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ガス排出基準は一層厳しくなり、原油価格が高騰するなか、消費者向けの自動車市場でハイブリッド技術への関心が高まり、現在は商用ハイブリッド車の初期市場にも注目が集まっている。米国の調査会社NextGenリサーチの調査レポート「商用ハイブリッド車」は、小型トラック、トラック、バスを含む商用ハイブリッド車の現況と今後について考察している。この調査レポートで述べているように、市場は非場に小規模で、2008年に製造された商用ハイブリッド車は9000台である。それらの殆どが、会社の保有車両用に購入されている。米国のニューヨーク州都市交通局(Metropolitan Transit Authority)等の先進的な団体は、標準的なディーゼル車の寿命が近いため、ハイブリッド仕様のバスを自社の車両に取り入れている。その他の企業は、これらの投資収益率(ROI)が明確になれば、導入をすすめるようになるだろう。
The growing excitement over hybrid technologies in the consumer sector of the auto industry is carrying over to the nascent market for commercial hybrid vehicles, as emission standards continue to grow increasingly stringent and the price of oil is increasingly uncontrollable. This report examines the current and forecast market for commercial hybrid vehicles, including vans, trucks and buses. As the report observes, the market is extremely small; fewer than 9,000 commercial hybrid vehicles were produced in 2008, and many of those are being integrated into fleets for testing over real-world duty cycles. Some forward-thinking organizations (like New York City’s Metropolitan Transit Authority) have been integrating hybrid vehicles buses into their fleets as standard diesel vehicles reach the end of their useful lifespans; other are certain to follow suit as the ROI of these new technologies becomes more clearly defined. What Does This Report Answer? - What are the fundamental motivations for investing in commercial hybrid vehicle development, or ownership?
- What governmental incentives are in place to help support investment in commercial hybrid vehicle development, or ownership?
- Which region(s) dominate in production of commercial hybrid vehicles?
- Which hybrid systems work best in commercial vehicles?
- How does the medium-duty hybrid truck market differ from the heavy-duty hybrid truck market?
- What's the outlook for hybrid buses?
Who Needs This Report? - Commercial vehicle component manufacturers
- Commercial vehicle manufacturers
- Construction companies
- Hauling companies
- Municipal transit agencies
- Package shipping and delivery services
- State transportation and tax agencies
- Venture capital firms
Table of Contents Section 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1. Key Factors Affecting the Market 1.2. Technologies 1.3. Market Forecast by Region, 2008-2013 Section 2. TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW 2.1. The Fundamental Motivation for Hybrid Drive 2.2. How do Hybrid Systems Work? 2.3. Components of Hybrid Systems 2.3.1. Regenerative Braking 2.3.2. Energy Storage 2.3.3. Electric 2.3.4. Ultracapacitors 2.3.5. Batteries 2.3.6. Battery Requirements 2.3.7. Chemistries 2.3.8. Lead-Acid 2.3.9. Nickel Metal Hydride (NiMH) 2.3.10. Lithium-ion (Li-Ion) 2.3.11. Battery Technologies Feature Comparison 2.3.12. Other Energy Storage Systems 2.3.13. Hydraulic 2.3.14. Flywheel 2.3.15. Electric Motors 2.4. Types of Hybrid Drives 2.4.1. Types of Hybrid Drives by Degree of Hybridization 2.4.2. Full Hybrid Configuration 2.4.3. Mild Hybrid Configuration 2.4.4. Types of Hybrids by Drivetrain Structure 2.4.5. Parallel Hybrid Configuration 2.4.6. Series Hybrid Configuration 2.4.7. Types of ICE-Electric Hybrid Vehicles - Gasoline vs. diesel 2.5. Advantages and Disadvantages of Various Alternative Technologies 2.5.1. HEVs 2.5.2. Advantages of Hybrid Vehicles 2.5.3. Disadvantages of Hybrid Vehicles 2.5.4. Electric Vehicles 2.5.5. Advantages of Electric Vehicles 2.5.6. Disadvantages of Electric Vehicles 2.5.7. Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles 2.5.8. Advantages of Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles 2.5.9. Disadvantages of Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles Section 3. BUSINESS AND REGULATORY ISSUES 3.1. Factors Affecting the HEV Market 3.1.1. The Cost Premium for HEVs 3.1.2. Fuel Cost 3.1.3. Maintenance Cost 3.1.4. Comparison with the Consumer Market 3.1.5. Hybrid Drive is Not the Best Solution for All Applications 3.1.6. Lack of Indigenous Battery Manufacturing Companies - A Concern for US Automakers 3.2. Regulatory Scenario 3.2.1. United States Emission Regulations 3.2.2. Environmental Protection Agency Standards 3.2.3. California Air Resources Board Emissions Standards 3.2.4. Non-US Emission Regulations 3.2.5. Kyoto Protocol 3.2.6. European Emission Standards and Programs 3.2.7. United Kingdom 3.2.8. Australia 3.2.9. Japan 3.3. Government Incentives and Tax Benefits 3.3.1. US 3.3.2. United Kingdom 3.3.3. Canada Section 4. MARKET OUTLOOK 4.1. Definition of the Commercial Vehicle Market 4.2. Worldwide Commercial Hybrid Vehicle Market, 2006-2013 4.3. Medium-Duty Hybrid Truck Market 4.4. Heavy-Duty Hybrid Truck Market 4.5. Hybrid Bus Market 4.6. Commercial Hybrid Vehicle Production by Technology Section 5. COMPANY PROFILES 5.1. Manufacturers 5.1.1. Beiqi Foton Motor Co. Ltd. 5.1.2. Chrysler LLC 5.1.3. Daimler AG 5.1.4. DesignLine International Holdings LLC 5.1.5. General Motors 5.1.6. Gillig Corporation 5.1.7. MAN AG 5.1.8. Navistar International Corporation 5.1.9. New Flyer 5.1.10. Nissan 5.1.11. Oshkosh Truck Corporation 5.1.12. Orion Bus 5.1.13. PACCAR 5.1.14. Scania 5.1.15. Volvo 5.1.16. Wuzhoulong Motors Group 5.2. Suppliers 5.2.1. Alcoa 5.2.2. Allison Transmission 5.2.3. Azure Dynamics 5.2.4. BAE Systems 5.2.5. Connaught 5.2.6. Eaton Corporation 5.2.7. Enova Systems 5.2.8. ISE Corporation 5.2.9. Maxwell Technologies 5.2.10. Permo-Drive Technology 5.2.11. Siemens 5.2.12. Traction Technology PLC 5.2.13. UQM Technologies 5.2.14. ZF Friedrichshafen AG 5.3. Commercial Fleets 5.3.1. FedEx Corp. 5.3.2. United Parcel Service Inc 5.3.3. Verizon 5.4. Industry Groups 5.4.1. Hybrid Truck Users Forum (HTUF) 5.4.2. Light-Duty Hybrid Work Truck Action Group (LHWTAG) 5.4.3. National Truck Equipment Association Section 6. INDUSTRY DIRECTORY Tables ■Batteries Currently Used in Commercial Hybrid Vehicles ■Battery Technologies Feature Comparison ■Internal Combustion Engine vs. Electric Motor ■EPA emission standards for heavy-duty diesel engines for model year 2004 and later ■EPA emission standards for heavy-duty highway engines for model year 2007 to 2010 ■CARB emission standards for medium-duty vehicles ■Euro standards for heavy-duty diesel engines, (g/kWh) ■Japanese Diesel Emission Standards for model year 2005 and later ■Heavy Hybrid Trucks - Maximum Allowable Tax Credits ■British Columbia's Sales Tax Reductions for buyers of Alternative Fuel Vehicles ■Commercial Hybrid Vehicle Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Commercial Hybrid Vehicle Production by Technology, 2006-2013 ■Medium-Duty Hybrid Truck Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Medium-Duty Hybrid Truck Production by Technology, 2006-2013 ■Heavy-Duty Hybrid Truck Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Heavy-Duty Hybrid Truck Production by Technology, 2006-2013 ■Hybrid Bus Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Hybrid Bus Production by Technology, 2006-2013 Charts ■Commercial Hybrid Vehicle Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Medium-Duty Hybrid Truck Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Heavy-Duty Hybrid Truck Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■Hybrid Bus Production by Region, in units, 2006-2013 ■North American Hybrid Powertrain Business Share by Supplier, 2008 |