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家庭向け3D印刷と3Dスキャン 2014-2018年:サービスモデル、将来性、機器予測

Consumer 3D Printing & Scanning

Service Models, Opportunities & Devices Forecasts 2014-2018

 

出版社 出版年月価格 ページ数
Juniper Research
ジュニパーリサーチ社
2014年4月お問い合わせください 80

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サマリー

この調査レポートは、家庭向け(一般ユーザ向け)3D印刷市場を調査し、詳細な分析を行っています。家庭向け3D印刷のエコシステムも調査し、ハードウェアや材料、コンテンツを基にしたサービスモデルを解説しています。家庭向け3Dプリンタの市場規模と金額についての総合的な市場予測データも掲載しています。さらに、家庭向け3Dスキャナー導入に関わる市場動向と予測結果も掲載しています。

主な掲載内容

  1. 3D印刷の進化
  2. 家庭向け3D印刷:市場力学
  3. 利害関係者とサービスモデル
  4. 家庭向け3D印刷:市場予測
  5. 家庭向け3Dスキャナー:動向分析と市場予測
  6. 関連企業とベンダ分析

Overview

  • Consumer Segment Analysis
  • 3D Printer & Scanner Market Forecasts
  • Material Spend Analysis & Forecasts


Juniper’s exciting new report on Consumer 3D Printing & Scanning provides an extensive analysis of the evolving home 3D printing market. This unique report evaluates the development of the consumer 3D printing ecosystem, highlighting the service models based on hardware, materials and content. It includes a comprehensive forecast data set, projecting the size and value of consumer 3D printers. It also provides market trends and forecasts for the consumer adoption of 3D scanners.

With 12 forecast tables split by eight key regions and nearly 650 unique data points within the report, it offers unrivalled projections for the size and growth of these new markets. An accompanying IFxl (Interactive Forecast Excel) is also available offering what-if analysis, granular market forecasts and a set of regional and sector analysis tools.

What This Report Covers

Exclusive Consumer Forecast Suite

With 2 exclusive chapters of forecasts in the report, this new study provides an extensive breakdown for the following data points:

  • Number of Consumer 3D Printers and Scanners In Use (m)
  • Number of Consumer 3D Printers and Scanners Shipped (m)
  • Hardware Revenue for 3D Printers and Scanners ($m)
  • Material Spend for Consumer 3D Printers ($m)


Market Trends, Drivers & Barriers

While the ground work for mainstream consumer adoption has been laid, Juniper Research contends that there are several factors that will hold back the market, at least in the short to medium term. The report identifies and analyses the key market drivers and hurdles based on recent market activities and developments across the value chain.

Monetising the 3D Printing Ecosystem

Several business models exist in the market place and these are defined to an extent by the way a consumer approaches 3D printing. Revenues may be generated for companies involved in the device/hardware market through the sale of hardware, accompanied by a software, and via material sales. The report outlines the different business models offering strategic recommendations for stakeholders to succeed.

Consumer 3D Printing & Scanning IFxl 2014-2018

Juniper Research’s highly granular IFxls enable clients to manipulate Juniper’s forecast data and charts to test their own assumptions, perform what-if analysis; and compare select markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase clients’ ability both to understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

This IFxl, with 18 Tables; 5 What-if-analyses; and over 1,800 Data Points, provides additional market data for the following countries: Canada, Germany, Japan, South Korea, UK and US.

Companies Referenced

Interviewed: 3D Systems, Lulzbot, MakerBot.

Profiled: 3D Systems, Adobe, Autodesk, Formlabs, i.Materialise, Lulzbot, MakerBot, MBot3D, Shapeways, Solidoodle, Tinkerine, Ultimaker.

Case Studied: 3D Systems, Adobe, RepRap Project, Shapeways, Stratasys.

