プラグインハイブリッド車の市場調査:PEVと電池自動車(電気自動車)のOEM戦略、需要促進要因、技術動向、主要関連企業、世界市場予測 / パイクリサーチ社

プラグインハイブリッド車の市場調査:PEVと電池自動車(電気自動車)のOEM戦略、需要促進要因、技術動向、主要関連企業、世界市場予測

Plug-in Electric Vehicles
Battery Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles: OEM Strategies, Demand Drivers, Technology Issues, Key Industry Players, and Global Market Forecasts

プラグインハイブリッドカー市場予測

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出版社	出版日	電子媒体 (05/23 レート)	ページ数	図表数
パイクリサーチ社	2010年9月	US$ 3,500 \297,528(税込) ライセンス別価格	73	58

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Pike Research プラグインハイブリッド車の市場調査報告書この調査レポートは、プラグインハイブリッド車と電池自動車(電気自動車)の市場の将来性と課題について調査し、電気ドライブトレインと電池技術、高度電池、政府の奨励策と法規制、市場成長促進要因などについて広範に調査しています。

Automakers are on the verge of mass-marketing plug-in electric vehicles worldwide, including both plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) as well as battery electric vehicles (BEVs). These vehicles offer improved fuel economy, lower emissions, and a quieter ride than comparable traditionally powered internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, with several key variations in driving range capabilities. This combination will particularly appeal to consumers in the North American market where fuel costs are rising and range anxiety continues to be a concern (whether perceived or real).

As many automakers move into the plug-in vehicle market, they will find they are competing with a wide range of competitive options and brand loyalty. Additionally, new research is showing that in the United States consumers are still wary about high upfront costs for vehicles and government incentives will continue to play an important role in the consumer marketplace for many years to come. Pike Research forecasts that the market for plug-in hybrid and battery electric passenger cars and light duty trucks will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 106% between 2010 and 2015, resulting in sales of more than 3.24 million vehicles during that period.

This Pike Research report analyzes opportunities and challenges in the emerging market for PHEVs and BEVs. The report provides a comprehensive examination of electric drivetrain and battery technology, advanced battery research, government incentives and regulations, and key drivers of market growth. The study includes detailed lists of expected vehicles coming soon, forecasts through 2015 for light duty vehicle sales and production, hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and battery electric vehicles in world regions, as well as vehicle segments and selected manufacturers for the United States. Key market players are also profiled.

Key questions addressed:

What are the different types of hybrid systems used in light duty vehicles?
Will consumers still purchase “traditional” hybrids after plug-in hybrids are available?
What are the key technologies used in plug-in vehicles?
What types of battery technology are being used and why are different technologies being pursued?
What types of battery technology will be used in future plug-in vehicles?
How are plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and battery electric vehicles likely to be received by consumers when launched?
Will consumers accept plug-in hybrid electric vehicles instead of other alternative fuel vehicles?
How large will the HEV, PHEV, and BEV markets be globally?
Who are the key industry players in the HEV, PHEV, and BEV market?
What are the government incentives to purchase PHEVs and BEVs?

Who needs this report?

Vehicle manufacturers
Vehicle component suppliers
Electric motor manufacturers
Battery manufacturers
Government environmental agencies
Government transportation agencies
Environmental transportation advocacy groups
Vehicle trade associations
Automobile charging station manufacturers
Utilities
Investor community

3.1 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Drivetrains

3.1.1 Parallel Hybrid Design
3.1.2 Series Hybrid Design/Extended Range Electric Vehicle

3.2 Battery Electric Vehicle Drivetrains

3.3 Battery Technology

3.3.1 Lithium Ion Battery Chemistry
3.3.1.1 Lithium Titanate Batteries
3.3.1.2 Safety Concerns
3.3.2 Advanced Battery Chemistry
3.3.2.1 Lithium Air
3.3.2.2 Lithium Sulfur

3.4 Ultracapacitors
3.5 Regenerative Braking

3.6 Recharging Infrastructure

3.6.1 Charging Equipment
3.6.2 Smart Meter Technologies for the Home
3.6.3 Recharging Habits and Public Recharging

4. Demand Drivers

4.1 Market-Based Demand

4.1.1 Energy Costs and Gas/Diesel Prices
4.1.2 Consumer Preference

4.2 Impact of Alternative Fuel Vehicles on Plug-in Vehicles

4.3 Government Emissions Regulations

4.3.1 United States
4.3.1.1 CAFE Standards
4.3.1.2 California Air Resources Board
4.3.2 Canada
4.3.3 Mexico
4.3.4 Europe
4.3.5 Japan
4.3.6 China

