補助動力装置用途での燃料電池市場の分析と予測:海事、トラッキング、航空、RV車
Fuel Cells for Auxiliary Power Unit Applications Marine, Trucking, Aviation, and RV Applications: Market Analysis and Forecasts
| 出版社 |
出版日 | 電子媒体 (05/23 レート) | ページ数 | 図表数 |
| パイクリサーチ社 |
2011年11月 | US$ 3,800 \323,030(税込) ライセンス別価格 | 64 | 35 |
サマリー
この調査レポートは、海事、トラッキング、航空、RV車などの市場で、補助動力装置として使われる燃料電池市場の将来性を分析しています。市場成長促進要因と阻害要因、技術動向、主要関連企業についての広範な調査結果や2020年までの予測も掲載しています。
Fuel cells are increasingly being utilized as auxiliary power units (APUs) in specialized transportation applications that require hoteling loads for vehicles. The hoteling load is any electrical power that is required by the vehicle for purposes other than the primary propulsion system, including such draws as heating and lighting. The four main market sectors for fuel cell APUs are marine, trucking, aviation, and recreational vehicles (RVs). All of these have the potential to use fuel cell technology initially in an APU function for vehicle hoteling loads but further down the developmental track, fuel cell technology could also be used to assist the primary propulsion unit.
Of the four key market sectors, the marine and aviation markets represent the areas where fuel cells, with their lower emissions and noise signatures, could have the largest impact. But both of these markets will require more substantial investment in R&D and technology development between now and 2020, before they are ready for widescale commercialization. During this period, the marine sector will begin to see an increased level of commercial activity. Pike Research anticipates that the RV sector, already the largest market for fuel cell APUs, will continue its steady growth during the coming decade, and trucking APUs will also continue to be a substantial part of the total market.
This Pike Research report analyzes the market potential for fuel cells to be utilized as APUs in marine, trucking, aviation, and RV markets. The study includes a comprehensive assessment of market drivers and barriers, technology issues, and key industry players in each of the four sectors. Forecasts are provided for each sector through 2020, including unit shipments, revenue, and total capacity in megawatts.
Key Questions Addressed:
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What are the current drivers for the development of fuel cell APU systems in RVs, marine, aviation, and trucking sectors?
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Why will development of these markets exhibit a much slower adoption rate than other fuel cell applications?
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Which regions will be the major centers of manufacturing and adoption between now and 2020?
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What are the revenue forecasts for the four key market sectors between 2011 and 2020?
Who needs this report?
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Fuel cell system developers
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Fuel cell stack developers
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Transportation companies
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Industry associations
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Government agencies
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Investor community
目次
1. Executive Summary
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Market Developments to Date
2. Market Developments: 2008-2010
2.1 APU System Shipments by Sector and Region
2.2 APU Shipments by Megawatts Shipped
2.3 APU Revenue
3. Marine
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Market Issues
3.2.1 Market Segmentation and Size
3.2.1.1 Ocean-Going Vessels
3.2.1.2 Ports
3.3 Market Drivers
3.3.1 Policy
3.3.1.1 Market-Based Mechanisms
3.3.1.2 Command and Control Policy
3.3.2 Fuel Price/Operator Drivers
3.4 Technology Issues
3.4.1 Time to Start
3.4.2 Ruggedization
3.4.3 Fuel Flexibility and Safety
3.4.4 Economics
4. Trucking
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Market Issues
4.2.1 Market Segmentation and Size
4.3 Market Drivers
4.3.1 Policy
4.3.1.1 United States
4.3.1.1.1. Emissions Policy
4.3.1.1.2. Anti-Idling
