米国の電気自動車市場:2017年までのプラグイン電気自動車売上予測 (州/大都市統計圏/主要公共サービス) / パイクリサーチ社

米国の電気自動車市場:2017年までのプラグイン電気自動車売上予測 (州/大都市統計圏/主要公共サービス)

Electric Vehicle Geographic Forecasts
Plug-in Electric Vehicle Sales Forecasts by State, Metropolitan Statistical Area, and Selected Utility Service Territories

アメリカの電気自動車所有状況

目次
プレスリリース
印刷

出版社	出版日	電子媒体 (05/23 レート)	ページ数	図表数
パイクリサーチ社	2011年2月	US$ 3,800 \323,030(税込) ライセンス別価格	26	30

価格・ご注文について

サマリー

この調査レポートは、米国のプラグイン電気自動車市場を調査し、州および大都市統計圏毎に予測を含むデータを提供しています。

Pike Research forecasts an annual plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market in the United States of about 359,000 vehicles by 2017. Unfortunately, for many industry players who are working on setting up recharging station networks, developing product and production plans, and allocating precious marketing resources, this top-level forecast does not offer specific enough data. As government officials and utility managers plan for the arrival of grid-connected vehicles, they need to understand where those vehicles are going to be located and what the impact could be.

To understand where these vehicles will likely be sold, Pike Research created a detailed geographic forecast model using a variety of inputs including population and demographic trends, affinity towards electric vehicles, and automakers’ intended availability of vehicles. As a result of these, Pike Research forecasts that while California and New York will be the largest states for PEV sales, the largest cities do not necessarily correlate to the most sales. In fact, New York City and California cities dominate the top markets for PEVs, while other large population centers like Dallas, Philadelphia, Houston, Miami, Atlanta, and Washington DC fall short of the top markets for plug-in electric vehicles. Another key question many ask, is what happens when all these vehicles plug in? In the case of Southern California Edison’s service territory, which is expected to be the largest market for PEV sales over the next seven years, the maximum potential is a 498 MW load on the grid by 2017.

This Pike Research report provides data and forecasts for the plug-in electric vehicle market at the state and metropolitan statistical area levels. This report also includes forecasts for plug-in electric vehicle sales within selected electric utility service territories. The data includes sales forecasts from 2011 to 2017 at each geographic level, and analysis of major trends in the forecasts.

Key questions addressed:

Which states have the greatest affinity toward electric vehicle ownership?
Which cities’ demographic characteristics will make them large markets for electric vehicles?
What is the size of the plug-in electric vehicle market over the next six years and how fast will the market grow?
Where will plug-in electric vehicle sales grow the fastest?
What will be the plug-in electric vehicle sales in your state?
How large will the market share of plug-in electric vehicles be in each state?
Which cities will see the largest number of plug-in electric vehicles in the next six years?
How many vehicles will electric utilities have to prepare for?
What is the potential grid impact of these vehicles to utilities?

Who needs this report?

Auto manufacturers
Vehicle aftermarket and service management
Auto suppliers
Electric vehicle charging equipment vendors
Utilities
Government agencies
Industry associations
Investor community

Mix of PEV Availability in Top Ten States: 2010, 2017
Cumulative Light Duty Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, Ten Largest MSAs by Population: 2011-2017
Cumulative Light Duty Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, Selected Utility Service Area: 2011-2017
Index of Demographic Similarities between MSA and National Hybrid Profile, 2009
Index of Positive Opinion Toward Plug-In Electric Vehicles, 2010
Mix of PEV Availability by State: 2010, 2017
Annual Light Duty Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Mix of Annual Plug-In Electric Light Duty Vehicle Sales, United States: 2017
Annual Light Duty Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, Top Ten States: 2011-2017
PEV Percentage of Total Light Duty Vehicle Sales, Top 25 States: 2017
Annual Light Duty Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, Top Ten MSAs by Sales: 2011-2017
Annual Light Duty Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, Top Ten MSAs by Population: 2011-2017

