目次
価格・ご注文についてこの調査レポートシリーズは、世界の組み込みプロセッサ市場を調査し、2014年までの予測データを掲載しています。
| Research Summary |  |
VDC’s Embedded Processors: 2010-2014 Global Market Demand Analysis will focus on the device developer community demand for, and the supplier/ partner community readiness to provide, embedded processor solutions that meet the rapidly changing technical and commercial requirements of ever-expanding developer, OEM and integrator communities. VDC will begin its work by providing clear definitions for the key technical and commercial segments that make up the current embedded processor market opportunity. Developing sharp definitions and segmentations will enable this research to answer a number of critical questions: Which specific processor technologies are most in demand?; How is demand similar/ unique for the largest, fastest growth and most profitable market segments?; How are products differentiated in a landscape that is becoming more competitive, and how is the market being trained to understand these different technical approaches?; How are emerging software trends (e.g. virtualization and Electronic System Level (ESL) design) leveraged?; and What development tools must be integrated with processors to support adoption?
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Executive Summary
The global embedded processor market continues to show clear signs of growth in the early weeks of 2011, yet a clear
fragmentation exists among the various sub-segments
Fragmentation in these markets exists along many dimensions
Technical and commercial issues and trends facing the embedded processor market
Competition is intensifying on virtually every possible dimension of differentiation
Embedded processor suppliers remain focused on certain technology categories based on a range of competitive advantages
Scope & Methodology
Embedded processor segments and definitions
Total market estimates and forecasts are developed through a rigorous research methodology
Data collection processes, tools, and sources utilized in this research initiative
Data collection processes, tools, and sources utilized in this research initiative
Market Overview & Industry Structure
The distribution network for most embedded technologies is complex, yet remains approximately linear in structure
The OEM and SI communities are becoming more interconnected to form ISVs to meet new standards
Total Processor Market Overview
Demand for embedded processors will increase steadily over the 2009-2014 forecast period
The general business climate for embedded processor suppliers improved dramatically in 2010 versus 2009
Unit volume shipments will increase year over year, led by MCUs, over the forecast period
MCUs will remain the largest embedded processor segment class, while FPGAs slowly gain share at the expense of DSPs
Sub-segments within main vertical market segments
Communications will remain the leading industry sector for embedded processor applications by dollar revenues
Communications will remain the leading industry sector for embedded processor applications by dollar revenues
Proprietary architectures are the most dominant, but ARM and MIPS are growing
Market Segmentation, Estimates & Forecasts
Demand for CPU/GPUs recovered robustly in 2009 and will see sustained growth through the forecast period
CPU unit volumes will steadily increase, but challenges could restrict both unit and revenue growth
CPU/GPUs will see demand within new emerging vertical market segments
CPU/GPUs will see demand within new emerging market segments (continued)
Intel Architecture remains dominant, ARM and MIPS are on the rise
The trend towards multi-core processors is gaining momentum
The demand for CPUs/GPUs in Asia and in China, specifically, is increasing
The CPU/GPU sales channels will remain largely unchanged
Intel remains the market leader in the CPU space, and multi-core suppliers are increasing their share
Summary
DSP technology will expand in 2011, and will experience moderate growth over the forecast period
The DSP market continues to grow at a steady pace
Heterogeneous processors are prevalent and multiplying
The number of cores are increasing to meet data traffic needs
Communications will remain the major market for DSPs, as the Energy and Medical segments are emerging
Communications will remain the major market for DSPs, as the Energy and Medical segments are emerging (cont.)
