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風力発電は、化石燃料(ガソリン)依存の高かったエネルギー需要社会を、CO2排出量の少ないクリーンな世界へ導き、また、いわゆる「グリーン・カラー」と呼ばれる環境・クリーン産業での雇用の創出による経済効果を生み出している。風力発電は、何千年もの間、風車小屋の粉碾きに貢献してきたが、今や幾つかの再生エネルギーの中で最コスト効率の良い、また、成長速度の速いエネルギー源として生まれ変わった。

米国調査会社のNextGenリサーチの予測によると、世界の風力発電システムの発電可能量は、年に24.1%の成長率を示し、2009年度の120.8GWから、2013年には,319.0GWに増加する。2009年度に於ける新しい風力発電用システムへの設備投資は、記録的なラッシュを見せた2008年度と比較すると9%程の停滞が予測されるが、2010年の成長再昇加までは、バランス良く導入されていくであろう。

The emission-neutral energy provided by wind power represents a unique opportunity to help the world end its reliance on fossil fuels, and to spur the economy by creating millions of “green collar” jobs. Wind power has followed an evolutionary path over thousands of years that has transformed it from an efficient method for grinding grain into the world’s fastest-growing and most cost-competitive sustainable energy source. NextGen Research foresees the overall installed base of global wind power generating capacity growing at a CAGR of 21.4%, from 120.8 GW in 2009 to nearly 319 GW by 2013. New wind power generating installations will dip 9% in 2009 from 2008’s record levels, before recovering in 2010 and growing through the balance of the forecast period.

What Does This Report Answer?

• What are the key benefits and disadvantages of wind power?
• What is the global business climate for wind power development?
• What international legislative and regulatory developments will spur greater adoption of wind power?
• Which countries and global regions will expand their use of wind power most over the next five years?
• How quickly is the cost of wind power dropping?
• What is the impact of wind power on the electrical grid?
• Who are the leading wind turbine producers today, and who will lead the market in five years?

Who Needs This Report?

• Community organizations considering investment in wind power
• Electric utilities
• Energy regulators
• Industrial or other corporations considering investment in wind power
• Stock analysis firms covering the renewable energy markets
• Venture capital firms analyzing opportunities in the wind power markets
• Wind farm owners
• Wind turbine component manufacturers
• Wind turbine manufacturers

Table of Contents

Section 1.
Executive Summary
1.1. A Unique Opportunity
1.2. Global Forecast Highlights
1.3. Regional Forecast Highlights
1.3.1. North America
1.3.2. Latin America
1.3.3. Europe
1.3.4. Middle East/Africa
1.3.5. Asia-Pacific
1.4. Technology Highlights

Section 2.
Technology Overview
2.1. The Roots of Wind Turbines
2.2. How They Work
2.3. Types of Wind Turbines
2.3.1. Horizontal Axis Wind Turbines
2.3.2. Vertical Axis Wind Turbines
2.4. Benefits and Limitations of Wind Power Technology
2.4.1. Advantages
2.4.2. Disadvantages
2.5. Competing Electrical Generation Technologies
2.5.1. Generation Cost per kWh
2.5.2. Capacity Factor
2.5.3. Share of Global Electricity Production Capacity, Global Installed Base
2.5.4. Installation Cost per MW
2.5.5. Lifecycle Emission Rate
2.5.6. Plant Construction Lead-Time
2.6. Wind Turbine Components
2.6.1. Blade
2.6.2. Generator
2.6.3. Towers
2.7. Additional Technology Trends
2.7.1. Offshore Wind
2.7.2. Direct Drive Technology

Section 3.
Business and Regulatory Issues
3.1. Wind Turbine Market Issues
3.2. Global Business Climate
3.3. Industry/Regulatory Background
3.4. Market Drivers
3.4.1. Regulatory Incentive Instruments
3.4.2. Other Regulatory Drivers
3.4.3. North America
3.4.4. Europe
3.4.5. Asia-Pacific
3.4.6. Rest of World
3.5. Wind Power Application Markets

