この調査レポートは、世界のWiMAX市場を調査・分析しています。予測などの市場データや、802.16m市場の影響やプラットフォームの将来性について考察しています。

主な掲載内容(2016年までの予測)

1. 802.16の加入者数とサービス収益
2. アプリケーション(固定/ポータブル、モバイル)毎の802.16の加入者数
3. 技術タイプ別802.16加入者数 - 802.16ｍ、802.16d/e
4. 世界の固定線ブロードバンド加入者数と802.16のシェア
5. 802.16デバイスの出荷台数、収益、ASP
6. アプリケーション毎の802.16デバイスの出荷台数 - 固定/ポータブル、モバイル
7. 技術毎の802.16デバイスの出荷台数 - 802.16ｍ、802.16d/e
8. 802.16フェムトセルユーザとサービス収益
9. 802.16フェムトセルデバイスの出荷台数とサービス収益
10. 802.16基地局の累積設置数、年間出荷台数、収益
11. アプリケーション別802.16基地局の累積設置数、年間出荷台数、収益 - 固定/ポータブル、モバイル
12. 技術毎の802.16基地局の設置数 - 802.16ｍ、802.16d/e
13. 802.16機器市場 - デバイス、フェムトセル、基地局
14. アプリケーション毎の802.16機器の出荷台数と収益 - モバイル、固定/ポータブル

MARKET RESEARCH ABSTRACT

This study is an update to the eight-year series of Visant Strategies WiMAX research reports. This report provides up to date market figures and a focus on the impact of 802.16m and the viability of the platform in the future. It considers the specific 802.16m enhancements which will make the greatest difference to mobile wireless and fixed wireless carriers and it also focuses on applications, spectrum and geographic markets
where WiMAX can prosper.

Current mobile WiMAX successes and leading service providers are studied and the impact of recent defections to LTE are considered as are the prospects for WiMAX networks in the future in the much sought after 2-3 GHz spectrum allocations throughout the world.

Fixed/portable applications are considered in detail as is the WiMAX role as a mobile system in second and third tier markets. Trends which will propel fixed line broadband forward and the potential for WiMAX in this segment are assessed.

Tables quantify the qualitative discussions with forecasts for WiMAX users, base stations and users provided by applications and revision of the 802.16 standard. Femtocell users, service revenues and devices shipments are also provided.

Questions Addressed

• In which applications will WiMAX prosper?
• What will be the impact of 802.16m upon fixed and mobile markets?
• Will 700 MHz and 2.5 GHz spectrum be used for WiMAX deployments?
• Which regions offer the greatest opportunity for WiMAX?
• What are the most important improvements to 802.16m?
• When will 802.16m equipment appear?
• Are HSPAplus and LTE a threat in the fixed market?
• Will 3.5GHz be the WiMAX band?
• What is the opportunity for WiMAX use for fixed/portable wireless?

Quantifies Through 2016

• 802.16 subscribers and services revenues
• 802.16 subscribers by fixed/portable and mobile applications
• 802.16 subscribers by revision (802.16m, 802.16d/e)
• Global fixed broadband subscribers and 802.16 share of fixed broadband subs
• 802.16 device shipments, revenues and average selling price
• 802.16 device shipments for fixed/portable and mobile applications
• 802.16 device shipments by revision (802.16m, 802.16d/e)
• 802.16 femtocell users and service revenues
• 802.16 femtocell device shipments and revenues
• 802.16 cumulative base station deployments, annual shipments and revenues
• 802.16 cumulative base station deployments, annual shipments and revenues by application (fixed/portable, mobile)
• 802.16 base station deployments by revision (802.16m, 802.16d/e)
• Overall 802.16 equipment market (devices, femtocells and base stations)
• Overall 802.16 equipment shipments and revenues by application (mobility fixed/portable)

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Table of Contents

1.0 Executive Summary

1.1 LTE Pick for Many Mobile Carriers but Large Amounts of Money Still on theTable
1.2 New WiMAX Specifications Arrive on Time
1.3 Broadband Growth Worldwide Means Great Fixed/Portable WiMAX Potential
1.4 Solid Progress has Been Made on WiMAX/Broadband Costs

2.0 Fixed-Portable Market Opportunity

2.1 The Large and Growing World Fixed Broadband Market
2.2 Fixed Broadband Subscribers by Region: Growth in All Markets
2.3 The Ultra-Low Cost Personal Computer Effort and WiMAX
2.4 Global Poverty
2.5 Mobile Wireless and Fixed Line ARPU in Emerging vs. Established Markets; a Good Guideline
2.5.1 Emerging Markets
2.5.2 Mid-Tier Markets
2.5.3 Established Markets
2.5.4 Service ARPU vs. Income