List of Tables

Index of Demographic Similarities between MSA and National Hybrid Profile
Index of Positive Opinion Toward Electric Vehicles
Mix of PEV Availability by State: 2010-2017
Total Population by State, United States: 2009
Total Population, 50 Largest United States Metropolitan Statistical Areas: 2009
Light Duty Vehicle Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Plug-In Electric Vehicle Percentage of Total Light Duty Vehicle Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Cumulative Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, 50 Largest United States Metropolitan Statistical Areas: 2011-2017
Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, 50 Largest United States Metropolitan Statistical Areas Sorted by Population: 2011-2017
Cumulative Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales, 50 Largest United States Metropolitan Statistical Areas Sorted by Population: 2011-2017
Household Electric Service Supplied by Selected Electric Utility Companies: 2009
Annual Plug-In Electric Light Duty Vehicle (BEV/PHEV) Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Mix of Annual Plug-In Electric Light Duty Vehicle (BEV/PHEV) Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Cumulative Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales by Selected Utility Service Areas: 2011-2017
Estimated Maximum Potential Load from PEV Recharging, by Utility Service Area: 2011-2017
Current Generating Capacity by Selected Utilities: 2009

電子媒体価格表

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プレスリリース

電気自動車が最も普及している市場はカリフォルニアとニューヨーク市

2011年2月10日
米国のプラグイン電気自動車市場の成長のためには、再充電ステーションのネットワークや、製品と製造計画の準備に取り掛かっている関連企業の多大な努力が必要である。PEVの普及は地域によって大きくばらつきがあり、連邦政府や地域自治体は、来るべき電力グリッドに接続する自動車のための電力の管理計画において、どのように配置し、どのような影響があるかを認識しなければならない。

米国の環境エネルギーなどの地球環境保護に関するクリーン技術関連市場の専門調査会社パイクリサーチ社の調査レポート「米国の電気自動車市場:2017年までのプラグイン電気自動車売上予測 (州/大都市統計圏/主要公共サービス) ー Electric Vehicle Geographic Forecasts:Plug-in Electric Vehicle Sales Forecasts by State, Metropolitan Statistical Area, and Selected Utility Service Territories」は、今後数年間にPEVの普及が最も進む都市は、ニューヨーク、ロサンゼルス、サンフランシスコだろうと予測している。また、Southern California EdisonやPacific Gas & Electricなどの電力会社は、PEVの普及に対応しするために一層の対応を迫られることになるだろう。

「電気自動車の普及は、さまざまな国や地域で大きく異なるだろう。人口、消費者態度、都市、電力インフラストラクチャ、メーカーの導入計画などが、それぞれの地域でのPEVの採用に大きく影響するだろう」とパイクリサーチ社のシニアアナリストDave Hurst氏は語る。
(後略)

[プレスリリース原文]
California and New York Cities to be the Largest Markets for Electric Vehicles

February 10, 2011

The growth of the plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market in the United States will require significant preparation by industry players who are working on setting up recharging station networks, developing product and production plans, and allocating precious marketing resources. Adoption of PEVs will vary significantly by geography, and as state and local government officials as well as utility managers plan for the arrival of grid-connected vehicles, they need to understand where those vehicles are going to be located and what the impact could be.

According to a new report from Pike Research, the metropolitan areas with the largest number of PEVs on the road in the next several years will include New York, Los Angeles, and San Francisco. The cleantech market intelligence firm also forecasts that certain utilities, such as Southern California Edison and Pacific Gas & Electric, will need to prepare for the arrival of PEVs in much larger numbers than their counterparts in other regions.

“Electric vehicle adoption will follow markedly different patterns in various parts of the country,” says senior analyst Dave Hurst. “Demographics, consumer attitudes, city and utility infrastructure, and manufacturer launch plans will all have an influence on the uptake of PEVs in different areas.”

Pike Research forecasts that the top 5 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) for cumulative electric vehicle purchases between 2011 and 2017 will be:

New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL-IN-WI

Relative to population, the firm anticipates that PEV penetration rates will be the highest in several smaller MSAs including Raleigh-Cary, NC; San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA; and Sacramento-Arden Arcade-Roseville, CA.

Pike Research expects that the electric utilities with the largest number of electric vehicles will be:

Southern California Edison (California)
Pacific Gas & Electric (California)
Consolidated Edison (New York)
Exelon (Illinois, Pennsylvania)
FPL Group (Florida)

Pike Research’s report, “Electric Vehicle Geographic Forecasts”, provides data and forecasts for the plug-in electric vehicle market at the state and metropolitan statistical area levels. The report also includes forecasts for plug-in electric vehicle sales within selected electric utility service territories. The data includes sales forecasts from 2011 to 2017 at each geographic level, and analysis of major trends in the forecasts.