Section 4.
Market Outlook
4.1. The Economics of Wind Power
4.2. Global Outlook for Wind Power
4.2.1. North America
4.2.2. Latin America
4.2.3. Europe
4.2.4. Asia-Pacific
4.2.5. Middle East/Africa
4.3. Global Market Leaders
4.4. Leading Vendors

Section 5.
Company Profiles
5.1. Acciona S.A.
5.2. Clipper Windpower, Inc.
5.3. Enercon GmbH
5.4. Gamesa Corporación Tecnológica
5.5. General Electric Company
5.6. Nordex AG
5.7. Siemens Energy Sector, Renewable Energy Division
5.8. Sinovel Wind Co. Ltd.
5.9. Suzlon Energy Ltd.
5.10. Vestas Wind Systems A/S
5.11. Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd.

Section 6.
Industry Directory


Tables

■Global Wind Power Generation New Installations and Cumulative Capacity by Year, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Wind Power vs. Other Electrical Generation Technologies
■Wind Turbine Blade Parameters and Costs
■Wind Turbine Operational Parameters and Key Characteristics
■Cumulative Installed Wind Power-Based Electrical Generating Capacity, Annual Additions to Installed Capacity, Annual Wind Turbine Revenues, Global, 1980-2008
■Top 10 Wind Power Markets, 2009, Based on Cumulative Capacity and New Annual Capacity, in Megawatts
■Wind Power Application Markets
■Cost per Installed Megawatt of Wind Power Generating Capacity, Global, by year, 2009-2013
■Annual Wind Power Generation Installations and Cumulative Capacity by Major Global Region, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Annual Wind Power Installations by Country, North America, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Wind Power Cumulative Capacity by Country, North America, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Annual Wind Power Installations by Country, Europe, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Wind Power Cumulative Capacity by Country, Europe, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Annual Wind Power Installations by Country, Asia-Pacific, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Wind Power Cumulative Capacity by Country, Asia-Pacific, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Top 10 countries based on Wind Power Electrical Generation Capacity Added 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Top 10 Countries in Cumulative Installed Wind Power Electrical Generation Capacity, 2013, in megawatts.
■Market shares of leading wind turbine vendors, 2008-2013, based on their shares of new wind turbine sales in megawatts
■Acciona S.A. data points
■Clipper Windpower, Inc. data points
■Enercon GmbH data points
■Gamesa Corporación Tecnológica data points
■General Electric Company data points
■Nordex AG data points
■Siemens Energy Sector, Renewable Energy Division data points
■Sinovel Wind Co. Ltd. data points
■Suzlon Wind Energy A/S data points
■Vestas Wind Systems A/S data points
■Xinjiang Goldwind Sci & Tech Co., Ltd.data points


Charts

■Global Wind Power Generation New Installations and Cumulative Capacity by Year, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Wind Turbine Cost Breakdown by Major Component
■The Growth of Global Wind Power Generating Capacity (in MW) vs. the Growth of Wind Turbine Revenues (in US dollars), 1980-2008
■Annual Wind Power Installations and Cumulative Capacity, North America, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Annual Wind Power Installations by Country, North America, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Wind Power Cumulative Capacity by Country, North America, 2008-2013, in megawatts
■Market shares of leading wind turbine vendors, 2008-2013, based on their shares of new wind turbine sales in megawatts


Figures

■A typical wind farm.
■A 2.5-MW wind turbine with 49-meter-long rotor blades

(日本語訳)

2013年に世界の風力発電量は318ギガワット以上に

2009年6月9日
風力発電によるエミッションニュートラル(生産にかかる直接負荷と、省エネやリサイクルで削減される社会的付加を同等にする考え方)なエネルギーは、世界の国々が、高コストで環境を汚染する化石燃料への依存から脱け出し、多くの「グリーンカラー」の仕事を生み出すことによって経済を刺激する、大きなビジネスチャンスとなるだろう。穀物をひく有効な手段として利用されていた風力は、長い間進化の道筋をたどり、世界で最も成長が早く、コスト競争が激しい、持続可能なエネルギー源へと変貌した。

