
電子ファイル(1-5ユーザライセンス)
264

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サマリー

このレポートは世界の電動車両用モーターの市場を調査し、様々な種類の電動車両向けモータの市場動向・予測を掲載しています。

 

主な掲載内容 ※目次より抜粋
  1. エグゼクティブサマリーと結論
    1. レポートの焦点と目的
    2. 用途別、車両タイプごとの市場予測 2020-2030年
  2. イントロダクション
  3. 11の重要なEVモーター動向
  4. モーターのデザイン課題
  5. ハイパワー/重量の比率と軸方向磁束
  6. 近年はハブモーターが人気
  7. 重荷重EVモーター、オフロード
  8. モーター制御技術
Report Details
 
This report is of vital interest to all in the electric vehicle value chain from materials and component suppliers to parts and motor manufacturers a product integrators. Indeed there is much here for vehicle manufacturers and it is essential reading for planners. Electric motors are the only components that appear in all electric vehicles. Even batteries are sometimes replaced by supercapacitors. Every year, IDTechEx rewrites its definitive study of such motors. This year a new assessment is particularly important because so many things are changing. The chapters reflect these changes. Firstly, the Executive Summary and Conclusions, complete in itself, presents new conclusions about the sales and technology trends. The proliferation of applications is reflected in the world's most detailed forecasts for 101 categories of land, water and airborne vehicle over 12 years giving number, kWh and gross GWh for motors: 3,636 data points. Beyond that, the percentage of each motor technology for the 101 categories is given for 2020 and 2030 plus historical regional data. As an appendix, the motor activity of over 190 suppliers is appraised. See how the number of motors per vehicle is proliferating, making the motor demand grow faster than EV demand but that is partly offset by more vehicle manufacturers making their own motors.
 
The Introduction explains design choices in lucid new infograms. Learn how and why for such choices as external and internal rotor, synchronous vs asynchronous and subsets of that with the latest on which applications are winning and why and the issues.
 
Reflecting the new realities, there is a comprehensive chapter on 11 new trends in EV motors and their industry. A subsequent chapter focuses on the surge in adoption for axial flux motors - why and where - then one dives into 48V mild hybrids and soon 48V full hybrids becoming a massive market for complex starter-motor-generators and sometimes two motor architectures.
 
There is a chapter on the newly important large motors up to megawatts for land, water and air vehicle and we cover those essential controllers now so often costing more than the motor and integrated into it. Which motor technologies scale well here?
 
The 260 page report is replete with new graphs, tables, infograms and interview information, scoping around 200 organisations.
 
The report is based on over 20 years researching EV motors globally by PhD level analysts interviewing in local languages and distilling inputs from privileged databases including our own and our longstanding conferences and consultancy in the subject.
 
You even learn new principles of electric propulsion and their potential and the activities of a host of new start ups for this is truly the only up-to-date comprehensive report on the subject. The orientation is much more commercial than academic.
 
Companies covered include:
ABM Greiffenberger ; AC Induction Systems; A C Propulsion Inc, California, USA; Adata; Advanced Electric Machines; Advanced Marine Electric Propulsion; Agni Motors; Aisin AW (Toyota); Alcraft; American Electric Vehicles; Ansaldo Electric Drives; Apex Drive Labs, Oregon, USA; Asmo Marine; ATE; Aveox; AVID EVO; Bando Motor; Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co., Ltd. (BAIC)/ Siemens; Bicimoto; Big Best Motor; BionX International Corporation; BMW; Bodine Electric; Bonmet Shenzhen CNC Equipment Co Ltd.; Borg Warner; Bosch ; Bosch Daimler; Brilliance Machinery Factory, China; Broad Ocean; Brusa Elektronik; CCE; Changzhou AOMA Motor Co., Ltd.; Changzhou Gold Link Cable Co., Ltd, China; Changzhou Huayu Xinfeng Motor Co., Ltd.; Changzhou Yucheng-Yake Motor Co Ltd; Chorus Motors; Chuan-Xin Enterprise Co., Ltd; Clean Mobile; Continental ; Cosmos Ocean Corp.; CPT (Controlled Power Technology) ; CRRC; Curtis Instruments; Cutler MAC (Shanghai) Brushless Motor Co., Ltd.; Dana Corporation; Danfoss; D&D Motor Systems; Dana Holding; Deep Sea Systems International; Delta; DeltaWing Technology Group and DHX Electric Machines; Denis de Ferranti ; DHX Electric Machines; dmg movement; Dongguan Jufeng Hydraulic Manufacturing Co., Ltd; Dynetic Systems; Ecity Power Co., Ltd, China; Eco Motor Works; Elaphe; Elco Motor Yachts Inc; Elebike Co., Ltd; Electric Marine Propulsion / Homewood Group ; Emerson Electric; EnerTrac Corporation; Enova Systems; Enstroj; Equipmake; eTraction; Evans Electric; EVO Electric; EVT Mobil, Germany; Falco e-Motors; Federal Mogul; Forsen Motor Corporation; Fukuta; General Electric; General Motors; Golden Island Machinery Co, Ltd, China; Golden Motor Technology Co Ltd; Guang Dong M&C Electric Power, China; Gwa Energy, Inc.; Hangzhou Weifeng Machinery Co., Ltd.; Heinzmann GmbH & Co. KG; Heng Tian Permanent Magnet Electric Motor Co.,; Higen Motors, South Korea; Hitachi; Hitachi Honda JV... And over 100 more