Mentioned: 3D Hubs, 3DLT, Adafruit Industries, Adidas, Afinia, AIO Robotics, AlephObjects, Amazon, AMD, Apple, Asda, ATHENA, Behance, Best Buy, BFB, Boeing, CGTrader, China 3D Printing Technology Industry Alliance, Costco, Co-Web, CRDM Ltd, Defense Distributed, Delcam, Dell, Digital PlaySpace, Digiteyezer, Doodle3D, eBay, e-Prototypy, Epson, Fab@Home Project, Figulo Corporation, Forbes, Ford, Free Software Foundation, Freedom of Creation, Fujitsu, GE, General Motors, Gentle Giant Studios, Geomagic Inc, Google, Hasbro, HBO, Hershey, HP (Hewlett-Packard), i.Materialise, Intel, Ipsos Mori, KeyMe, Kickstarter, Kipling, KOR EcoLogic, LayerWise, Lego, Lenovo, Magicfirm, makexyz, MakiBox, Markforged, Microboards Technology, Microsoft, Motorola, NASA, Natural Machines, Neiman Marcus, Next Engine, Nike, Nokia, NVIDIA, Open Invention Network, Oracle, OUYA, PDD Group, Phenix Systems, Printcraft, Rapid Product Development Group, Royal Philips Electronics, Samsung, SAP, Sculpteo, Sixense MakeVR, SoftKinetic, Solid Concepts, Staples, SurveyMonkey, T A Grimm and Associates, Texas Instruments, The Sugar Lab, TinkerCAD, Trimensional, Victoria’s Secret, Village Plastics Co, VisPower Technology, White Bear Resources, Xerox Corporation, ZCorp.

Extra Info

◊8 Key Regions include: North America; Latin America; Western Europe; Central & Eastern Europe; Far East & China; Indian Subcontinent; Rest of Asia Pacific and Africa & Middle East.

Key Questions

  • What is the future for consumer 3D printing?
  • Will 3D printing be the next disruptive technology in a smart home?
  • What will the market for consumer 3D printers be worth by 2018?
  • What are the prospects for 3D scanners over the next 5 years?
  • When will 3D printing at home reach mainstream adoption?
  • What are the different market challenges and hurdles for mass market adoption?
  • How will material cost and hardware cost change over the next 5 years?
  • What other business models will be employed to monetise 3D printing at home?


目次

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

1. Evolution of 3D Printing

1.1 Introduction
1.2 Defining 3D Printing
Figure 1.1: 3D Printing Overview
1.2 The Rise of 3D Printing
Figure 1.2: 3D Printing Milestones 1980s to 2020s
1.2.1 1980s to 1990s
Figure 1.3: First 3D Printer
1.2.2 2000s
1.2.3 2010s
Figure 1.4: First 3D Printed Jaw by LayerWise
Figure 1.5: First 3D Printed Jaw by LayerWise
1.3 3D Printing Use Cases
Figure 1.6: 3D Print Use Cases - MakerBot Survey Results
Figure 1.7: 3D Printing Use Cases at Work and Home
1.2.1 3D Printing at Work
Figure 1.8: 3D Printed Fabric/Textile Weaves by Architect Bradley Rothenberg
1.2.2 3D Printing at Home
Figure 1.9: 3D Printed Marvel Action Figures
Figure 1.10: 3D Printed Doll’s House
Figure 1.11: 3D Printing Footwear by the Cube
Figure 1.12: 3D Printer for Clothing Concept by Joshua Harris
1.4 Technology Overview
1.4.1 Stereolithography
Figure 1.13 Stereolithography Process
1.4.2 Fused Deposition Modelling
Figure 1.14 Fused Deposition Modelling Process
1.4.3 Selective Laser Sintering
Figure 1.15: Selective Laser Sintering Process
1.4.4 Materials

2. Consumer 3D Printing: Market Dynamics

2.1 Consumer 3D Printing: Hype or Opportunity?
Figure 2.1: 3D Printing Interest over Time Chart
Figure 2.2: Consumer 3D Printing Market Drivers and Hurdles
2.2 Market Drivers
Table 2.1: Current 3D Printers Pricing Indication
Figure 2.4: MakerBot Digitizer 3D Scanner
2.3 Market Hurdles
Figure 2.3: Familiarity with 3D Printers and 3D Printing Technology in the US
Figure 2.5: Comparison of 3D Granted Patents and Published Patents
Figure 2.6: 3D Printed Gun Parts – Liberator
2.4 Market Trends & Recent Developments
2.4.1 Key 3D Printing Patent Expirations to Drive Market
a. Case study: 3D Systems
2.4.2 Emergence of Key Software Players
b. Case study: Adobe
2.4.3 Multi-material and Multi-Colour Consumer Printers?
a. Case study: Stratasys
Figure 2.7: Bike Helmet 3D printed on the Objet500 Connex3 Color
2.4.5 Ethical Conundrum

