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リモートマイクログリッドの市場分析と予測:村落発電システム、小規模グリッドアイランドシステム、鉱山向け遠隔システム、軍事用モバイルマイクログリッド

Remote Microgrids
Village Power Systems, Weak Grid Island Systems, Industrial Remote Mine Systems, and Mobile Military Microgrids: Market Analysis and Forecasts

 

出版社 出版日電子媒体
(05/23 レート)
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パイクリサーチ社 2012年1月US$ 3,900
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サマリー

この調査レポートは、村落発電システム、小規模グリッドアイランドシステム、鉱山向け遠隔システム、軍事用モバイルマイクログリッドなどの主要セグメント毎に遠隔マイクログリッドの世界市場の将来性を調査し、アプリケーションおよび地域毎に2017年までの詳細な市場予測を行っています。

Remote power systems in all corners of the world number in the thousands, with the vast majority being powered up by dumb, dirty diesel generation, hardly a technology of relevance to the smart grid and fundamental networking advantages of the microgrid platform. Nevertheless, once distributed renewable energy generation (RDEG) is added to the mix, then these remote microgrids begin to look like classic microgrids. The closest analogy to remote microgrids funded by the U.S. government are the so-called “mobile microgrids” deployed at military forward operating bases (FOBs) in Afghanistan and Iraq, and other temporary or remote bases throughout the world.

Since these remote microgrids never connect to a larger grid and, therefore, operate in an island mode on a 24/7 basis, a greater need exists for energy storage versus other topologies. Many of these microgrids are designed to reduce diesel fuel consumption by integration of solar photovoltaics, a technology that is the primary driver for remote microgrids over the next 6 years. Pike Research forecasts that the global remote microgrid market will expand from 349 megawatts (MW) of generation capacity in 2011 to over 1.1 gigawatts (GW) by 2017, an amount that equals or perhaps even surpasses all other microgrid segments combined that are in the current planning stages or have already been deployed.

This Pike Research report analyzes the global market opportunity for remote microgrids in several key segments including village power systems, weak grid island systems, industrial remote mine systems, and mobile military microgrids. The study examines the market issues and demand drivers associated with adoption of microgrids for remote applications, assesses technology and implementation issues, and profiles the key industry players that are engaged in this fast-growing market. Market forecasts, segmented by application and world region, are provided for generation capacity and revenue growth through 2017.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • Which technology components vital to grid-connected microgrids are relevant or irrelevant to remote microgrids?
  • Why is the remote microgrid application so commercially advanced?
  • Beyond General Electric, which established companies are engaged in the remote microgrid market?
  • Who are the leading developers of remote microgrids?
  • Unlike other microgrid markets, wind power is the dominant generation source for remote microgrids. Why?
  • Which two locations are the world’s current wind/diesel remote microgrid hot spots?
  • Moving forward, why are solar photovoltaics (PV) the primary technology driver behind this remote microgrid market?

Who needs this report?

  • Microgrid and smart grid technology companies
  • Microgrid project developers
  • Solar PV and wind turbine manufacturers
  • Large industrial power users
  • Non-governmental organizations
  • Military agencies
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community


目次

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Remote Microgrids Market Overview

1.1.1 Remote Microgrids Market Segmentation
1.1.2 Remote Microgrids Landscape

1.2 Remote Microgrids Market Forecast

1.2.1 Remote Microgrid Capacity
1.2.2 Remote Microgrid Revenue

2. Market Issues

2.1 What Is a Microgrid?

2.1.1 Microgrid Application Overview

2.2 Remote Microgrids: Key Definitions and Components

2.2.1 Distributed Energy Generation
2.2.2 Micro Storage
2.2.3 Inverters, Converters, and Charge Controllers
2.2.4 Microgrid “Control” Systems

2.3 The Business Case for Remote Microgrids: SWOT Analysis

2.4 Current Remote Microgrid Opportunities

2.4.1 Population Growth Patterns in the Developing World
2.4.2 A Bottom of the Pyramid Value Proposition
2.4.3 High Cost of Diesel Power Generation on Islands
2.4.4 Declining Costs of Solar PV
2.4.5 Military Advances with Mobile Microgrids
2.4.6 NGO Funds

2.5 Implementation Issues

2.5.1 Microgrid Market Focused on Grid-Tied Systems
2.5.2 Lack of Commercial Terms in Key Emerging Markets
2.5.3 Cultural Business Protocols Vary by Geography
2.5.4 Lack of Fully Vetted Business Models
2.5.5 AC versus DC Grid Architectures

3. Technology Issues

3.1 Remote Microgrid Sector Technologies Overview

3.1.1 Wind and Solar Resources
3.1.2 Technology Upgrades

3.2 Microgrid Component Cost Breakdown

3.3 Remote Microgrid Subsegments

3.3.1 Village Power Systems
3.3.1.1 Pros and Cons
3.3.2 Weak Grid Island Systems
3.3.2.1 Pros and Cons
3.3.3 Remote Mining Operations
3.3.3.1 Pros and Cons
3.3.4 Mobile Military Microgrids
3.3.4.1 Pros and Cons

