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目次

Wireless high definition (HD) technologies are the next frontier in consumer electronic (CE) connectivity?replacing the nest of wires in the living room with high-bandwidth wireless technologies capable of transmitting HD video streams. The primary candidate technologies include: Wireless Home Digital Interface (WHDI), WirelessHD, 802.11n, and ultrawideband (UWB). WHDI and WirelessHD are new, uncompressed HD video transmission technologies, each of which is primarily promoted by start-up chip companies. Though each has potential, both face significant market obstacles. 802.11n has the advantage of being a Wi-Fi technology, with a large installed base, but has limited bandwidth, necessitating the use of expensive codec technologies to transmit HD. UWB also uses codecs, and is facing difficulties in market adoption, with a number of chip companies shutting their doors over the past year.

This report tracks the annual penetration through 2013 of all four technologies into 17 different applications within the following product segments: CE, PCs, PC peripherals, mobile phones, and industrial/medical applications. It also includes history and analysis of each technology, annual chip average selling price forecasts of each technology, and profiles of major chip players in the market.

Table of Contents

• Executive Summary
• Introduction
  • WHDI
  • WirelessHD
  • 802.11n
  • UWB
  • Competitive Technologies
    • TransferJet
  • Chip ASPs
• Analysis and Forecasts
  • Consumer Electronics
    • Stationary CE
      • Digital Television
      • Wireless CE Media Hubs/Dongles
      • Set-Top Boxes
      • Blue Laser Players and Recorders
      • A/V Receivers
      • Aftermarket CE Hubs and Dongles
    • Portable CE
      • Digital Cameras
      • Portable Media Players
  • Summary
• PCs
  • Mobile PC
  • Mobile PC Docking Stations
  • Desktop PCs
  • Aftermarket PC Dongles
  • PC Summary
• PC Peripherals
  • LCD PC Monitors
  • Business Projectors
  • Aftermarket Wireless Hubs
  • Summary
  • Communications
  • Mobile Phones
  • Industrial/Medical
  • Summary
• Silicon Competitors
  • Alereon
  • AMIMON
  • Broadcom
  • Celeno
  • General Atomics
  • Pulse~LINK
  • Quantenna
  • Radiospire Networks
  • Realtek
  • SiBeam
  • Sigma Designs
  • Tzero Technologies
• Methodology

List of Tables

• Table 1. A Comparison of Wireless HD Video Technologies
• Table 2. Wireless HD Video Semiconductor ASP Forecast by Technology Type 2007–2013 (US Dollars)
• Table 3. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Digital Television Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 4. Wireless HD Video CE Media Hub and Dongle Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 5. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Set-Top Box Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 6. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Blue Laser DVD Player and Recorder Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 7. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of A/V Receiver Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 8. Wireless HD Video CE Hub and Dongle Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 9. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Digital Camera Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 10. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Portable Media Player Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 11. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies in the CE Market by Technology Type Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 12. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Mobile PC Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 13. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Mobile PC Docking Station Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 14. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Desktop PC Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 15. Aftermarket Wireless HD Video Technologies PC Dongle Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 16. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies in the PC Market by Technology Type Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 17. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of LCD PC Monitor Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 18. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Business Projector Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 19. Wireless HD Video Technologies Aftermarket Hubs Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 20. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies in the PC Peripheral Market by Technology Type Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 21. Wireless HD Video Technologies Penetration of Mobile Phone Market Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 22. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies in the Industrial/Medical Market by Technology Type Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 23. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies by Technology Type Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Table 24. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies by Product Segment Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)

List of Figures

• Figure 1. Wireless HD Video Capability by Product Segment Forecast 2007–2013 Including 802.11n (Units in Thousands)
• Figure 2. Wireless HD Video Capability by Technology Type ex-802.11n Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Figure 3. Wireless HD Video Semiconductor ASP Forecast by Technology Type 2009–2013 (US Dollars)
• Figure 4. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies by Technology Type Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)
• Figure 5. Summary of Wireless HD Video Technologies by Product Segment Forecast 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands)

