世界各国のリアルタイムなデータ・インテリジェンスで皆様をお手伝い

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この調査レポートは、先進国および発展途上国におけるエネルギーコードや換金・奨励金プログラム、持続可能性/グリーン証明書、原料供給問題、地理的影響など、世界の省エネルギー・高効率の照明市場に影響を与える様々な要因について調査・分析しています。またアプリケーション毎や電球タイプ/LED毎、照明器具、地域毎の2021年までの予測結果も掲載しています。

For more than 130 years, the world has relied on variations of incandescent and gas-discharge lamps to illuminate commercial buildings. With the rise of the general-illumination white LED lighting only a few years ago, the lighting industry is experiencing its first revolutionary change since the commercialization of the fluorescent lamp in the 1930s. As the semiconductor and software industries converge on the traditional lighting world, Pike Research expects that the lighting industry will see more change in the next five years than in the previous 50. By the end of our 10-year outlook, LED solid state lighting will not only capture over 50% of the global market, but the extraordinary lifetimes of these lamps will drive a steady decline in the commercial lamp market despite a steadily growing base of new buildings and access to electricity in emerging countries.

Today’s market includes a flurry of start-ups and global giants spending the vast majority of their development resources on putting the LED payback period on par with that of fluorescent. Not only are LED costs projected to decline rapidly, but each year those projections are accelerated; an indication that the rate of change continues to be underestimated. But for at least the next several years, LEDs are out of reach for the general illumination market and are seeing early success in niche markets and applications. For the mass energy efficiency market, the most influential market drivers are energy codes, rebates and incentives, all of which raise the minimum standards and effectively pare out the least efficient ? such as incandescent lamps. On the cutting edge of efficiency, certifications such as the USGBC’s LEED, publicly funded projects, and those supported by conservationists are raising the bar on high standards and pulling energy code requirements up in the process.

This Pike Research report describes the key factors that are influencing the market for energy efficient lighting around the world: trends in energy codes, rebate and subsidy programs, sustainability/green certifications, raw material supply issues, geopolitical influences in developing and developed nations, and more. The report describes the influence of industry structure, key applications, and the many technology issues involved in the decision to specify various lighting technologies. Comprehensive unit and dollar forecasts are presented through 2021, segmented by application, lamp type/LED, luminaires, and geographic region.

Key Questions Addressed:

• What is the total revenue potential for commercial lighting by lamp type and geography?
• What industry and market trends are guiding the adoption of more efficient lighting?
• What are the lamp technology hurdles and advantages critical to LED and energy efficiency advancement?
• What is the state of energy efficient lighting in various countries and regions around the world?
• When will the LED significantly disrupt fluorescent as the primary light source in commercial markets?
• What are the fastest growing application segments for energy efficient lighting and what are the key drivers in each segment?

Who needs this report?

• Traditional lamp and luminaire manufacturers
• LED/solid state lighting manufacturers
• Commercial and industrial building owners and managers
• Energy service companies (ESCOs)
• Utilities
• Government agencies
• Industry associations
• Investor community

目次

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Introduction
1.2 Market Influences
1.3 Technology Issues
1.4 Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1 Market Drivers

2.1.1 Codes and Regulations
2.1.2 Incandescent Phase Out
2.1.3 Rebates and Incentives
2.1.4 Global Sustainability and Green Certifications
2.1.5 Public/Cultural Opinion

2.2 Defining and Measuring Economic Efficiency

2.2.1 Cost Drivers
2.2.1.1 Policy Influences
2.2.1.2 Supply Influences
2.2.1.3 LED Cost Reductions
2.2.1.4 LED Price Reductions
2.2.2 Operating Costs
2.2.3 Electric Rates
2.2.4 Total Lifecycle Cost

2.3 Who Benefits from, and Who Pays for, Efficiency

2.4 Market Definitions and Segmentation

2.4.1 Vertical Components
2.4.2 Horizontal Components
2.4.2.1 New Construction
2.4.2.2 Retrofit

2.5 Considerations by Application

2.5.1 Indoor
2.5.1.1 General Illumination for Offices, Schools, and Institutional Facilities
2.5.1.2 Industrial
2.5.1.3 Warehouses
2.5.1.4 Big Box Retail
2.5.1.5 Theatrical and Architectural Illumination
2.5.1.6 Retail Display/Jewelry
2.5.1.7 Plants and Produce
2.5.1.8 Cold Storage/Freezers
2.5.2 Outdoor
2.5.2.1 Roadways and Parking Lot Poles and Structures
2.5.2.2 Auto Dealer Parking Lots
2.5.2.3 Sports/Event Lighting

