「電動自転車と電動スクーターは、消費者にとって非常に魅力的である。取得コストが比較的安価であり、駐車スペースもあまり大きく必要でなく、メンテナンスが楽で、都市生活者にとっては便利である。従来の自動車のような交通渋滞や二酸化炭素排出の問題なしに、既存の交通や電力インフラを活用できるため、政府もまた電動自転車と電動スクーターを推進している」とパイクリサーチ社のシニアアナリストDave Hurst氏は語る。
同様の促進要因から、電動スクーターははるかに大きな市場を形成し、世界市場で電動自転車の約6倍の販売を達成するだろう。しかし、その比率は地域によって異なり、例えば北米では、電動スクーターより高速で長距離に向いている電動自転車の販売が59％を占めるだろう。
パイクリサーチ社は、電動二輪車の成長は、バッテリーの需要を大きく刺激するだろうと分析している。電動二輪車は、リチウムイオン電池と鉛畜電池の両方を利用するだろう。電動自転車用のリチウムイオン電池の市場は2011-2017年にCAGR24%、電動スクーター用はCAGR17%で拡大するだろう。先行する鉛蓄電池の市場は特に新興市場で成長し、同予測期間に、電動自転車でCAGR27%、電動スクーターでCAGR29%の成長であるだろう。
この調査レポートは、電動自転車と電動スクーターの市場力学、技術的課題、政府の奨励策と法規制、成長の主要促進要因を分析している。2017年までの販売予測、バッテリー技術の予測、主要な企業の概要を記載している。
April 18, 2011
As electric passenger cars become increasingly familiar to consumers around the world, electric motorcycles and scooters are also growing in popularity. E-motorcycles and e-scooters are already used in significant numbers in China and other parts of Asia Pacific, due in large part to urbanization trends, and people in many countries are accustomed to using two-wheel vehicles as a primary mode of transportation. In other regions, improving customer perception, government incentives, and high petroleum fuel costs all contribute in some part to the demand growth for electric motorcycles and scooters. According to a new report from Pike Research, the number of e-motorcycles and e-scooters on the road will increase from 17 million in 2011 to 138 million by 2017.
“Electric motorcycles and scooters have strong appeal for many consumers,” says senior analyst Dave Hurst. “They are relatively low cost to own, do not take a lot of space, and are easy to maintain, therefore making them attractive for city dwellers. Governments also like these vehicles because they can utilize existing transportation and electricity infrastructure without the congestion problems and emissions impacts of conventional automobiles.”
Hurst adds that, fueled by those same market drivers, e-scooters will represent a much larger industry, outselling e-motorcycles by a factor of more than six to one on a global basis. However, he expects that the mix will be considerably different in certain regions, such as North America, where e-motorcycles will represent 59% of combined sales due to their higher speeds and longer range than e-scooters.
Pike Research’s analysis indicates that the growth in electric two-wheel vehicles will also have a meaningful impact on demand for batteries. The vehicles will utilize both lithium ion (Li-ion) and lead acid batteries. The firm forecasts that the market for Li-ion for e-motorcycles will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% between 2011 and 2017, while Li-ion for the e-scooters market will increase at a CAGR of 19%. The lead acid battery market will grow, as well, particularly in emerging markets, with the e-motorcycle sector garnering a 27% CAGR and e-scooters a 29% CAGR for the same period.
Pike Research’s study, “Electric Motorcycles and Scooters”, provides a comprehensive examination of the market forces, technology issues, government incentives and regulations, and key drivers of the growth of e-motorcycles and e-scooters. The report includes e-motorcycle and e-scooter sales forecasts and battery technology forecasts through 2017, as well as profiles of key industry players.