 



目次

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. Purpose and scope of this report
1.1.1. General
1.1.2. Key market features
1.1.3. Timeline electric land vehicles 2019-2030
1.1.4. Timeline electric aircraft 2019-2030
1.1.5. Traction machine-with-controller value market: new vehicles 2029 % by vehicle application
1.1.6. Where the profit will lie: Traction machine value gross margin 2029 % of total market gross margin earned
1.2. Market dynamics and 2019-2029 share by type and application
1.3. Electric vehicles compared to non-electric vehicles
1.4. Traction machine types used to propel electric vehicles land, water, air
1.4.1. Overview
1.4.2. Patent analysis: switched reluctance motors
1.4.3. Patent analysis: axial flux motors
1.5. Examples of machine technologies in action
1.5.1. Overview
1.5.2. Traction motor opportunities off road, often more profitable, by power kW
1.6. Nine traction machine trends 2019-2029
1.6.1. Multifunction and integration
1.6.2. Proliferation
1.6.3. Product mix
1.6.4. Vertical integration and in-wheel motors
1.6.5. Power acceptance and power delivery increase
1.6.6. Voltage increase
1.6.7. Weight decrease and less metal, more electronics in the motor + controller
1.6.8. Less cooling
1.6.9. Permanent magnets more popular but probably eventually unnecessary
1.7. But it is not that simple!
1.7.1. Time
1.7.2. Company experience and preferences
1.8. Market values and types used by country
1.8.1. China
1.8.2. Europe
1.8.3. USA
1.9. Global shares by technology
1.9.1. Motor technologies: 2017 global EV car market shares
1.9.2. Motor technologies: 2018 global EV market shares
1.10. Machine technology mix by vehicle type
1.10.1. Pure electric cars 2013-2029
1.10.2. Plug-in hybrid cars 2013-2029
1.10.3. Non-plug-in hybrid cars 2013-2029
1.10.4. 48V mild hybrid cars 2013-2029
1.10.5. e-buses 2013-2029
1.10.6. Electric forklifts 2013-2029
1.10.7. Manned multicopters and derivatives 2013-2029
1.10.8. Two wheel scooters 2013-2029
1.10.9. Golf cars 2013-2029
1.10.10. Mobility for disabled 2017-2029
1.10.11. Machine technologies: global share in battery electric lawnmowers 2017-2029
1.10.12. Drones, consumer and prosumer 2013-2029
1.11. Machine market value $bn, kW 2013-2029
1.11.1. Pure electric cars
1.11.2. Plug-in hybrid cars
1.11.3. Non-plug-in hybrid electric cars
1.11.4. 48V mild hybrid cars
1.11.5. Electric buses
1.11.6. Electric forklifts
1.11.7. Consumer and prosumer drones
1.11.8. Toy drones
1.11.9. Manned multicopters and derivatives
1.11.10. Electric scooters
1.11.11. Electric motorbikes
1.11.12. Battery electric lawn mower, golf car, disabled mobility
1.12. Total forecast for different motor types across all electric vehicle categories (land, air and water)
1.13. Induction motor breakthrough?
2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Past, present and future
2.1.1. Overview
2.1.2. Global car, bus and truck making in a race for pure electric
2.1.3. Here comes China: buying brands, routes to market and strongly innovating
2.1.4. Chinese NEV sales breakdown Jan-Aug 2018
2.1.5. Electric bikes in China: the party is over
2.2. Leaders and market drivers by applicational sector
2.3. Micro EVs, e-Bikes, e-Scooters, e-Motorbikes, Mobility for Disabled
2.4. Pure electric vehicle viability: small vehicles first
2.5. League table of EV manufacturers 2018 $ billion