4.4 Government Incentives

4.4.1 United States
4.4.2 Canada
4.4.3 Latin America
4.4.4 Europe
4.4.5 Japan
4.4.6 China

4.5 Other Regulatory Incentives

5. Key Industry Players

5.1 Original Equipment Manufacturers

5.1.1 BMW/Mini
5.1.2 BYD
5.1.3 Chery
5.1.4 Daimler
5.1.5 Ford Motor Co.
5.1.6 Fiat/Chrysler
5.1.7 General Motors
5.1.8 Honda
5.1.9 Hyundai/Kia
5.1.10 Mitsubishi
5.1.11 Nissan/Renault
5.1.12 PSA Peugeot/Citroen
5.1.13 Toyota Motor Corp.
5.1.14 Volkswagen/Audi

5.2 New Manufacturers/Converters

5.2.1 ALTe
5.2.2 Bright Automotive
5.2.3 CODA Automotive
5.2.4 Detroit Electric
5.2.5 Fisker Automotive
5.2.6 Tesla Motors

5.3 Key Suppliers

5.3.1 A123 Systems
5.3.2 AeroVironment
5.3.3 Better Place
5.3.4 Clipper Creek
5.3.5 Coulomb Technologies
5.3.6 Dow Kokam Inc.
5.3.7 EnergyCS (Battery Management Systems)
5.3.8 GS Yuasa
5.3.9 LG Chemical/Compact Power
5.3.10 Panasonic EV Energy
5.3.11 Ricardo
5.3.12 SB LiMotive
5.3.13 Siemens
5.3.14 UQM Technologies
5.3.15 Valence technology
5.3.16 ZF Friedrichshafen AG

6. Market Forecasts

6.1 Global Vehicle Sales and Production Forecast: 2010-2015
6.2 Hybrid Vehicle Forecast: 2010-2015
6.3 Global Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Forecast: 2010-2015
6.4 Global Battery Electric Vehicle Forecast: 2010-2015
6.5 Selected OEM Market Share: 2010-2015
6.6 Selected OEMs PHEV Market Share Forecast in the U.S.: 2010-2015
6.7 U.S. Plug-in Vehicle Sales Forecast by Vehicle Segment: 2010-2015
6.8 Summary and Conclusions

7. Company Directory
8. Acronym and Abbreviation List
9. Table of Contents
10. Table of Charts and Figures
11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

Table of Charts and Figures

Total Electrified Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Plug-in Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
PHEV Sales by Segment, United States: 2015
Mix of New Passenger Car and Light Truck Sales by Model Year: 1985-2010
BEV Sales by Segment, United States: 2015
Overall Estimated Ownership Costs During Vehicle Lifetime
Consumer Consideration of Vehicle Alternative Engine Technology
Vehicle Sales by Selected Manufacturers, World Markets: 2010-2015
Consumer Brand Preference for Purchasing BEVs
Annual Total Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total Light-Duty Vehicle Production, by Region, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total Light Duty Vehicle Production, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual HEV Light Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual PHEV Light Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual BEV Light Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Global Market Share for Selected Vehicle Manufacturers: 2010-2015
Plug-in Vehicle Sales by Selected Manufacturers, United States: 2010-2015
Comparison of Plug-in Vehicle Market Share in U.S. and World Markets: 2015
Plug-in Vehicle Sales by Selected Manufacturers, World Markets: 2010-2015
PHEV Sales by Vehicle Segment, United States: 2010-2015
BEV Sales by Vehicle Segment, United States: 2010-2015
Typical State of Charge for Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles
Series and Parallel Hybrid Drivetrains Diagram
BEV Drivetrain Diagram
Comparison of Energy Cost per Mile Between Electric and Gas Vehicles
Typical Residential Electricity Costs for Electric Vehicle
Purchase Probability Among All Vehicle Owning Households

List of Tables

Planned HEV/PHEV/BEV Launches, North America: 2010-2013
Planned HEV/PHEV/BEV Launches, Asia Pacific: 2010-2013
Planned HEV/PHEV/BEV Launches, Europe: 2010-2013
Annual Growth in Total Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Growth in Total Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total Light-Duty Vehicle Production, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Vehicle Overproduction, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Growth in Total HEV Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total HEV Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Growth in Total PHEV Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total PHEV Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Growth in Total BEV Light-Duty Consumer Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Total BEV Light-Duty Consumer Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Growth in Plug-in Vehicle (PHEV/BEV) Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual Plug-in Vehicle (PHEV/BEV) Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Annual HEV/PHEV/BEV Sales, World Markets: 2010-2015
Sales Growth for Selected Manufacturers, World Markets: 2010-2015
Vehicle Sales by Selected Manufacturers, World Markets: 2010-2015
Global Market Share for Selected Manufacturers: 2010-2015
Plug-in Vehicle Sales by Selected Manufacturers, World Markets: 2010-2015
Plug-in Vehicle Market Share For Selected Manufacturers, World Markets: 2010-2015
PHEV Sales Growth Rates by Segment, United States: 2010-2015
PHEV Sales by Segment, United States: 2010-2015
BEV Sales Growth Rates by Segment, United States: 2010-2015
BEV Sales by Segment, United States: 2010-2015
Plug-in Vehicle Sales by Selected Manufacturers, United States: 2010-2015
Plug-in Vehicle Market Share For Selected Manufacturers, United States: 2010-2015
Overall Estimated Ownership Cost Models, United States
Consumer Consideration of Vehicle Alternative Engine Technology
Consumer Brand Preference for Purchasing BEVs

