ハイブリッド機関車市場調査:タイプ別(ディーゼル/全電気式/発電セット/ハイブリッド)技術革新と市場成長促進要因、市場分析、2020年までの予測
Hybrid Locomotives
Technology Innovations and Demand Drivers for Diesel and All-Electric Locomotives, Genset Locomotives, and Hybrid Locomotives: Market Analysis and Forecasts
| 出版社 |
出版日 | 電子媒体
(05/23 レート) | ページ数 | 図表数 |
| パイクリサーチ社 |
2010年10月 | US$ 3,500
\297,528(税込)
ライセンス別価格 | 53 | 39 |
サマリー
 この調査レポートは、世界の機関車市場における市場の将来性と課題を調査しています。機関車とバッテリー技術、回生ブレーキシステム、政府の排出規制、新しい市場、市場成長促進要因などについての幅広い分析を行っています。また、主要国毎と地域毎に、ディーゼルと全電気式機関車、発電セット機関車、ハイブリッド機関車、必要とされる蓄電池容量などについての予測も掲載しています。
In locomotives, large diesel engines act as generators for electric motors that drive the locomotive. Among the different types of locomotives, those that move rail cars around a yard to line them up for trains are often the source of high emissions. These locomotives are often left idling and operate inefficiently as they have to start and stop often. New locomotives with multiple engines, called gensets, provide locomotives with the power they need as well as the capability to shut off engines (and therefore reduce emissions) when not needed. While genset locomotives provide some fuel savings, the next evolution is a hybrid locomotive that utilizes stored energy.
The locomotive market is challenging for new technology because there are few incentives to innovate. However, with tougher emissions regulations, ability to utilize relatively inexpensive battery chemistry, and some promising prototypes, the hybrid locomotive is expected to become more prevalent later this decade. Genset locomotives will provide tough competition, with the market expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.7% between 2010 and 2020. However, hybrid locomotives will grow quickly towards the end of the decade with a CAGR of 19.4% by 2020, under a baseline forecast scenario.
This Pike Research report examines opportunities and challenges in the global locomotive market. The report provides a comprehensive analysis of locomotives and battery technologies, regenerative braking, government emissions regulations, emerging markets, and key drivers of market growth. The report includes detailed forecasts through 2020, segmented by key countries and world regions, for diesel and all-electric locomotives, genset locomotives, hybrid locomotives, and battery storage capacity needs. Key market players are also profiled. Key questions addressed: - How is a battery hybrid locomotive different from a diesel-electric locomotive?
- How do electric third-rail and overhead lines impact the locomotive market?
- What are the key technologies used in hybrid locomotives?
- Why is AC current being utilized in many new locomotives instead of DC?
- What are the types of batteries likely to be used in hybrid locomotives?
- Where are the strong markets for locomotives and hybrid locomotives?
- What are the strengths and weaknesses of a hybrid locomotive over other locomotive types?
- What are government emission regulations for locomotives and how will they impact the market?
- How large will the market for hybrid and genset locomotives be globally?
- Who are the key industry players in the hybrid locomotive market?
