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この調査レポートは、世界の太陽電池市場について調査し、主要国/地域別の市場動向を分析しています。

The dependence on fossil fuels and the associated volatility of their international prices, coupled with increasing concerns over the greenhouse gas emissions worldwide, has led to the evolution of the concept of renewable energy over the past few years. The industry has qualified as the most feasible solutions and has been increasingly gaining considerable attention among industry players all around the world. With growing demand for clean energy sources, the manufacturing and deployment of solar PV cells and photovoltaic arrays have expanded dramatically in the recent years, resulting in augmented market competition and abolishment of monopoly.

According to our latest research report “Global Photovoltaic Market Forecast to 2013”, the growth in global PV industry has been triggered by favorable government policies and billions of dollars worth of investment made in European countries, followed by Japan and the US. As a result, Europe captured close to 80% of total annual installed PV capacity in 2009, with Germany and Spain leading from the front.

The solar cell manufacturing is gaining significant momentum on the back of surging demand of PV systems installations around the world. Apart from the developments in the developed countries, some fast growing Asian economies have also shown notable improvements in overall PV industry progress. For example, China produced around 2 GW of solar cells during 2008 and a further growth, at a CAGR of above 50%, is expected to be seen in the next few years.

In our research, we have inferred that traditionally high deployment cost of PV cells had been the major hurdle for the development of global PV industry. However, with rapid technological developments in the PV industry and government initiatives, the PV production cost has considerably declined. Now, the developing countries are also taking active participation in the deployment of this technology and are considering it to reduce their dependency on fossil fuels. 

The report focuses on the growing marketplace for PV industry at global as well as at the country level and analyzes the current market trends along with future growth prospects of the industry. It contains detailed data on cumulative installed PV capacity, annual installed PV capacity and the future market potential of the key countries, thereby helping clients to identify the factors critical to their successful market penetration and gain early entry advantages.

TOP

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Analyst View

2. PV Industry - Basics

     2.1 Cells and Modules
     2.2 Types of System

3. Global PV Industry Performance and Future Outlook

     3.1 Demand - Market and Applications
     3.2 Supply - Market and Manufacturers
     3.3 Regional Segmentation
     3.4 PV Power Plants
     3.5 Future Scenario - 2013

4. PV Industry - By Country

     4.1 Asia-Pacific
            4.1.1 Japan
            4.1.2 South Korea
            4.1.3 Australia
            4.1.4 China
            4.1.5 India
            4.1.6 Malaysia
            4.1.7 Bangladesh

     4.2 Americas
            4.2.1 US
            4.2.2 Canada
            4.2.3 Mexico

     4.3 Europe
            4.3.1 Germany
            4.3.2 Netherlands
            4.3.3 Spain
            4.3.4 Italy
            4.3.5 France
            4.3.6 UK
            4.3.7 Austria
            4.3.8 Denmark
            4.3.9 Sweden
            4.3.10 Switzerland

5. PV Cost Analysis

6. Key Industry Trends

     6.1 Reduction in CO2 Emission
     6.2 Rapid Implementation of Feed-in Tariffs
     6.3 International R&D Activities
     6.4 Rural Electrification
     6.5 Thin Film Market

7. Roadblocks

     7.1 Silicon Supply
     7.2 Lack of Information

List of Figures & Tables

List of Figures:

Figure 2-1: PV System - Life Cycle
Figure 3-1: Global - Annual PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2006-2009
Figure 3-2: Global - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2006-2009
Figure 3-3: Global - Annual PV Installation by Application (%), 2007, 2010, 2020 & 2030
Figure 3-4: Global - Solar Cell Production Capacity (GW), 2007 & 2008
Figure 3-5: Global - Solar Cell Market by Technology (%), 2007 & 2008
Figure 3-6: Global - Solar Cell Production Capacity by Region (%), 2008
Figure 3-7: Global - PV Production Capacity by Technology (MW), 2009-2013
Figure 3-8: Global - Annual PV Installed Capacity by Region (%), 2009
Figure 3-9: Global - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity by Region (%), 2009
Figure 3-10: Global - Large PV Plants Installation by Country (%), 2008
Figure 3-11: EU - Large PV Plants Power Output Capacity by Country (%), 2008
Figure 3-12: Global - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2010-2013
Figure 3-13: Global - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity by Region (%), 2013
Figure 4-1: Japan - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-2: Japan - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-3: Japan - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-4: Japan - Solar Cell Shipment (MW), 2007-2009
Figure 4-5: Japan - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-6: South Korea - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-7: South Korea - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-8: South Korea - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-9: South Korea - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-10: Australia - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-11: Australia - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2007-2009
Figure 4-12: Australia - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-13: China - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-14: China - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-15: China - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-16: China - Solar PV Cell Production (MW), 2007, 2008 & 2011
Figure 4-17: India - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-18: India - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-19: Malaysia - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2007-2009
Figure 4-20: Malaysia - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-21: US - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-22: US - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-23: US - PV Cell Manufacturing (MW-dc), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-24: US - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-25: Canada - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-26: Canada - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-27: Canada - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-28: Mexico - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-29: Mexico - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-30: Germany - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-31: Germany - Annual PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-32: Germany - PV Investment (Billion €), 2007 & 2010
Figure 4-33: Germany - PV R&D Investment (Million €), 2007 & 2010
Figure 4-34: Germany - BMU Funding for R&D Projects on PV (%), 2008
Figure 4-35: Germany - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (GW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-36: Netherlands - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-37: Netherlands - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-38: Spain - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-39: Spain - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-40: Spain - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-41: Italy - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-42: Italy - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-43: Italy - Forecast for Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2010-2013
Figure 4-44: France - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-45: France - Annual PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-46: France - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-47: UK - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-48: UK - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-49: Austria - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-50: Austria - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-51: Denmark - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-52: Denmark - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-53: Denmark - PV Industry Revenue (Million €), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-54: Sweden - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2009
Figure 4-55: Sweden - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 4-56: Switzerland - Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2007-2009
Figure 4-57: Switzerland - Cumulative Grid-connected PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-58: Switzerland - Breakup of Cumulative PV Installed Capacity (%), 2008
Figure 6-1: Global - Forecast for Share of Thin Film in PV Production Capacity (%), 2010-2013

