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有機太陽光発電市場調査 2016-2025年

Organic Photovoltaic Markets 2016-2025

 

出版社 出版年月価格
n-tech Research (NanoMarkets)
エヌテックリサーチ - ナノマーケッツ
2016年4月お問い合わせください

サマリー

米国調査会社エヌテックリサーチ(n-tech Research)の調査レポート「有機太陽光発電市場調査 2016-2025年」は、有機太陽光発電(太陽電池)の今後10年間の市場に注目しています。有機太陽光発電の完成形を目指す材料やセル・モジュールの革新における最新の発展と、有機太陽光発電と色素増感太陽電池/ペロブスカイト太陽電池やCIGS(Copper Indium Gallium DiSelenide)との競合についても考察しています。 有機太陽光発電市場の主要企業の戦略的概説を、マーケティングや製造分野の査定と共に提供しています。

Description

This report pinpoints the opportunities that n-tech sees emerging in the OPV space over the next ten years.  In this case, n-tech’s assessment is based on its insider view of the area, since n-tech has been covering this market since inception.
 
Although major firms have dropped out of this market in the past few years or so, n-tech believes that the business case around OPV will become increasingly compelling as the conversion efficiencies and lifetimes of OPV increase.  What n-tech is seeing for the future of the OPV is some early – somewhat niche – applications for solar charging and off-the-grid use.  A much more lucrative market for OPV, we believe, lies in BIPV and this will begin in earnest in just a few years when OPV starts to exceed 10 percent or so in energy efficiency for production cells.
 
This report shows how the latest development in OPV materials and cell/module innovation in cell and module design is moving OPV to these goals.  It also discusses how OPV will compete against DSC/perovskite and CIGS.  In addition, the report contains strategic profiles of the leading firms in the OPV space including an assessment of their marketing and manufacturing segment.
 
Finally, the report contains volume and value forecasts of OPV markets with breakouts by applications and materials used.

 

 

 



目次

Executive Summary
E.1 OPV as Never-ending Story
E.1.1 Towards Realistic Expectations for OPV Conversion Efficiencies
E.2 Next Steps toward Commercial Readiness:  Technology-Enabled Opportunities
E.2.1 New Efficiency Records Being Achieved
E.2.2  Paths to Improved Lifetimes
E.2.3 Towards Production
E.2.4 Materials Trends
E.2.5 Trends in Device Structures.
E.3 Competition and Material Threats
E.3.1 The Threat of DSC and Perovskites
E.3.2 CIGS versus OPV
E.4 Application Update: Entering the Promised Land?
E.4.1 Outstanding Issues for OPV
E.4.2 BIPV Beckons:  OPV is a Great Fit
E.4.3 Solar Chargers and OPV:  A Future?
E.5 A Future Roadmap for OPV:  A Summary of Needs
E.5.1 Opportunities for Materials and Specialty Chemical Suppliers
E.6 Companies to Watch
E.7 Which Market Strategy Is Right for OPV Right Now?
E.8 Summary of Ten-Year Forecasts of OPV Markets
 
Chapter One: Introduction
1.1 Background to this Report
1.1.1 OPV: Struggling But Good Long-Term Potential
1.1.2 OPV  versus, DSC and CIGS
1.1.3 OPV Key Technical Challenges and their Probable Solutions
1.1.4 Markets for OPV: Decisions to be Made
1.2 Objective and Scope of this Report
1.3 Methodology of this Report
1.4 Plan of this Report
 
Chapter Two: Technology Trends in Organic Photovoltaics
2.1 The Latest OPV Performance Improvements
2.1.1 Efficiency: Getting Closer to 15%-20%
2.1.2 Lifetimes: Still A Long Way to Go
2.1.3 Production Approaches: Some Progress for Printing
2.2 Materials Trends
2.2.1 Evolution of OPV at Merck
2.2.2 KIT and MatHero
2.2.3 Riken
2.2.4 Umea University
2.2.5 Heliatek
2.2.6 Belectric
2.2.7 Purdue University
2.2.8 Other Developments:  China, Korea and Japan
2.2.9 Polymer vs. Small Molecules: New Directions
2.2.10 Finding the Right Transparent Conductor
2.2.11 Graphene as a Photoactive Layer
2.2.12 Fullerene-free Acceptor Materials
2.2.13 OPV Substrates:  Not Much Change
2.3 Device Structure Trends
2.3.1 Improved Hole and Electron Extraction Layers
2.3.2 Electrodes
2.3.3 Interlayers
2.3.4 Moving toward Tunable Bandgap and Solubility
2.3.5 From Single to Tandem/Cascading Architectures
2.4 Collaborative Industry OPV Research Efforts
2.5 Key Points from this Chapter
 