Who needs this report? - Locomotive OEM Marketing Managers
- OEM Supply Chain Managers
- Remanufacturing Marketing and Sales Managers
- Electric Motor Manufacturers
- Battery Manufacturers
- Railroad Planning Managers
- Government Environmental Agency
- Government Railroad Agency
- Environmental Transportation Advocacy Groups
- Railroad Trade Associations
- Investor Community
目次
| Table of Contents | 詳細資料は、お問い合わせフォームから請求してください。 | 1. Executive Summary 1.1 Guidelines 2. Market Issues 2.1 Locomotives in Use 2.2 Definitions 2.2.1 Diesel-Electric without Batteries
2.2.2 Hybrid Electric with Batteries
2.2.2.1 The Legacy of Railpower’s Green Goat 2.3 Competition with Traditional Locomotives 2.4 Track Electrification 2.4.1 Borderless Transportation 3. Technology Issues 3.1 Direct Current vs. Alternating Current 3.2 Energy Storage Technology 3.2.1 Lead Acid Batteries
3.2.1.1 Advanced Lead Acid Batteries
3.2.2 Sodium Metal Halide Batteries
3.2.3 Sodium Sulfur Batteries
3.2.4 Lithium Ion Batteries
3.2.5 Ultracapacitors 3.3 Battery Size and Cost Analysis 3.4 Braking Systems 3.4.1 Dynamic Braking
3.4.2 Regenerative Braking 4. Demand Drivers 4.1 Emissions Issues for Railroad Companies
4.1.1 New Diesel Engine Regulations
4.2 Government Influence on Locomotive Purchases
4.3 Government Support for Passenger Rail
4.4 Economic Growth in BRIC Countries
4.5 Hybrid Locomotive Strength and Weaknesses 5. Key Industry Players 5.1 AHL-Tech
5.2 Alstom Group
5.3 Axion Power International
5.4 BAE Batterien GmbH
5.5 Bombardier
5.6 BNSF
5.7 Brookville Equipment Corporation
5.8 Crown Battery
5.9 China CNR Corporation
5.10 CSR Qishuyan Locomotive Company
5.11 Electro Motive Diesel
5.12 EnerSys
5.13 Exide Battery Corporation
5.14 General Electric
5.15 Hitachi
5.16 Hyundai Rotem Corp
5.17 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
5.18 National Railway Equipment Company
5.19 Norfolk Southern
5.20 Progress Rail Services
5.21 Relco Locomotives
5.22 Remy International
5.23 Railpower Technologies
5.24 Siemens
5.25 Toshiba
5.26 Transmashholding
5.27 Union Pacific
5.28 Vossloh 6. Market Forecasts 6.1 Locomotive Sales 6.2 Diesel Locomotive Sales, World Markets 6.2.1 Diesel Road Locomotive Sales, World Markets
6.2.2 Diesel Switching/Shunting Locomotive Sales, World Markets
6.2.3 Diesel Passenger Locomotive Sales, World Markets 6.3 Genset Locomotive Sales 6.3.1 Genset Locomotive Average Prices 6.4 Hybrid Electric Locomotive Sales, World Markets
6.5 Battery Capacity Required for Hybrid Locomotives
6.6 Summary and Conclusions 7. Company Directory
8. Acronym and Abbreviation List
9. Table of Contents
10. Table of Charts and Figures
11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes List of Charts and Figures - Diesel Genset Switcher Locomotives Sales by Region, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Hybrid Electric Locomotive Sales by Region, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Percentage of Railroad Track Electrification, European Union: 2009
- Locomotives by Electric Motor Current, North America: 2010-2015
- Diesel Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Electric (Non-Diesel) Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Road Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Switch/Shunter Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Passenger Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Genset Switcher Locomotive Sales, Baseline and Aggressive Scenarios, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Genset Locomotives Average Price by Region, World Markets: 2015
- Diesel Hybrid Electric Locomotive Sales, Baseline and Aggressive Scenarios, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Hybrid Electric Locomotive Sales, Baseline and Aggressive Scenarios, North America and Western Europe: 2010-2020
- Hybrid Locomotive Battery Storage Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Mix of Locomotive Battery Storage by Chemistry, World Markets: 2020
- European Rail Electrification Map
- Duty Cycle of a Typical Switcher Locomotive
- Progression of Locomotive PM Regulation, United States and European Union
- Amtrak Ridership Trends, United States (Millions of Passengers)
- Freight Rail Rates Index, Average for 2006-2008
List of Tables - Locomotive Types
- Railroad Track Electrification by Region, World Markets: 2009
- Railroad Track Electrification by Country, European Union: 2009
- Battery Technology Strengths and Weaknesses for Locomotive Applications
- Locomotives by Motor Current Type, North America: 2010
- Locomotives by Type, North America: 2010