3. Stakeholders & Service Models

3.1 Consumer 3D Printing Ecosystem
Figure 3.1: The Consumer 3D Printing Ecosystem
3.1.1 Stakeholders
i. Chipset & Hardware Vendors
ii. Software Vendors
Figure 3.2: Cubify Client Software by 3D Systems
iii. Content Providers & 3DP Communities
Figure 3.3: Global 3D Hubs Community
iv. Consumer Brands
v. Retailers & Online Stores
Figure 3.4: Cubify 3D Printer on Sale at Costco UK
3.1.2 3D Printing: Disruptive Technology?
Figure 3.5: 3D Printing and Traditional Supply Chain: Complementary or Disruptive?
3.2 Monetising the 3D Printing Ecosystem
3.2.1 Service Model
Figure 3.6: Consumer 3D Printing Revenue Model
3.2.1 Material Pricing Analysis
Table 3.1: Selected 3D Printing Material Pricing Example
3.2.2 Content Model is King
a. Case Study: Shapeways

4. Consumer 3D Printing: Market Forecasts

4.1 Introduction & Methodology
4.1.1 Analysis of the Current Market
4.1.2 Assumptions and Methodology
Figure 4.1: Consumer 3D Printing Forecast Methodology 2014-2018
4.2 Market Forecasts: Consumer 3D Printers In Use
Figure 4.2 & Table 4.1: Number of Consumer Owned 3D Printers in Use (m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
4.3 Market Forecasts: Consumer 3D Printer Shipments
Figure 4.3 & Table 4.2: Number of Consumer 3D Printers Shipped per Annum (m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
4.3 Market Forecasts: Consumer 3D Printer Market Value
4.3.1 Consumer 3D Printer ASP
Table 4.3: Consumer 3D Printer ASP ($), Selected Countries 2013
Figure 4.4 & Table 4.4: Consumer 3D Printer ASP ($), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
4.3.1 Consumer 3D Printer Hardware Revenue
Figure 4.5 & Table 4.5: Consumer 3D Printer Hardware Revenue ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013?2018
4.3.1 Consumer 3D Printer Material Spend per Annum
Figure 4.6 & Table 4.6: Average Consumer 3D Printing Material Spend per User per Month ($) Global 2013-2018
Figure 4.7 & Table 4.7: Total Consumer 3D Printing Material Spend per Annum ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
4.3.1 Total Consumer 3D Printer Market Value
Figure 4.8 & Table 4.8: Total Consumer 3D Printing Market Value ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013?2018

5. Consumer 3D Scanners: Trend Analysis & Market Forecasts

5.1 Introduction
5.1.1 Key Trends In the Consumer 3D Scanner Segment
Figure 5.1: Trimensional 3D Scanning Apps
5.2 Market Forecasts
5.2.1 3D Scanner Device Forecasts
Figure 5.2 & Table 5.1: Number of Consumer Owned 3D Scanners in Use (m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 5.3 & Table 5.2: Number of Consumer 3D Scanners Shipped (m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013?2018
5.2.2 Consumer 3D Scanner Hardware Revenue Forecasts
Figure 5.4 & Table 5.3: Consumer 3D Scanner ASP ($), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 5.5 & Table 5.4: Consumer 3D Scanner Hardware Revenue ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018

6. Players & Vendor Analysis

6.1 Vendor Matrix
6.1.1 Vendor Assessment Criteria
Table 6.1: Vendor Capability Assessment Criteria
6.1.2 Limitations and Interpretation
6.1.3 New Positioning Matrix Results
Figure 6.1: Selected Consumer Desktop 3D Printer Vendors Positioning Matrix
6.1.4 Vendors Groupings
i. Summary
ii. On Track Vendors
iii. Vendors Exceeding Expectations
iv. Vendors with Further Potential
6.2 Selected Vendor Profiles
6.2.1 3D Systems
Table 6.2: 3D Systems Corporate & Financial Data FY-2012 to FY-2013
Table 6.3: Geographic Source of 3D Systems Revenue (%) 2012-2013
Figure 6.2: 3D Systems Cube 3D Printer
6.2.2 Adobe Inc
Table 6.4: Adobe Corporate & Financial Data FY-2012 to FY-2013
Table 6.5: Geographic Source of Adobe Inc Revenue (%) FY2012-FY2013
6.2.3 Autodesk
Table 6.6: 3D Systems Corporate & Financial Data FY-2013 to FY-2014
Table 6.7: Geographic Source of Autodesk Revenue (%) FY2013-FY2014
6.2.4 Formlabs
Figure 6.3: Form 1 3D Printer
6.2.5 i.Materialise
Figure 6.4: i.Materialise 3D Printed Products
6.2.6 Lulzbot (Aleph Objects)
Figure 6.5: TAZ3 3D Printer
6.2.7 MakerBot (Stratasys)
Table 6.8: Stratasys Corporate & Financial Data FY-2012 to FY-2013
Table 6.9: Geographic Source of Stratasys Revenue (%) 2012-2013
Figure 6.6: MakerBot 3D Printer & Scanner
6.2.8 MBot3D
Figure 6.7: MBot3D Grid II 3D Printer
6.2.9 Shapeways
Figure 6.8: Shapeways Overview
6.2.10 Solidoodle
Figure 6.9: Solidoodle 4 3D Printer
6.2.11 Tinkerine
Figure 6.10: Tinkerine Litto 3D Printer
6.2.12 Ultimaker
Figure 6.11: Ultimaker 2 3D Printer