DSP suppliers are increasingly turning to distributors to broaden their sales reach and to reduce OPEX
The 3G development in Asia Pacific is shifting focus of DSP deployment to that global region
Texas Instruments remains the market share leader
Summary
FPGAs have large potential in communications infrastructure
FPGAs pose a continued threat to ASICs, DSPs, and now MCUs
FPGAs with cores offer decreased power consumption and better performance
The ASIC market, despite slowed growth, offers displacement potential for FPGAs
FPGA performance classes will focus on high end performance and low power
Communications is key for FPGAs, and industrial has significant potential
The FPGA communications vertical market is expanding
FPGAs are increasingly sold through distributors
FPGAs are increasingly sold in Asia Pacific
Xilinx is the market share leader, but Altera is gaining share
Summary
MCUs surge with recovery of automotive markets
Unit growth will continue as automotives spread in Asia Pacific and touch sensing increases
Proprietary MCU architectures remain preeminent, with ARM and MIPS growing steadily
32-bit and 16-bit MCU devices are displacing lower bit count devices
Co-processors are increasingly incorporated in MCUs to manage peripherals
Renesas drives the market towards greater OEM sales
The MCU market is re-centering around China
Automotive remains the leading MCU application, but consumer electronics, energy/power and others are growing
Automotive remains the leading MCU application, but consumer, energy and others are growing (continued)
Renesas consolidates its leading position, Atmel leverages touch sensing gains
Summary
IP Processor core use spreads in the multi-core era
IP Processor cores will see sustained unit growth
ARM is the market share leader
Software is now a key differentiator between suppliers
While compilers and debuggers remain critical, simulators are also useful
Integrated Development Environments (IDEs) make multi-core use easier for DSP and FPGA designs
Emulators are of key importance to MCUs
Device Developers Requirements & Trends
Embedded processor user survey, primary markets served
Intel leads the CPU market, GPU suppliers are on the rise
Altera improves its position relative to Xilinx
Texas Instruments remains the leader followed by Analog Devices
Despite Renesas being considered the market share leader, recognition of Atmel exceeds that of all major competitors
ARM is clearly the leading IP processor
Linux OS is outpacing Windows
Linux OS is outpacing Windows (continued)
Multi-core is becoming an increasing requirement among developers
4-bit and 8-bit are giving way to 32-bit and 64-bit devices
x86 was the leading architecture in 2010, but ARM may displace it in the future
Processor architecture requirements (cont.)
Low power is a key requirement to match smaller form factors
Developers typically demand a lifecycle of three years
Majority of developers require a 2 year refresh
Debuggers are critical for multi-core designs
Performance outweighs all other factors
FPGA usage considerations and perceived advantages
Competitive Analysis & Position: Vendor Profiles
CPU/GPU supplier profiles
CPU/GPU supplier profiles
CPU/GPU supplier profiles
CPU/GPU supplier profiles
CPU/GPU supplier profiles
DSP supplier profiles
DSP supplier profiles
MCU supplier profiles
MCU supplier profiles
FPGA supplier profiles
FPGA supplier profiles
Developers of IP processor architecture
Developers of IP processor architecture
VDC Research Summary
A number of trends are continuing to develop in CPUs/GPUs and in DSPs; FPGAs have increased displacement potential and
MCUs are consolidating around standard configurations
LIST OF EXHIBITS
Market Overview
Total Market, Processors in Embedded Applications, Dollar Volume Shipments, 2009-2014 (US$ in Millions)
Total Market, Processors in Embedded Applications, Modeled Unit Shipments, 2009-2014 (Units)
Processors in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2009-2014 (% of US Dollar Shipments)
Core architectures in embedded processors, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded processor cores/unit shipments)
CPUs | GPUs
Embedded CPU,GPU Architectures, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded CPU,GPU shipments)
Number of Cores Per Processor, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded CPU,GPU shipments)
CPUs/GPUs in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded CPU/GPU shipments)
Distribution Channels, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded CPU/GPU shipments)
Geographic Regions, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded CPU/GPU shipments)
CPUs/GPUs in Embedded Applications, Vendor Dollar Volume Market Shares, 2009 and 2012
DSPs
Multi-core Configurations, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded DSP shipments)
Number of cores per processor, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded DSP shipments)
DSPs in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded DSP shipments)
Distribution Channels, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded DSP shipments)
Geographic Regions, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded DSP shipments)
DSPs in Embedded Applications, Vendor Dollar Volume Market Shares, 2009 and 2012
MCUs
Architectures in Embedded MCUs, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded MCU shipments)
Bit Count in Embedded MCUs, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded MCU shipments)
Co-processor Integration, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded MCU shipments)
MCUs in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded MCU shipments)
Distribution Channels, 2009-2014 (% of total MCU shipments)
Geographic Regions, 2009-2014 (% of total MCU shipments)
MCUs in Embedded Applications, Vendor Dollar Volume Market Shares, 2009 and 2012
FPGAs
Embedded hard/soft CPU cores (% of total FPGA shipments)
ASIC Total Available Market (in billions of US Dollars)
Performance Classification (% of total FPGA shipments)
FPGAs in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2009-2014 (% of total embedded FPGA shipments)
Distribution Channels (% of total FPGA shipments)
Geographic Regions (% of total FPGA shipments)
FPGAs in Embedded Applications, Vendor Dollar Volume Market Shares, 2009 and 2012
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