Summary
Dell’Oro Group’s standard forecast reports span five years into the future. The RAN 2030 research report will extend the forecast horizon and assess the RAN potential for 2030. The report will also address the contribution from growth segments including 6G, vRAN, Open RAN, mmWave, and private wireless.
The report answers critical business questions, including:
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How big will the RAN market be in 2030?
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How will 6G impact the 2030 RAN market?
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Will vRAN play a greater role with 6G than 5G?
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Will Open RAN be mainstream by 2030?
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What frequencies will drive the RAN market by 2030?
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How will the use cases change?
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What impact will new growth segments have on the overall RAN ecosystem?
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Overview .... 1
Assumptions .... 6
Caveats .. 6
Definitions .. 7
Worldwide Tables (Mfg. Revenue, Unit Shipments)
Table 1: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market Total .... 1
Table 2: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — 5G NR . 2
Table 3: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — 6G .. 3
Table 4: Regional Radio Access Network Market — GSM+CDMA+WCDMA+WiMAX+LTE+5G NR+6G .... 4
Table 5: Regional Radio Access Network Market — 5G NR 5
Table 6: Regional Radio Access Network Market — 6G . 6
Table 7: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market Total — BTS . 7
Table 8: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Macro BTS .... 8
Table 9: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Macro Radios 9
Table 10: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Massive MIMO ... 10
Table 11: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Small Cell — RF Output Power ... 11
Table 12: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Small Cell — Radio Interface . 12
Table 13: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Open RAN . 13
Table 14: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Virtualized RAN . 14
Table 15: Worldwide Radio Access Network Market — Private Wireless... 15
Appendices
Appendix 1: Worldwide Mobile Subscriptions 16
Press Release
September 15, 2022 | Press Release
Sub-7 GHz 6G Revenues to Reach $10 B to $20 B by 2030, According to Dell’Oro Group
Overall RAN Market to Top $45 B by 2030
REDWOOD CITY, Calif. – Sep 15, 2022 – According to a brand new report “RAN 2030” by Dell’Oro Group, the trusted source for market information about the telecommunications, networks, and data center industries, the high-level technology trends that have shaped the radio access network (RAN) capex cycles over the past 30-plus years are expected to play a significant role in determining the nature of RAN investments over the coming decade. In addition, the availability of more spectrum, in combination with the evolving scope of the RAN forms the basis for the higher-than-historical growth rate projections – Fixed Wireless Access is already boosting the RAN market and enterprises are next. Following the 1 percent CAGR between 2000 and 2020, global RAN is projected to grow at a 2 percent CAGR between 2020 and 2030.
“While we can with fairly high confidence level assume that 6G will be ready by the end of the decade, it is still early days to identify the underlying impetus that will characterize the initial 6G deployment phase,” said Stefan Pongratz, Vice President at Dell’Oro Group. “In this long-term forecast, the base case scenario is that the 5G cycle will be longer than the LTE investment phase, while 6G will start accelerating in the outer part of the forecast period to support the consumer MBB usage scenarios, closely emulating the 5G ramp ten years prior with wide-band sub-7 GHz macros delivering the most compelling RAN economics,” continued Pongratz.
Additional highlights from the new RAN 2030 Advanced Research Report:
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Sub-7 GHz 6G Revenues to reach $10 B to $20 B by 2030.
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Operators and enterprises will continue to embrace the movement towards virtualization, openness, and automation. At the same time, the RAN is not the core and the transition will be gradual. Even with 6G, we foresee that a significant portion of the RAN market will be based on custom silicon and proprietary interfaces – Open RAN is projected to account for more than 20 percent of total RAN by the end of the forecast period.
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Although private LTE/5G adoption has to date been underwhelming, we still envision a world in which enterprises utilize both the unlicensed and licensed spectrums to solve their connectivity needs. Global private wireless RAN revenues are projected to approach $2 B by 2030.
About the Report
Dell’Oro Group’s RAN 2030 Advanced Research Report offers a complete overview of the RAN market by region and by technology, with tables covering manufacturers’ revenue for 5G NR and 6G by frequency, including Sub-7 GHz, cmWave, mmWave, and Sub-THz. The report also covers Open RAN, Virtualized RAN, small cells, Massive MIMO, and Private Wireless.