Chapter Three: Markets for OPV
3.1 The Case for OPV
3.2 BIPV
3.2.1 BIPV: Ready or Not?
3.2.2 Challenges for OPV in BIPV Glass
3.2.3 OPV-enabled BIPV on Non-Glass Substrates
3.2.3 Active Projects  and Suppliers in OPV-enabled BIPV
3.3 Solar Chargers
3.3.1 Examples of Applications
3.3.2 Is Commercial Success Possible
3.4 Other Off-Grid Applications: Can the Case be Made for BIPV
3.4.1 Automotive
3.4.2 Textiles and Wearables
3.4 The Competition: OPV, DSC, and Thin-Film
3.4.1 OPV and DSC: Where Are They Now?
3.4.2 Thin-Film: CIGS and CdTe
3.4.3 Can OPV Compete on Energy Production? 
3.5 Key Points from This Chapter
 
Chapter Four: OPV: Suppliers and Strategies
4.1 Heliatek (Germany)
4.1.1 Technology Summary
4.1.2 Areas of Technology Improvements
4.1.3 Manufacturing Progress
4.1.4 Market Strategy
4.1.5 Key Partnership: AGC
4.1.6 Pilot Projects
4.1.7 Funding Picture
4.2 Armor Group (France)
4.2.1 Market Strategy
4.2.2 Technology Progress
4.2.3 Business Outlook
4.3 Belectric (Germany)
4.3.1 OPV Products
4.3.2 Key Partnerships
4.3.3 Business Outlook
4.4 AGC (Japan)
4.4.1 Market Strategy
4.4.2 Business Outlook
4.5 Mitsubishi Chemical (Japan)
4.5.1 Technology Progress
4.5.2 Pilot Project
4.6 Next Energy (United States)
4.6.1 Technology Summary
4.6.2 Market Strategy
4.6.3 Emphasis on Partnerships
4.6.4 Funding and Investors
4.7 Merck (Germany)
4.7.1 Technology Collaborations
4.8 CSEM Brasil (Switzerland/Brazil)
4.8.1 Market Strategy
4.8.2 Technology Progress
4.8.3 Business Outlook
4.9 Sumitomo Chemical (Japan)
4.9.1 Technology Progress
4.10 Toshiba (Japan)
4.10.1 Technical Progress
4.10.2 Business Outlook
4.11 BASF (Germany)
4.11.1 Key Partnerships
4.11.2 Market Strategy
4.12 Solarmer (United States)
4.12.1 Technical Progress
4.12.2 Market Strategy
4.12.3 Business Outlook
4.13 Heraeus (Germany)
4.13.1 Technical Progress
4.13.2 Market Strategy and Business Outlook
4.14 Eight19 (U.K.)
4.14.1 Technical Progress
4.14.2 Market Strategy
4.14.3 Business Outlook
4.15 DisaSolar (France)
4.15.1 Market Strategy
4.15.2 Technology Progress
4.15.3 Key Partnerships
4.16 No Longer in the Picture?
4.16.1 Konarka
4.16.2 Global Photonic Energy
4.16.3 New Energy Technologies
4.16.4 Polyera
 
Chapter Five: Ten-Year Forecasts and Market Analysis for OPV
5.1 Key Factors Driving OPV
5.1.1 Forecasting Methodology
5.1.2 Assumptions and Scenarios
5.2 Ten-Year Forecasts for OPV
5.2.1 Off-Grid OPV Markets
5.2.2 Grid-Connected Markets
5.2.3 OPV Materials and Devices
5.2.4 Summaries of OPV Markets
                          