4.3.1.2 European Union
4.3.1.3 China
4.3.2 Running Costs
4.4 Technology Issues
4.4.1 Competing Technologies
4.4.1.1 Generators
4.4.1.2 Battery APUs
4.4.2 Competing Models
4.4.3 OEM Tie Ups
5. Aviation
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Market Issues
5.2.1 Market Segmentation and Size
5.3 Market Drivers
5.3.1 Policy
5.3.2 Running Costs
5.4 Technology Issues
5.4.1 Power/Stack Density
5.4.2 System Design/Size
5.4.3 Fuel/Reformer Technology
5.4.4 Startup Time
5.4.5 Robustness and Ability to Cope with Variable Loads
6. Recreational Vehicles
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Market Issues
6.2.1 Market Segmentation and Size
6.3 Market Drivers
6.3.1 Policy
6.3.1.1 United States
6.3.1.2 Australia
6.3.2 Consumer Demand
6.4 Technology Issues
6.4.1 Competing Technologies
6.4.2 Costs
7. Other Vehicles
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Trains
7.3 Mine Vehicles
8. Key Industry Players
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Marine
8.2.1 Auriga Energy Ltd. (United Kingdom)
8.2.2 Det Norske Veritas (DNV) (Norway)
8.2.3 Eidesvik Offshore ASA (Norway)
8.2.4 Fronius (Germany)
8.2.5 HySolutions (Germany)
8.2.6 Topsoe Fuel Cell (Denmark)
8.2.7 University of Victoria (Canada)
8.2.8 Wartsila (Finland)
8.3 Trucking
8.3.1 Cummins Power Generation (United States)
8.3.2 Delphi (United States)
8.3.3 PowerCell Sweden (Sweden)
8.4 Aviation
8.4.1 Airbus (France)
8.4.2 Boeing (United States)
8.4.3 DLR (Germany)
8.4.4 Intelligent Energy (United Kingdom)
8.5 RVs
8.5.1 SFC Energy (Germany)
8.6 Other
8.6.1 Vehicle Projects LLC (United States)
9. Market Forecasts
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Model Overview and Key Flex Points in Model
9.3 APU Fuel Cell Systems Shipped: 2009-2020
10. Summary and Discussion
11. Company Directory
12. Acronym and Abbreviation List
13. Table of Contents
14. Table of Charts and Figures
15. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes
List of Charts and Figures
- Relationship Between a Ship’s Speed and Fuel Consumption
- Weekly Retail On-Highway Diesel Prices, United States: 2009-2011
- View of Onboard APU for Commercial Aviation
- Alternate View of Onboard APU
- Fuel Cell APU Development, Systems Shipped by Region of Manufacture, World
Markets: 2008-2011
- Fuel Cell APU Development, Systems Shipped by Region of Manufacture, World
Markets: 2008-2011
- Fuel Cell APU Megawatts Shipped by Region, World Markets: 2008-2011
- Fuel Cell APU Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2008-2011
- Breakdown of Fuel Cell System Shipments by Sector, World Markets: 2010
- Breakdown of Shipping Fleet by Vessel Type, World Markets: 2009 and 2010
- Share of Shipping Fleet by Vessel Type, World Markets: 2010
- Average Bunker Fuel Price Volatility, World Markets: 2007-2011
- Truck Sales by Vehicle Class, United States: 1999-2008
- Breakdown of Class 8 Sleeper Park, United States: 2008
- New Commissioned Aircraft by Aircraft Size, World Markets: 2011-2030
- New Passenger Aircraft Deliveries by Region, World Markets: 2011-2030
- Aviation Revenue and Expenses, World Markets: 2002-2012
- Recreational Vehicle Market in Selected Countries: 2009-2010
- New Fuel Cell APU System Unit Shipments by Sector, World Markets:
2009-2020
- New Fuel Cell APU System Megawatt Shipments by Sector, World Markets:
2009-2020
- Fuel Cell APU Revenue by Sector, World Markets: 2009-2020
- Fuel Cell APU Share by Region of Manufacture, Europe and North America:
2020
- Fuel Cell APU Share by Region of Adoption, Europe and North America: 2020
List of Tables
- Summary and Overview of Key Findings
- Flash Points of Common Liquid Fuels
- Breakdown of Shipping Fleet, World Markets: 2009 and 2010
- World Container Ship Fleet by Top 20 Operators
- U.S. States with State-Level Anti-Idling Legislation (including Sleeper
Cabs), as of January 2011
- Heavy-Duty Diesel Engine Emissions Standards, Europe
- Heavy-Duty Petrol and Natural Gas Engine Emissions Standards, Europe
- Heavy-Duty Emissions Standards, China
- New Commissioned Aircraft by Aircraft Size, World Markets: 2009
- New Passenger Aircraft Deliveries by Region, World Markets: 2011-2030