List of Tables:

Table 4-1: Australia - Forecast for Solar Market (2010, 2015, 2020 & 2025)
Table 4-2: India - National Solar Mission at a Glance to 2022
Table 4-3: Bangladesh - Installation of SHS by Participating Organization
Table 4-4: Bangladesh - Installation of SHS by Major Division
Table 4-5: US - Grid-tied PV Installed Capacity by State (MW-dc), 2008
Table 5-1: Global - PV Generation Costs for Roof-top Systems at Different Locations (€/KWh), 2007, 2010, 2020 & 2030
Table 6-1: Global - Forecast for CO2   Savings under the Solar Generation Scenarios (Mt), 2010-2013

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世界の太陽光発電の導入規模は2010年に12.7ギガワットに

世界の太陽光発電市場は、排出規制、開発の進展、環境への関心の高まりから、2009年比で78％上昇し、2010年に12.7ギガワットに

世界最大の企業団体である欧州太陽光発電工業連盟(EPIA:European Photovoltaic Industry Association)は、世界の太陽光発電は2010年に12.7ギガワット(GW＝1000MW)になり、2009年に比べると78％上昇するとしていると、Reutersが報告している。

2009年に、太陽光発電は約7.2GWまで普及し、2008年比で15％の成長であった。世界の太陽光発電の累積発電量は22.9GWで45％に昇った。

世界中で太陽光発電システムの需要が非常に高まっており、太陽光発電の各メーカーは大きく成長した。世界中での研究開発の進捗、政府の奨励金、二酸化炭素排出削減の法規制、環境問題への関心の高まりがこのような成長を支えた。

それ以外の重要な要因は、コストの下落である。最近数年間、より効率的な技術、政府のクリーンエネルギーへの奨励金、材料価格の下落などによって、太陽エネルギーのコストは下落している。今後は、経済の回復に伴って、家庭への太陽光発電の普及が進むかもしれない。

2010年に、ドイツの太陽光発電市場は触媒の働きを果たすだろう。2010年の新規導入の総計が4.5GW近くまで伸びると予測されている。ドイツの太陽光発電市場は、2008-2009年に約2GWから3.8GWに上昇し、世界の太陽光発電市場の52%以上を占めた。

インドの調査会社RNCOS社の調査レポート「世界の太陽光発電市場調査:市場動向と2013年までの予測 ー Global Photovoltaic Market Forecast to 2013」は、世界の太陽光発電の導入は、2010年以降堅調な市場に支えられ、CAGR約27%で成長し、年間16.5GWに達するだろうと報告している。

「太陽光発電製品の出荷数が増加し、様々な産業に大きな変化をもたらしている。奨励策が徐々になくなる間にも、新しいビジネスモデルが最先端の市場促進要因になってきている。製造コストが下落したことも、太陽光発電産業の大きな成長の要因である。奨励策や補助金無しで成長を維持するのは大変なことではあるが、太陽光発電市場は、今日最も興味深い産業である」とRNCOS社の調査アナリストは語る

(原文)
Global PV Installation Expects to Rise 12.7 GW in 2010

May 24, 2010

The global photovoltaic market is expected to grow by 12.7 GW in 2010, an increase of 76% over the last year (2009) in the backdrop of emission regulation, more intensive R&D and environment concerns.

As per the world's largest industry association European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA), the global photovoltaic market is expected to grow by 12.7 GW this year, a rise of 76% over the last year (2009), as reported by Reuters.

In 2009, the PV installation rose around 7.2 GW that resulted in the expansion of PV market by almost 15% (2009) against the previous year (2008). The total cumulative PV installation worldwide surged by 45% to 22.9 GW.

The solar cell manufacturing has gained significant momentum on account of strong demand for PV systems installation across the globe. The industry has benefited from several factors such as international efforts for more R&D, government incentives, emission regulations and environmental concerns.

Another important reason for growth is falling cost. The upfront cost of solar energy has been consistently falling for recent some years owing to more efficient technology, government clean energy incentives and lower material prices. Looking ahead, improving economy could be attributed to people consideration of making solar energy upgrades to their homes.

In 2010, the German PV market would play the role of a catalyst. The total new installation is expected to touch 4.5 GW figure this year. In 2009, the German PV market rose to nearly 3.8 GW from 2 GW in 2008, an increase of over 52% of the global PV market.

RNCOS, a leading market research firm, has said in its report “Global Photovoltaic Market Forecast to 2013”, that annual global PV installation capacity will reach 16.5 GW at an impressive CAGR of approx. 27% since 2010 on the back of strong market fundamentals.

According to a Research Analyst at RNCOS, “The rising volume of PV products is currently bringing enormous changes across the industry. New business models are coming in the forefront that will drive the industry during the period when incentives will gradually decline. The reduction of manufacturing costs also contributes to the phenomenal growth of the PV industry. The solar industry is an exciting place now-a-days although a lot of hard work needs to be done in order to sustain its growth without incentives and subsidies.”