Acronyms and Abbbreviations
About the Authors
 
List of Exhibits
Exhibit E-1 Recent BIPV Pilot Projects for OPV
Exhibit E-2 OE-A Expectations for OPV Market Penetration
Exhibit E-3 Ten-Year Market Forecast of OPV Market by Application
Exhibit 2-1 OPV Efficiency-Related Improvements
Exhibit 2-2 Polymer vs. Small Molecules:  OPV Pros and Cons
Exhibit 2-3 Ten-Year Forecast of Transparent Conductor Material Demand for OPV
Exhibit 2-4 Important Parameters for Transparent Conductors Used for PV Electrodes
Exhibit 2-5 Structure of a Bulk Heterojunction OPV Cell Architecture
Exhibit 2-6 Industry Collaborative OPV Research Projects
Exhibit 3-1 OPV Firms and Market Goals
Exhibit 3-2 BIPV Glass in Various Applications
Exhibit 4-1 Heliatek’s Pilot Projects
Exhibit 5-1 Efficiency Improvements Over Time in The OPV Market 2016-2025
Exhibit 5-2 Off-Grid OPV Market by Applications 2016-2025
Exhibit 5-3 Grid Connected OPV Applications 2016-2025
Exhibit 5-4 BIPV Market Scenarios
Exhibit 5-5 The OPV Materials Market 2016-2025
Exhibit 5-6 Summary of OPV Market by Application 2016-2025

 

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プレスリリース

[プレスリリース原文]  2015年版のプレスリリースです。

Organic PV Market to Surpass $500 million in 2022

Published: January 29, 2015 | Category: Renewable Energy  

Glen Allen, VA:  While organic photovoltaics (OPV) still hasn't achieved escape velocity from lab results into real commercialized products, according to a new report from industry analyst firm NanoMarkets, the current window for achieving success appears to be shaping up in a medium-term scope. New projections from the firm forecast OPV revenues to crack $500 million in revenues by 2022 -- assuming the roadmaps and plans of key OPV firms stay the course and are not delayed any more.

About the Report:

OPV cells have continued to draw focus of much research because of the allure of their core attributes: they are lightweight, flexible, inexpensive, highly tunable, and potentially disposable. Yet OPV has spent the better part of a decade struggling to translate these competitive promises from labs into real-world products. Expectations for OPV have stalled over the past couple of years, not least due to the demise of its former figurehead Konarka which defined OPV's persistent failure to make any money for investors. Meanwhile, rival thin-film PV technologies and especially dye-sensitized solar (and its newest iteration, perovskites) continue to press ahead and are arguably further along.

Despite OPV's persistent sluggishness, NanoMarkets does see some encouraging signs that the technology really is moving closer to commercial readiness -- and perhaps even knocking on the doorstep, if one believes the most optimistic views -- enough to put some early market traction within reach:

  • Conversion efficiency levels continue to rise, now above 12% in labs and upwards of 5% in pilot production.
  • At least as much attention is on significantly improving lifetimes into double-digit years.
  • Companies such as Heliatek and Belectric (which picked up some of the Konarka technology) have picked up the mantle alongside promising startups, and some key industry partners such as AGC Glass Europe and Armor Group have strategically committed to OPV's eventual success
  • Several pilot production facilities are up and running, and recent field test installations aim to show OPV in several different iterations

In this report, we identify where money could be made in OPV over the next eight-years, given recent trends in technology and end markets. We explore the latest technical areas of improvement, and where still more is needed, in cell/module components and materials to OPV devices. We also examine the product and business strategies of the dozen or so companies who are positioning themselves in the OPV landscape, as well as the evolving expectations from the target markets of building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and off-grid solar charging. The report includes detailed eight-year forecasts for OPV materials and devices, and for the various markets where we expect OPV to enter the market -- or at least where proponents hope it will.

Companies discussed in this report include:  Armor Group, AGC, BASF, Belectric, CSEM Brazil, DisaSolar, Eight19, Global Photonic Energy, Heliatek, Heraeus, Merck, Mitsubishi Chemical, New Energy Technologies, Next Energy, Polyera, Solarmer, Sumitomo Chemical, and Toshiba.

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