802.11n Wi-Fi技術は無線HDビデオを侵食し、独占するだろう

アリゾナ州スコッツデール、2009年4月29日
少なくとも今後数年間は、802.11n Wi-Fi技術は無線高品位動画市場を独占するだろうと、米国調査会社インスタット社は報告している。他にも、無線ホームデジタルインターフェース(Wireless Home Digital Interface、WHDI)、WirelessHD、ウルトラワイドバンド(Ultrawideband、UWB)という3つの技術がある。しかし、Wi-Fi技術の普及はとめられない。

「802.11nは非常に人気があるWi-Fi技術ファミリーの次世代規格である。100Mbps以上でデータ信号速度を保証し、後方互換性がある。事実上、すべてのモバイルPCと、多くの携帯電話、広範な家電製品に搭載されており、Wi-Fiの導入数は莫大である。802.11nの主な欠点は費用で、HDビデオ送信時に両端でコーデック技術を必要とするためである。主要な競争相手であるWHDIとWirelessHDのどちらも、コーデックを必要としない」とインスタット社のアナリストBrian O'Rourke氏は語る。

インスタット社は、下記についても調査した。

• UWBは家電市場では普及しないだろう。多くのチップ企業が、2008年後半から2009年に撤退するだろう
• 2013年には数機種のWireless HDビデオ技術のデジタルテレビが、約2400万台出荷されだろう
• 当初はWHDIとWirelessHDの販促がなされたが、現在では高価で電力消費量が多く、早期の市場成功は見込めない
• WHDIとWirelessHDは立ち上がりが遅く、2013年でも800万台未満の出荷数だろう

インスタット社の調査レポート「無線HDビデオ技術市場調査 2009年:映像規格、対応機器、シリコン企業、2013年までの予測 - Wireless HD Video Technologies 2009: WHDI, WirelessHD, 802.11n, and UWB All Test the Waters」は、世界の無線HDビデオ技術市場を調査した。無線HDビデオの製品セグメント毎、技術毎、チップ平均価格の2013年までの予測、技術・製品セグメント毎の市場分析、Alereon、AMIMON、Broadcom、Celeno、General Atomics、Pulse~LINK、Quantenna、Radiospire Networks、Realtek、SiBeam、Sigma Designs、Tzero Technologiesなどのシリコン企業の概要を記載している。

(原文)
802.11n Wi-Fi Technology is the Spoiler at the Wireless HD Video Party; Will Dominate

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz., April 29, 2009 - 802.11n Wi-Fi technology will dominate the wireless HD video market, at least for the next several years, reports In-Stat. Three other technologies are competing in this space—Wireless Home Digital Interface (WHDI), WirelessHD, and Ultrawideband (UWB). However, the ubiquity of Wi-Fi technology is proving unstoppable.

“802.11n is the next generation of the immensely popular Wi-Fi family.  It promises data rates above 100Mbps and is backwards compatible,” says Brian O’Rourke, In-Stat analyst. “The installed base of Wi-Fi is immense, and effectively includes all mobile PCs, many mobile phones and a wide variety of CE devices. The primary drawback to 802.11n is expense, since it requires codec technology on both ends to transmit HD video. Neither of its primary competitors, WHDI and WirelessHD, requires codecs.”

Recent research by In-Stat found the following:

• UWB will not be a major factor in the consumer electronics market. Many chip companies are leaving the market in late 2008 and 2009.
• Nearly 24 million digital TVs will ship with some type of Wireless HD video technology in 2013.
• WHDI and WirelessHD are being promoted by startups, but they are new, expensive, and power-hungry, which is generally not a recipe for quick market success.
• WHDI and WirelessHD will see a slow start, with fewer than eight million devices with those technologies shipped in 2013.

Recent In-Stat research, Wireless HD Video Technologies 2009: WHDI, WirelessHD, 802.11n, and UWB All Test the Waters (#IN0904455MI), which will be published shortly, covers the worldwide market for wireless HD video technology. It includes:

• Wireless HD video capability by product segment, technology type, and chip average selling price forecasts to 2013.
• Analysis of the markets by technology and by product segment.
• A rundown of silicon competitors: Alereon, AMIMON, Broadcom, Celeno, General Atomics, Pulse~LINK, Quantenna, Radiospire Networks, Realtek, SiBeam, Sigma Designs, and Tzero Technologies.