- Aircraft Revenue and Costs, World Markets: 2002-2012
- Summary and Overview of Key Findings
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プレスリリース
補助電源装置用の燃料電池への投資は2020年に4億ドル
2011年11月28日
補助電源装置用の燃料電池は、すべての燃料電池システムの出荷数の20%を占めるものの、商用での利用はまだ非常に限定的である。2010年の世界の燃料電池APUの出荷総数は3100をわずかに上回ったが、そのほとんどが欧州で製造された。しかし、さまざまな市場で補助電源装置用の燃料電池の利用が拡大しつつある。「補助電源装置(Auxiliary Power Unit : APU)」という言葉は、そもそもは航空市場で利用されており、暖房や照明などの主たる動力エンジンとは異なる目的のために電力を供給するためなどに利用されるものである。市場規模は絶対数ではそれほど大きくならないものの、今後数年間で大きく成長し、2020年には5000に達するだろう。米国の環境エネルギーなどの地球環境保護に関するクリーン技術関連市場の専門調査会社パイクリサーチ社の調査レポート「補助動力装置用途での燃料電池市場の分析と予測:海事、トラッキング、航空、RV車 ー Fuel Cells for Auxiliary Power Unit Applications:Marine, Trucking, Aviation, and RV Applications: Market Analysis and Forecasts」は、世界の補助電源装置用の燃料電池の収益は、2020年には年間6600万ドルとなり、累積投資額は2009-2020年に4億以上となるだろう。
補助電源装置用の燃料電池の4つの主要市場である海事、トラッキング、航空、RV車のすべては、燃料電池技術の利用の市場可能性があるが、燃料電池は、今後は主力の動力推進ユニットとしても利用されるようになるだろう。
(後略)
[プレスリリース原文]
Investment in Fuel Cells for Auxiliary Power Unit Applications to Reach $400 Million by 2020
November 28, 2011
Although they represented 20% of all fuel cell systems shipped in 2010, fuel cells used as auxiliary power units (APUs) remain very limited commercially. In 2010 global fuel cell APU shipments totaled only a little over 3,100, almost all of them manufactured in Europe. Nevertheless, there is a developing market for the use of fuel cells as APUs across a range of markets. Originally used in the aviation industry, the term “auxiliary power unit” is used to describe a production unit that primarily provides power for the vehicle’s hoteling loads – i.e., any electrical power that is required by the vehicle for purposes other than the primary propulsion system, including such draws as heating and lighting. While the size of the market in terms of absolute numbers will not be large, reaching just over 5,000 units by 2020, the sector will grow strongly over the next several years. According to a new report from Pike Research, worldwide revenue from fuel cell APUs will reach $66 million annually in 2020, with a total cumulative investment of more than $400 million during the period from 2009 to 2020.
The four main market sectors for fuel cell APUs are marine, trucking, aviation, and recreational vehicles (RVs). All have the potential to use fuel cell technology initially in an APU function for vehicle hoteling loads but, in the future, fuel cell technology could also be used to assist the primary propulsion unit.
“The reason for the slow but steady growth in this market is that, unlike the other applications for which fuel cell technology is being developed, there are a number of non-trivial technological and regulatory barriers that need to be addressed for the marine and aviation sectors especially, and for trucking to a lesser degree,” says research director Kerry-Ann Adamson. “For marine and aviation, although the drivers for the adoption of new practices or technologies are high, without further development, fuel cell technology cannot be rolled out in these sectors.”
Indeed, the marine and aviation markets represent the areas where fuel cells, with their lower emissions and noise signatures, could have the largest impact. But both of these markets will require more substantial investment in R&D and technology development between now and 2020, before they are ready for widescale commercialization. Pike Research anticipates that the RV sector, already the largest market for fuel cell APUs, will continue its steady growth during the coming decade – although profit margins per unit remain low and even the market leader, SFC Energy, is starting to increase its focus on non-RV markets.
Pike Research’s report, “Fuel Cells for Auxiliary Power Unit Applications”, analyzes the market potential for fuel cells to be utilized as APUs in marine, trucking, aviation, and RV markets. The study includes a comprehensive assessment of market drivers and barriers, technology issues, and key industry players in each of the four sectors. Forecasts are provided for each sector through 2020, including unit shipments, revenue, and total capacity in megawatts.
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