3.0 WiMAX Standards and Features

3.1. 802.16 2004, 802.16e-2005 and WiMAX feature set
3.1.1 Channel Sizes
3.1.2 Frequency Allocations
3.1.3 Duplexing
3.1.4 Modulation
3.1.5 FFT Size
3.1.6 Mobile WiMAX Wave 1 and 2 Profiles, Key Attributes
3.1.7 Data Rates and Spectral Efficiency
3.2 Summary of 802.16e Limitations
3.2.1 Frequency Reuse, Handoffs and Mobility
3.2.2 Interference Management
3.2.3 Uplink (PAPR and TDD)
3.3 Intelligent Antenna use for WiMAX 802.16e
3.3.1 MIMO (Matrix A and B)
3.3.2 AAS or Beamforming
3.4 WiMAX 802.16m System 2 Delivers WiMAX Promises
3.4.1 Core Changes
3.4.2 Greater Throughput per Channel
3.4.3 Uplink and Downlink Spectral Efficiency
3.4.4 Peak Throughput
3.4.5 Reduced Latency
3.4.6 Additional Enhancements beyond 802.16e
3.4.7 An ITU-Advanced Candidate

4.0 WiMAX Spectrum Update

4.1 3.5 GHz Retains Prominence
4.2 Recent 4G Oriented Allocations
4.3 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum Allocations and WiMAX
4.4 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum in Europe
4.5 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum in North America
4.5.1 Advanced Wireless Services (1710-1755 and 2110-2155 MHz)
4.5.2 700 MHz
4.6 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum in Japan
4.7 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum in South Korea
4.8 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum in Australia
4.9 4G and Wireless Broadband Spectrum in the Rest of the World
4.10 Summary of WiMAX in the new Wireless Broadband Spectrum

5.0 Leading Mobile WiMAX Carriers

5.1 Clearwire Communications
5.2 UQ Communications

6.0 WiMAX Figures and Forecasts

6.1 WiMAX Fixed and Mobile Subscribers and Revenues
6.2 WiMAX Subscribers by Revision (802.16m, 802.16d/e)
6.3 WiMAX Subscribers, Fixed/Portable versus Mobile Networks
6.4 WiMAX Fixed and Mobile Subscribers by Region
6.5 Fixed and Total WiMAX Subscribers versus Total Broadband Lines.
6.6 WiMAX Subscribers vs. all 3.5G and 4G Subscribers
6.7 WiMAX User Device Shipments, Revenues and ASPs
6.8 WiMAX Device Shipments by Revision
6.9 WiMAX Device Shipments by Application (Fixed/Portable vs. Mobile)
6.10 WiMAX Femtocell Subscribers and Service Revenues
6.11 WiMAX Femtocell Shipments and Revenues
6.12 WiMAX Base Station Shipments, Deployments, Revenues and ASP
6.13 WiMAX Base Station Deployments and Shipments by Revision
6.14 WiMAX Base Stations by Application (Fixed/Portable, Mobile)
6.15 Total Equipment Revenues
6.16 Total Equipment Revenues Fixed/Portable vs. Mobile

7.0 Conclusions

TABLES AND FIGURES

Table 1
Fixed Broadband Subscribers
All Technologies
World Market 2009-2016

Table 2
Fixed Broadband Subscribers, Total Population and Fixed Broadband Penetration Rate
All Technologies
Asia-Pacific 2009-2016

Table 3
Fixed Broadband Subscribers, Total Population and Fixed Broadband Penetration Rate
All Technologies
Europe 2009-2016

Table 4
Fixed Broadband Subscribers, Total Population and Fixed Broadband Penetration Rate
All Technologies
North and South America 2009-2016

Table 5
Fixed Broadband Subscribers, Total Population and Fixed Broadband Penetration Rate
All Technologies
Middle East Africa 2009-2016

Table 6
Fixed Broadband Subscribers, Total Population and Fixed Broadband Penetration Rate
All Technologies
World Market 2009-2016

Table 7
WiMAX Subscribers and Revenues
World Market 2009-2016

Table 8
WiMAX Subscribers by Revision
802.16e/d and 802.16m
World Market 2009-2016

Table 9
WiMAX Subscribers
Fixed/Portable vs. Mobile
World Market 2009-2016

Table 10
WiMAX Subscribers
Fixed/Portable and Mobile
World by Region 2009-2016

Table 11
Mobile WiMAX
Subscribers
World by Region 2009-2016

Table 12
Fixed/Portable WiMAX
Subscribers
World by Region 2009-2016

Table 13
World Broadband Subscriptions vs. Fixed WiMAX Subscriptions and Fixed WiMAX Share of World Broadband Subscriptions
All Technologies (Cable Modem, DSL, Fiber, Satellite, Fixed Wireless)
Moderate Forecast 
World 2009-2016

Table 14
Total WiMAX Subscribers vs. Total Fixed Broadband Lines and WiMAX Share of Total Fixed Broadband Lines
All Technologies (Cable Modem, DSL, Fiber, Satellite, Fixed Wireless)
World Market 2009-2016

Table 15
3.5G and 4G Subscribers vs. WiMAX Subscribers and WiMAX Share of 3.5G and 4G Subscribers (HSPA+, LTE and WiMAX)
World Market 2009-2016