 

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プレスリリース

[日本語訳]

世界の家庭向け3D印刷プリンターの出荷台数は2018年までに100万台以上へ

英国ハンプシャー、2014年4月22日

英国調査会社ジュニパーリサーチ社は、家庭用3Dプリンターの今年の販売数が4万4,000を超え、2018年までには100万台以上の出荷が期待されると伝えている。

出荷台数は比較的低いレベルであり、中期的な市場機会は限定的であるが、ジュニパーリサーチ社では5年後以降には大幅な成長がみられると予測している。これはHP社のような既存印刷ベンダーらの市場進出と成長により、用途範囲が拡大された結果と言えるだろう。このような成長が消費者にとって魅力的な価格設定へと繋がっていくことにもなるだろう。

利用シーンの広がり

英国調査会社ジュニパーリサーチ社の調査レポート「家庭向け3D印刷と3Dスキャン 2014-2018年:サービスモデル、将来性、機器予測 ‐ Consumer 3D Printing & Scanning Service Models, Opportunities & Devices Forecasts 2014-2018」は消費者への提供については非常に時期尚早であり、技術の面でも消費者の描くイメージをつかみきれていないと伝えている。ソフトウェア、アプリケーション、材料による適切なエコシステムでのキラーアプリケーション は未だ特定されていないし、伝えられていない。

既存の印刷ベンダーらは未だに手の内を明かしてはいないが、このニッチで目新しい用途は上昇をたどっている。一つの例としては、Hasbro社とHersheys社は3D印刷ベンダーとともに消費者向けの独創的な商品の開発に取り組んでいる。

誇大広告か長期的な市場機会か?

同レポートでは消費者の間では技術的な認識度は上がってきているとみている。新たな製品や用途に対する関心を興させたり、場合によっては誇大な広告を用いるのは容易なことだが、これらが必ずしも販売製品について正しく解説しているとは限らない。

レポート著者のNitin Bhas氏は「3D印刷は日用品の作成に使用できるということを一般の人達に知ってもらい、購入意欲を持ってもらうことがこのセグメントの長期的な成功において非常に重要だ。既に店頭で入手が可能なものではないユニークで独創的な特徴をもつキラーアプリケーションやコンテンツが重要な促進要因となるであろう」と語る。

[プレスリリース原文]

Press Release: 3D Printers for Home-Use to exceed 1 million Unit Sales Globally by 2018, finds Juniper Research

Hampshire, UK – 22nd April 2014: New findings from leading hi-tech analysts, Juniper Research, reveal that sales of consumer 3D printers will exceed 1 million units by 2018, rising from just over an estimated 44,000 this year.

While shipments are at relatively low levels, representing a limited opportunity in the medium term, Juniper expects them to increase significantly beyond the five-year period. This will be a result of an ever widening scope of applicability, driven by the entry and growth of the more established printing vendors, such as HP. This in turn will be coupled with a more attractive pricing proposition for consumers.

Expansion of Use Cases

The new report, Consumer 3D Printing & Scanning: Service Models, Devices & Opportunities 2014-2018, notes that it is still very early days for the consumer offering, and the technology has yet to really capture the consumer’s imagination. Killer applications with the appropriate eco-system of software, apps and materials have yet to be identified and communicated.

The established printing vendors have also yet to ‘show their cards’, but niche and novelty applications are on the increase. For instance, companies such as Hasbro and Hersheys are working with 3D printing vendors to develop unique applications for consumer use.

Hype or Long-term Opportunity?

The report also observed that with the widespread technological awareness amongst consumers, it is now much easier to generate interest, and possibly hype, for new products and applications. This however, does not always translate into shipped products.

Report author Nitin Bhas added: “Educating and motivating the public on the idea of 3D printing, to create everyday objects is critical for the long-term success of this segment. Killer applications and content will be the key drivers - something unique and personalised, which is not available in stores already”.

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