米国調査会社NextGenリサーチの調査レポート「世界の風力発電市場:風力タービン、ウインドファームによる再生可能な発電の概観」によれば、世界の風力発電量は、記念すべき導入の年であった2008年に121ギガワットをわずかに下回り、2013年には318.5ギガワットに達するだろう。市場成長を促進するのは、中国の再生可能エネルギー産業の急成長である。中国政府は、補助金、固定価格による買取制度、再生可能エネルギーの利用割合の基準、京都議定書やEUの再生可能エネルギー指令等の協約で定められた再生可能エネルギーの世界目標を支持するなどしている。

この調査レポートの著者、Keith Reinhardt氏は、景気低迷にも関わらず、世界のビジネス環境は風力関連機器が広範に普及するうえで、今までになく好都合だと言う。「エネルギー自給の向上と有害物質の排出削減を目的とした政府の積極的な政策と補助金によって、需要が促進された世界の風力業界は、過去10年間で急成長を遂げた。また、風力発電市場の長期的な保証と、潜在性の大きな新興市場の成長を継続させる投資の促進などの、幅広い政策が拡大している。」

2009年、風力発電産業界は、一時的に世界の景気後退の打撃を受け、多くの開発者がプロジェクトをキャンセルしたり、延期したりせざるを得なくなるだろうとReinhardt氏は言う。だが、金融市場が緩和して、資本流出が再開し、2010年には大幅に回復するだろう。「世界でグリーン革命がスタートして、積極的な政府の政策で義務付けられる再生可能エネルギーへの依存は増加する。また風力発電のコストと従来のエネルギーコストは肩を並べつつある。今後は燃料の価格が高騰して、世界で二酸化炭素排出抑制に重点が置かれ、風力が政府の補助金がなくても石炭燃料による発電よりも低コストになる可能性がある。」

(原文)

NextGen Research Sees Global Wind Power Generating Capacity Surpassing 318 Gigawatts by 2013

06-09-2009
The emission-neutral energy provided by wind power represents a unique opportunity to help the world end its reliance on expensive, polluting fossil fuels, and to spur the economy by creating millions of "green collar" jobs. Wind power has followed an evolutionary path over thousands of years that has transformed it from an efficient method for grinding grain into the world's fastest-growing, most cost-competitive, sustainable energy source.

A new market study by NextGen Research, "Global Wind Power Market: The Outlook for Renewable Energy Generation by Wind Turbines, Wind Farms," forecasts that global wind-based electrical generation capacity, which totaled just under 121 gigawatts (GW) in 2008 (a record year for new installations), will reach 318.5 GW by 2013. Spurring this growth will be a boom in China's renewable energy industry; government support in the form of subsidies, feed-in tariffs and Renewable Portfolio Standards, and international goals for renewable energy usage established under accords like the Kyoto Protocol and the EU's Renewables Directive.

The study's author, Keith Reinhardt, says that despite the troubled economic climate, the global business environment has never been so favorable for the widespread proliferation of wind power equipment. "The wind power industry worldwide has surged over the past decade, as demand has been driven by aggressive government mandates and subsidies designed to promote energy independence and reduce toxic emissions. Moreover, the growing prevalence of policy implemented to ensure a long-term market for wind power and to promote investor certainty continues to facilitate growth in emerging markets with massive potential."

Mr. Reinhardt says that the global recession dealt a glancing blow to the wind power industry in 2009 by forcing many developers to cancel or delay projects. However, he says, the industry will rebound sharply during 2010 as credit markets thaw and the flow of capital resumes. "The world has embarked on a green revolution, with a growing number of aggressive government policies mandating increased reliance on renewable energy. In addition, the cost of generating electricity from wind is approaching parity with traditional energy sources, and could become cheaper than fossil fuel-based electrical generation regardless of government subsidies as fuel prices rise and a standardized global value is placed on carbon emissions.