Table 16
WiMAX User Device Shipments, Revenues and ASP
World Market 2009-2016

Table 17
WiMAX Device Shipments by Revision
802.16d/e vs. 802.16m and Total Shipments
World Market 2009-2016

Table 18
WiMAX Device Shipments by Application
Mobile vs. Fixed/Portable
World Market 2009-2016

Table 19
WiMAX Device Revenues by Application
Mobile vs. Fixed/Portable
World Market 2009-2016

Table 20
Mobile WiMAX
Femtocell Subscribers and Revenues
World Market 2009-2016

Table 21
Mobile WiMAX
Femtocell Shipments and Revenues
World Market 2009-2016

Table 22
Mobile WiMAX
Base Station Shipments, Deployments and Revenues
World Market 2009-2016

Table 23
WiMAX
Base Station Deployments by Revision
802.16e/d vs. 802.16m and Total Shipments
World Market 2009-2016

Table 24
Mobile WiMAX
Base Station Deployments, Shipments and Revenues
World Market 2009-2016

Table 25
Fixed/Portable WiMAX
Base Station Deployments, Shipments and Revenues
World Market 2009-2016

Table 26
Total WiMAX Equipment Revenues
User Devices, Femtocells and Base Stations
World Market 2009-2016

Table 27
Fixed/Portable vs. Mobile WiMAX
Equipment Revenues and Total Revenues (User Devices, Femtocells and Base Stations)
World Market 2009-2016

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電子媒体価格

近年のモバイル市場の後退にもかかわらず、WiMAXは明るい見通し

ニューヨーク
モバイルWiMAXの新しい仕様と、世界の固定/携帯WiMAXの成長が主な要因となって、WiMAXの普及が進み、WiMAX機器市場は今後10年間にかなり大きく成長するだろうと、米国調査会社ヴィサントストラテジーズ社の調査レポート「世界のWiMAX市場調査 2010年:固定線、ポータブル、モバイルWiMAX ー Fixed, Portable and Mobile WiMAX:Building a Market Today and Influencing Choices Tomorrow」は報告している。

802.16mという新しい仕様は、コストを改善する一方で、802.16eの多くの短所を克服し、自動的にネットワークを切り替えたり、端末からより基地局やサーバーに近い通信経路をとることを可能にし、固定サービスとモバイルサービスの境目を乗り越えて、WiMAXを新しいエコシステムにかなう魅力的なものとした。

「多くのモバイルキャリアは、4GではLTEやHSPAプラスを採用するだろうが、WiMAX機器メーカーの市場はまだ当分は活況を呈するだろう。低価格のPC、WiMAX価格の下落、世界の基本的なブロードバンド固定サービスの3.5ギガヘルツバンドの使用によって、WiMAX機器ベンダには大きなビジネスチャンスがある」とヴィサントストラテジーズ社のAndy Fuertes氏は語る。

この調査レポートは、WiMAX機器の総収益は2011-2016年に300億ドルに達し、モバイルWiMAX加入者数は世界で4倍に増加するだろうと報告している。(後略)

(原文)
Despite Experiencing Recent Setbacks in the Mobile Market, WiMAX retains Bright Outlook

New York - New specifications for mobile WiMAX and world growth of fixed/portable WiMAX are key factors pushing WiMAX penetration and creating a sizable WiMAX equipment market through the next decade, according to a new study from Visant Strategies. 

The new specification for 802.16m addresses a number of system shortcomings within 802.16e while improving costs and increasing the appeal of WiMAX in emerging economies and helping blur the line between fixed and mobile services as handoff and uplink capabilities are improved. 

"Most mobile carriers have committed to LTE for 4G, sometimes after HSPA plus, but WiMAX equipment makers will still enjoy a vigorous market" said Andy Fuertes of Visant Strategies. "Low cost PC initiatives, falling WiMAX costs and the global availability of the 3.5 GHz band for basic fixed broadband services presents a very large opportunity for WiMAX equipment vendors." 

According to the report, "Fixed, Portable and Mobile WiMAX: Building a Market Today and Influencing Choices Tomorrow," all WiMAX equipment revenues will reach $30 billion from 2011 to 2016 and mobile WiMAX subscribers will grow globally four-fold by that time. 

"There will be a very large fixed broadband audience by 2016, over one billion according to the findings in the report, and fixed/portable WiMAX will account for a good share of this audience and help seed the mobile WiMAX applications as these same carriers expand their coverage area in many emerging regions," said Larry Swasey of Visant Strategies. "We are already seeing WiMAX deployments in emerging economies that allow intra- and inter-city portability, the beginning of the seeding." 

Figures within the new report include mobile fixed/portable and mobile WiMAX subscribers by region and by version and subscriber revenues; shipments, deployments and revenues for fixed/portable and mobile WiMAX base stations and device shipments by version. Also given are fixed broadband subs by region and the share fixed/portable WiMAX will garner for this audience and well as fixed broadband penetration rates by region.