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Utilities

4.1.1 Alaska Energy Authority
4.1.2 BC Hydro

4.2 Design Software Providers

4.2.1 HOMER Energy

4.3 Specialized Hardware and Systems Integrators

4.3.1 Nextek Power Systems
4.3.2 OutBack Power Technologies
4.3.3 Powercorp/ABB
4.3.4 Toshiba

4.4 Defense Contractors

4.4.1 General Electric
4.4.2 NextEnergy

4.5 Storage Innovators

4.5.1 Xtreme Power
4.5.2 ZBB Energy

4.6 Industrial Remote Mine Renewable Power Specialists

4.6.1 Remote Energy Solutions

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Remote Microgrids Market Overview 

5.1.1 Remote Microgrid Subsegments
5.1.2 Remote Microgrid Revenue Methodology

5.2 Village Power Systems

5.2.1 Case Study: United Nations Foundation
5.2.2 North America
5.2.3 Latin America
5.2.3.1 Case Study: Village Power Systems in Chile, South America
5.2.4 Europe
5.2.5 Asia Pacific
5.2.6 Rest of the World

5.3 Weak Grid Island Systems

5.3.1 North America
5.3.2 Latin America
5.3.3 Europe
5.3.4 Asia Pacific
5.3.5 Rest of the World

5.4 Industrial Remote Mine Systems

5.4.1 North America
5.4.2 Latin America
5.4.3 Europe
5.4.4 Asia Pacific
5.4.5 Rest of the World

5.5 Mobile Military Microgrids

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes 

List of Charts and Figures

  • Total Remote Microgrid Capacity, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Revenue, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Capacity, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Revenue, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Capacity, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Revenue, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Capacity, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Revenue, All Scenarios, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Military Forward Operating Base Installations, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Mobile Military Microgrid Capacity, All Scenarios, United States: 2011-2017
  • Mobile Military Microgrid Revenue, All Scenarios, United States: 2011-2017
  • PQR Hierarchy
  • Microgrid Market Shares Based on Capacity Size, World Markets: 2009
  • Solar PV Market Displaying Exponential Growth, World Markets: 2000-2010
  • Microgrid Market Shares per Generation Type, World Markets: 2009
  • Long-Term Population Trends: 1950-2050
  • Regional Remote Microgrid Opportunities: 1970-2030
  • Topology of Remote Microgrid at Gaidouromantra, Kythos Island, Greece
  • Solar PV and Diesel Generation Cost Crossover Point: 2001-2011
  • Historical Price Trends for Solar PV: 1985-2011
  • The History and Evolution of DC Distributed Power
  • Low, Medium, and High Wind Penetration Microgrid Cost Factors in Alaska
  • Daily Solar Radiation and Clearness Levels for Tropical Remote Microgrid Sites
  • Monthly Wind Speed Estimates for Tropical Remote Microgrid Sites
  • Cost Breakdown for Alaska Wind-Diesel Remote Microgrids
  • Load Profile for Tropical Village Power System in Developing World
  • Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority (AIDEA) Wind Diesel Hybrid
  • Remote Microgrid Projects
  • Topology of Bella Coola Remote Microgrid
  • DC Direct Coupling Microgrid Advantages
  • OutBack Power Village Power Distribution Center
  • PowerStore Flywheel Diagram
  • Solar PV and Small Wind on Miyako Island, Japan
  • REMUS System in Afghanistan
  • EPRI’s Cost Ranking of Major Storage Systems
  • Relative Shares of Electric Power: OECD vs. Non-OECD Countries: 1990-2035
  • IEA Solar PV Roadmap Scenarios: 2010-2050
  • Solar PV End-Use Market Segments (Including Off-Grid): 2010-2050
  • Ontario’s Remote Northern Community Remote Microgrid Sites
  • Topology of Huatacondo Project in Chile, South America
  • Ross Island, Antarctica Weak Grid Island System

List of Tables

  • SWOT Analysis for Remote Microgrids
  • Alaska Energy Authority SWOT Analysis
  • BC Hydro SWOT Analysis
  • HOMER Energy SWOT Analysis
  • Nextek Power Systems SWOT Analysis
  • OutBack Power SWOT Analysis
  • Powercorp/ABB SWOT Analysis
  • Toshiba SWOT Analysis
  • GE SWOT Analysis
  • NextEnergy SWOT Analysis
  • Xtreme Power SWOT Analysis
  • Village Power Systems Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Capacity by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Revenue by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Village Power Systems Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Capacity by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Revenue by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Weak Grid Island Systems Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Capacity by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Revenue by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Industrial Remote Mine Systems Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Military Forward Operating Base Installations by Conflict Zone, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Mobile Military Microgrid Capacity, All Scenarios, United States: 2011-2017
  • Mobile Military Microgrid Revenue, All Scenarios, United States: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Capacity by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Revenue by Region, Average Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Remote Microgrid Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2011-2017

 

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