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プレスリリース

2015年にはプラグインハイブリッドカーの販売数は320万

2010年9月1日
世界の自動車メーカーは、まさに、プラグインハイブリッド電気自動車(PHEV)と電池自動車(バッテリー電気自動車、BEV)のマス市場の段階に入ろうとしている。これらの自動車は、従来の内燃機関による自動車に比べて燃費がよく、排出量が少なく、騒音が低い。米国の環境エネルギーなどの地球環境保護に関するクリーン技術関連市場の専門調査会社パイクリサーチ社の調査レポート「プラグインハイブリッド車の市場調査:PEVと電池自動車(電気自動車)のOEM戦略、需要促進要因、技術動向、主要関連企業、世界市場予測 - Plug-in Electric Vehicles: Battery Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles: OEM Strategies, Demand Drivers, Technology Issues, Key Industry Players, and Global Market Forecasts」は、世界のプラグインハイブリッド電気自動車と電池自動車の市場は、今後5年間急速に成長し、販売数は2010-2015年にCAGR106％で成長して合計320万台になるだろうと報告している。

「PHEVとBEVは、従来のハイブリッド車の市場に置き換わるというよりは、むしろその補足となるだろう。電気自動車はハイブリッドカーに先行を許し、まず消費者向けの小型車セグメントで発売され、SUVセグメントがそれに続くだろう。軽量で空気抵抗が少ないため、小型車ははるかに効率がよく、また小さくて安価なバッテリーを使用することが出来るためである」とパイクリサーチ社のシニアアナリストDave Hurst氏は語る。

中国は、2015年に88万8000台のPHEVとBEVの出荷数で、世界の販売数の27％を占め、電気自動車の最大の市場となるだろう。米国は、やや少ない84万1000台で世界市場の26％をしめるだろう。

この調査レポートは、PHEVとBEVの新市場の市場機会と課題を調査している。電気自動車のドライブトレインとバッテリーの技術の分析、高度なバッテリーの調査、政府の産業奨励策、法規制、市場成長促進要因、間もなく登場する自動車の詳細なリスト、2015年までの軽量自動車販売と生産予測、世界のハイブリッド、プラグインハイブリッド、バッテリー電気自動車、自動車の区分と主要な米国のメーカー、主要な企業のプロフィールなどを記載している。

(原文)
3.2 Million Plug-in Electric Vehicles to be Sold Worldwide by 2015

September 1, 2010

Automakers are on the verge of mass-marketing plug-in electric vehicles worldwide, including both plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) as well as battery electric vehicles (BEVs). These vehicles offer improved fuel economy, lower emissions, and a quieter ride than comparable traditionally power internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, with several key variations in driving range capabilities. According to a new report from Pike Research, worldwide adoption of PHEVs and BEVs will grow quickly over the next five years, with sales totaling 3.2 million vehicles between 2010 and 2015 and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 106%.

“PHEVs and BEVs will complement, rather than displacing, the market for conventional hybrid electric vehicles,” says senior analyst Dave Hurst. “Electric vehicles will follow the lead of hybrids and will be launched in the small car segment for consumer markets initially, with the small SUV segment close behind. Because of their low weight and good aerodynamics, smaller vehicles are far more efficient to better extend the electrically powered driving range, and the smaller vehicle segments also allow the use of a smaller, less expensive battery.”

Hurst adds that China will be the largest market for electric vehicles, with more than 888,000 PHEVs and BEVs sold by 2015, representing 27% of worldwide sales. He forecasts that the United States will be close behind with 841,000 vehicles sold, or 26% of the global market.

Pike Research’s report, “Plug-in Electric Vehicles”, analyzes opportunities and challenges in the emerging market for PHEVs and BEVs. The report provides a comprehensive examination of electric drivetrain and battery technology, advanced battery research, government incentives and regulations, and key drivers of market growth. The study includes detailed lists of expected vehicles coming soon, forecasts through 2015 for light duty vehicle sales and production, hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and battery electric vehicles in world regions, as well as vehicle segments and selected manufacturers for the United States. Key market players are also profiled.