2.6. EV manufacturer numbers by sector showing where most are profitable
2.7. Technology choices for traction e-machines
2.7.1. Overview
2.7.2. Traction machine types used to propel electric vehicles land, water, air
2.7.3. Avoiding rare earths: Honda PM machines, other routes
2.8. Acquisitions increase: Tier One suppliers gain SR, 48VMH, direct drives
2.8.1. Nidec-SR Drives etc.,
2.8.2. Federal Mogul-CPT
2.8.3. Borg Warner-Remy, Sevcon
2.8.4. Dana Corporation - TM4
2.9. How to design a traction machine
2.9.1. Advice from Tesla
2.9.2. Some generalities: conductor format, optimisation, integration
2.9.3. Case study: Visedo synchronous reluctance assistant
2.9.4. Case study: Tesla 3 Permanent Magnet Switched Reluctance Motor
2.9.5. Case study: Advanced Electric Machines SR devices
2.9.6. New materials in switched reluctance EV motor
2.10. Traction machine needs by powertrain type
2.10.1. Comparison
2.10.2. Motor-generator machine duty cycle, type, function
2.10.3. Motor-generator REM improvements needed, number of manufacturers/ developers
3. VOLTAGE TRENDS, TECHNOLOGY IMPLICATIONS, HUGE 48V MH OPPORTUNITY
3.1. Current situation
3.2. Car parameters by category
3.3. "48V is the new 12V"
3.4. Over 50 million 48V mild hybrids ahead
3.4.1. How to make a 48V mild hybrid in latest form for a car
3.4.2. Evolution from stop-start to 48VMH
3.4.3. Operating modes, design priorities
3.4.4. Technology chosen: every option offered
3.4.5. Key components of 48V mild hybrid system: Audi
3.4.6. Mercedes went straight to integrated starter generator ISG
3.4.7. Delphi ISG gives second generation
3.4.8. Some 48V mild hybrid models promised by year
3.4.9. Gen 1 & 2 roadmap
3.4.10. Gen 3 & 4 roadmap
3.4.11. Manufacturer thrust and demand by region
3.4.12. Will 48V MH motor generators appear in trucks?
3.4.13. IDTechEx technology timeline - 48V and competitive market and system developments
4. CHASING HIGH POWER TO WEIGHT RATIO
4.1. The race for lightweight electric aircraft motors
4.2. AVID EVO claim 10 kW/kg: lands $70 million of orders
4.3. Magnax axial flux
5. TREND TO MULTIPLE TRACTION MACHINES IN VEHICLES
5.1. Power and profusion of electric motors in various electric vehicle applications
5.2. Examples of in-wheel and in-transmission multiple motors
5.3. Schaeffler: 48V MH with electric modes, e-axles
5.4. Xtrac EV transmission: dual motors torque vectoring
5.5. Examples of manned electric aircraft with multiple drive motors
5.6. No differential or prop shaft
5.7. Innovative two motor formats: Mercedes Vito minibus
5.8. In wheel motors vs near wheel motors
6. MOTOR CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
6.1. Overview
6.2. Examples
6.3. Proliferation leads to simplification attempts
6.4. Cost and integration issues
6.5. Future 48V mild hybrid motor controllers
7. DIFFERENT TRACTION MOTOR TECHNOLOGIES IN ACTION
7.1. Analysis of electric motor types in 48V mild hybrid cars
7.2. Analysis of electric motor types in electric buses
7.3. Off-road industrial EVs in action
7.3.1. Needs are different from on-road
7.3.2. Asynchronous/ induction in mining vehicles
7.3.3. Analysis of electric motor types in electric forklifts
7.4. Electric aircraft in action
7.4.1. Analysis of electric motor types in electric aircraft
7.4.2. Drone electric motor type vs. price
7.4.3. Coreless motors used

 

 

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