- Diesel Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Electric (Non-Diesel) Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Road Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Switch/Shunter Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Passenger Locomotive Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Locomotive Sales by Type, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Genset Switcher Locomotive Sales by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Genset Switcher Locomotive Sales by Region, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Genset Locomotive Price by Region, World Markets: 2010-2015
- Diesel Hybrid Electric Locomotive Sales by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Diesel Hybrid Electric Locomotive Sales by Region, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Hybrid Locomotive Battery Storage by Region, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2010-2020
- Hybrid Locomotive Battery Storage Forecast by Chemistry, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2020
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プレスリリース
ハイブリッド機関車は2020年までの世界の鉄道産業で重要性を増す 2010年10月26日
機関車は、大きなディーゼルエンジンを電気モーターの発生機(ジェネレータ)として使用する。さまざまなタイプの機関車のなかには、列車を動かすヤード当たりの二酸化炭素排出量削減効果が高いものもある。しかし、これらの機関車の多くがアイドリング状態のままだったり、またはしばしば発進したり停止したりするなど、非効率的に運転されている。新しい機関車は、gensetsと呼ばれる発電機セットによる複数のエンジンを搭載し、必要な発電量を提供してエンジンを切断することで、排出量を削減する。ジェンセット機関車は燃料を削減するが、次の革新は蓄積されたエネルギーを利用するハイブリッド機関車である。 米国の環境エネルギーなどの地球環境保護に関するクリーン技術関連市場の専門調査会社パイクリサーチ社の調査レポート「ハイブリッド機関車市場調査:タイプ別(ディーゼル/全電気式/発電セット/ハイブリッド)技術革新と市場成長促進要因、市場分析、2020年までの予測 ー Hybrid Locomotives:Technology Innovations and Demand Drivers for Diesel and All-Electric Locomotives, Genset Locomotives, and Hybrid Locomotives: Market Analysis and Forecasts」は、ハイブリッド電気機関車の販売は、2015-2020年に世界の鉄道産業で増加するだろうと報告している。この期間に、ハイブリッド機関車の販売は、基本的なシナリオで、CAGR(年平均成長率)19.4%で成長し、2020年には年間販売数は100台を上回るだろう。積極的な予測シナリオによれば、市場成長はCAGR(年平均成長率)25.4%で、年間販売台数は170以上であるだろうとパイクリサーチ社は予測している。(後略) (原文)
Hybrid Locomotives to Play an Increasing Role in the Global Rail Industry by 2020 October 26, 2010 In locomotives, large diesel engines act as generators for electric motors that drive the locomotive. Among the different types of locomotives, those that move rail cars around a yard to line them up for trains are often the source of high emissions. These locomotives are often left idling and operate inefficiently as they have to start and stop often. New locomotives with multiple engines, called generator sets (gensets), provide locomotives with the power they need as well as the capability to shut off engines (and therefore reduce emissions) when not needed. While genset locomotives provide some fuel savings, the next evolution is a hybrid locomotive that utilizes stored energy. According to a new report from Pike Research, hybrid electric locomotive sales will have an increasing presence in global rail markets between 2015 and 2020. During that period, hybrid locomotive sales will increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.4% under a baseline forecast scenario, with annual unit sales surpassing 100 locomotives by 2020. Pike Research’s aggressive forecast scenario anticipates that the market could achieve a CAGR of 25.4% during the same period, with annual unit sales exceeding 170. “Hybrid locomotives will have a strong return on investment, as a result of their ability to use low-cost batteries,” says senior analyst Dave Hurst. “In addition, the market will receive a boost from new diesel locomotive emissions regulations scheduled to go into effect in the European Union in 2014 and in North America in 2015, which will require diesel locomotives to receive substantial changes or exhaust treatments. In addition, railroad infrastructure is growing rapidly in India and China, and emissions concerns will drive hybrid demand in those markets as well.” However, adds Hurst, growth in hybrid locomotives faces several key challenges. In Europe, track electrification will eliminate the need for either diesel or battery storage in many areas. In North America, a high-profile hybrid locomotive product faced a serious setback in the mid-2000s that still haunts the industry today. Hurst also notes that the market for hybrid locomotives faces stiff competition from newer fuel-efficient locomotives such as diesel gensets, and in many world regions, the locomotive engine does not have to meet strict emissions rules. Pike Research’s study, “Hybrid Locomotives”, examines opportunities and challenges in the global locomotive market. The report provides a comprehensive analysis of locomotives and battery technologies, regenerative braking, government emissions regulations, emerging markets, and key drivers of market growth. The report includes detailed forecasts through 2020, segmented by key countries and world regions, for diesel and all-electric locomotives, genset locomotives, hybrid locomotives, and battery storage capacity needs. Key market players are also profiled.
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