2.6 Market Variations by International Region

2.6.1 Asia Pacific
2.6.2 Europe
2.6.3 Middle East/Africa
2.6.4 Latin America

3. Technology Issues

3.1 Technical Definitions and Measures of Efficiency

3.1.1 Efficacy, Efficiency, and Coefficient of Utilization
3.1.2 Lamp Life
3.1.3 Color Rendering Index (CRI) and Pupil Lumens
3.1.4 Lumen Depreciation/Lumen Maintenance
3.1.5 Ambient and Device Temperature Effects
3.1.5.1 Fluorescent
3.1.5.2 LED

3.2 State of Efficient Light Sources

3.2.1 Linear Fluorescent
3.2.2 Compact Fluorescent Lamp
3.2.3 Induction
3.2.4 High-Intensity Discharge
3.2.4.1 Pulse Start Metal Halide
3.2.4.2 Ceramic Metal Halide
3.2.5 Solid-State Lighting (LED and OLED)
3.2.5.1 LED
3.2.5.2 OLED

3.3 Other Considerations in Efficiency

3.3.1 DC Power Distribution
3.3.2 Voltage Effects (120/240/277/347/480 VAC)
3.3.3 Current Inrush Effects
3.3.4 Lighting Controls

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Major lighting brands and Global Lighting Giants

4.2.1 GE Lighting
4.2.2 OSRAM
4.2.3 Philips Lighting

4.3 Controls

4.3.1 Leviton
4.3.2 Lutron
4.3.3 LED Technology
4.3.4 Bridgelux
4.3.5 Cree/Ruud
4.3.6 Nichia

4.4 Other Large Companies

4.4.1 Acuity Brands
4.4.2 Cooper Lighting
4.4.3 Hubbell Lighting
4.4.4 Juno Lighting
4.4.5 Zumtobel Group

4.5 Major Lighting Brands

4.5.1 Lightolier
4.5.2 Lithonia Lighting

4.6 Research Organizations
4.7 Industry Associations ? Lighting and Energy Efficiency

4.8 Government - Regulators and Programs

4.8.1 U.S. Department of Energy
4.8.2 European Union
4.8.3 Other Regions

4.9 Lighting Competitions
4.10 Other Industry Information Sources

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Introduction
5.2 Forecast Methodology

5.3 Forecast Components

5.3.1 Commercial Floor Space
5.3.2 New Construction and Existing Space
5.3.3 Retrofit of Existing Space
5.3.4 Lighting Power Density (LPD)
5.3.5 Share of Lamp Type for New and Retrofit Projects
5.3.6 Replacement Lamps

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

• Commercial Lighting Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamps Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Phosphor Price Index: 2011
• Commercial Electricity Prices, United States: 1960-2011
• Typical Fluorescent Lumen Output by Temperature
• Estimated Outdoor Pole-Mounted LED Life Expectancy versus Ambient Temperature
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Projected Retrofit Rates: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• State Energy Code Status: 2011
• State Energy Code Status: 2007
• Commercial Electric Rates, United States: April 2011

List of Tables

• Commercial Lighting Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamps Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Type of Use and Allowed Lighting Power for Currently Adopted Standards
• Commercial Floor Space Lit by Lamp Type
• LED Substrate Roadmap, World Markets: 2010-2015
• 2011 Estimated LED Component Cost Reduction Projections: 2010-2020
• 2010 Estimated LED Component Cost Reduction Projections: 2010-2020
• SSL Product Prices, United States: 2011-2021
• 50k Hour Operating Cost for 2×4 Commercial Troffer
• Commercial Electric Rates, United States: 2010-2021
• Commercial Electricity Rates, World Markets: 2010
• Commercial Building Age, United States: 2011
• Phosphor Price Index: 2011
• Commercial Electricity Prices, United States: 1960-2011
• Typical Performance of Lighting Technologies
• Average Lamp Life by Technology
• Pupil Lumens for Lamp Technologies
• Pupil Lumen Adjusted LED: 2010-2015
• Typical Performance of Lighting Technologies
• LED Metrics Roadmap, World Markets: 2010-2020
• Typical Fluorescent Lumen Output by Temperature
• Estimated Outdoor Pole-Mounted LED Life Expectancy versus Ambient Temperature
• Commercial Building Floor Space by Building Type, World Markets: 2010-2021
• Projected Retrofit Rates: 2011-2021
• Lighting Power Density for New Commercial Installations (New Construction and Retrofits)
• Commercial Share of Lighting Type for New Construction: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Typical Lighting Power Density for Commercial Segments, World Markets: 2011
• Lamp Replacements per Year on Installed Base, World Markets: 2006
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, Latin America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, North America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, Western Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, Eastern Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, Middle East: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Unit Shipments by Technology, Africa: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, North America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, Western Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, Eastern Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, Middle East: 2011-2021
• Commercial Luminaire Revenue by Technology, Africa: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, Latin America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, North America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, Western Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, Eastern Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, Middle East: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Unit Shipments by Technology, Africa: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, North America: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, Western Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, Eastern Europe: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, Middle East: 2011-2021
• Commercial Lamp Revenue by Technology, Africa: 2011-2021