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ブラジルの2030年までの風力発電市場展望 2018年

Wind Power in Brazil, Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 - Capacity, Generation, Investment Trends, Regulations and Company Profiles

 

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GlobalData
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2018年6月US$2,500
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Wind Power in Brazil, Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 - Capacity, Generation, Investment Trends, Regulations and Company Profiles

Summary

"Wind Power in Brazil, Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 - Capacity, Generation, Investment Trends, Regulations and Company Profiles", is the latest report from GlobalData, the industry analysis specialists that offer comprehensive information and understanding of the wind power market in Brazil.

The report provides in depth analysis on global renewable power market and global wind power market with forecasts up to 2030. The report analyzes the power market scenario in Brazil (includes conventional thermal, nuclear, large hydro and renewable energy sources) and provides future outlook with forecasts up to 2030. The research details renewable power market outlook in the country (includes wind, small hydro, biopower and solar PV) and provides forecasts up to 2030. The report highlights installed capacity and power generation trends from 2006 to 2030 in Brazil wind power market. A detailed coverage of renewable energy policy framework governing the market with specific policies pertaining to wind power is provided in the report. The research also provides company snapshots of some of the major market participants.

The report is built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, secondary research and in-house analysis by GlobalData’s team of industry experts.

Scope

The report analyses global renewable power market, global wind power (Onshore and Offshore) market, Brazil power market, Brazil renewable power market and Brazil wind power market. The scope of the research includes -
- A brief introduction on global carbon emissions and global primary energy consumption.
- An overview on global renewable power market, highlighting installed capacity trends, generation trends and installed capacity split by various renewable power sources. The information is covered for the historical period 2006-2017 (unless specified) and forecast period 2018-2030.
- Renewable power sources include wind (both onshore and offshore), solar photovoltaic (PV), concentrated solar power (CSP), small hydropower (SHP), biomass, biogas and geothermal.
- Detailed overview of the global wind power market with installed capacity and generation trends, installed capacity split by major wind power countries in 2017 and key owners information of various regions.
- Power market scenario in Brazil and provides detailed market overview, installed capacity and power generation trends by various fuel types (includes thermal conventional, nuclear, large hydro and renewable energy sources) with forecasts up to 2030.
- An overview on Brazil renewable power market, highlighting installed capacity trends (2006-2030), generation trends(2006-2030) and installed capacity split by various renewable power sources in 2017.
- Detailed overview of Brazil wind power market with installed capacity and generation trends and major active and upcoming wind projects.
- Deal analysis of Brazil wind power market. Deals are analyzed on the basis of mergers, acquisitions, partnership, asset finance, debt offering, equity offering, private equity (PE) and venture capitalists (VC).
- Key policies and regulatory framework supporting the development of renewable power sources in general and wind power in particular.
- Company snapshots of some of the major market participants in the country.

Reasons to buy

- The report will enhance your decision making capability in a more rapid and time sensitive manner.
- Identify key growth and investment opportunities in Brazil wind power market.
- Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data for wind power market.
- Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential.
- Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events.
- Identify key partners and business development avenues.
- Understand and respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.

目次

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 6
1.2 List of Figures 6
2 Executive Summary 8
2.1 Global Carbon Emissions Increased by 1.4% in 2017 8
2.2 Reduced Cost of Electricity Generation and Government Support Driving Global Renewable Power Installations 8
2.3 Top 10 Countries Account for Over 84% of Global Wind Power Capacity 9
2.4 Large Hydro is the Dominant Source in the Power Mix in Brazil 9
2.5 Renewable Power Capacity in Brazil to Reach Over 80 GW by 2030 10
3 Introduction 12
3.1 Carbon Emissions, Global, 2001-2017 12
3.2 Primary Energy Consumption, Global, 2001-2030 14
3.3 Wind Power, Global, Technology Definition and Classification 15
3.4 Wind Power Market, Technology Overview 15
3.5 Wind Power Market, Turbine Components 16
3.6 Report Guidance 18
4 Renewable Power Market, Global, 2006 - 2030 19
4.1 Renewable Power Market, Global, Overview 19
4.2 Renewable Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity, 2006-2030 19
4.2.1 Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type, 2006-2030 19
4.2.2 Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, 2017 and 2030 22
4.2.3 Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, 2017-2030 24
4.2.4 Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison by Cumulative Installed Capacity of Technology, 2017-2030 26
4.3 Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation, 2006-2030 28
4.3.1 Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation by Source Type, 2006-2030 28
4.3.2 Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation, Source Comparison Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 30
4.4 Renewable Power Market, Global, LCOE Comparison of Power Generating Sources 32
5 Wind Power Market, Global, 2006-2030 35
5.1 Wind Power Market, Global, Overview 35
5.2 Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity, 2006-2030 36
5.2.1 Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity Share by Region, 2006-2030 38
5.2.2 Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity Share by Country, 2017 39
5.2.3 Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity Share by Segment, 2017 and 2030 40
5.3 Wind Power Market, Global, Power Generation, 2006-2030 41
5.3.1 Wind Power Market, Global, Generation Share by Region, 2017 and 2030 43
5.3.2 Wind Power Market, Global, Generation Share by Country, 2017 and 2030 44
5.3.3 Wind Power Market, Global, Generation Share by Segment, 2017 and 2030 45
5.4 Wind Power Market, Global, Drivers and Restraints 46
5.4.1 Wind Power Market, Global, Key Drivers 46
5.4.2 Wind Power Market, Global, Key Restraints and Challenges 49
5.5 Wind Power Market, Global, Key Trends 51
5.5.1 Global Wind Power Market Consolidation Activity to Increase 51
5.5.2 Auctions to boost wind power capacity additions 51
5.5.3 Increased Preference for Large-Scale Installations 54
5.5.4 Offshore Wind Market Development to Gain Momentum during the Forecast Period 54
5.6 Wind Power Market, Global, Average Turbine Size, 2006-2030 55
5.7 Wind Power Market, Global, Influences on Economy and Environment 56
5.8 Wind Power Market, Global, Manufacture and Trade 59
5.9 Wind Power Market, Global, Investment Trends, 2017-2020 62
6 Power Market, Brazil, 2006-2030 63
6.1 Power Market, Brazil, Overview 63
6.2 Power Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity, 2006-2030 63
6.2.1 Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2006-2030 63
6.2.2 Power Market, Brazil, Share in Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, 2017 and 2030 67
6.2.3 Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Fuel Type, 2017 and 2030 69
6.2.4 Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Technologies Based on Installed Capacity, 2017-2030 71
6.3 Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation, 2006-2030 73
6.3.1 Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Fuel Type, 2006-2030 73
6.3.2 Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Technologies Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 75
7 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, 2006-2030 77
7.1 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Overview 77
7.2 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity, 2006-2030 77
7.2.1 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type, 2006-2030 77
7.2.2 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, 2017 and 2030 80
7.2.3 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, 2017-2030 82
7.2.4 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Based on Installed Capacity, 2017-2030 84
7.3 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation, 2006-2030 86
7.3.1 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Source Type, 2006-2030 86
7.3.2 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 88
8 Wind Power Market, Brazil 90
8.1 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Overview 90
8.2 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity, 2006 - 2030 90
8.2.1 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Number of Wind Farms by State, 2017 93
8.3 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation, 2006 - 2030 94
8.4 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Drivers, Restraints and Key Trends 96
8.4.1 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Key Drivers 96
8.4.2 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Key Restraints and Challenges 98
8.4.3 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Key Trends 98
8.5 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Investment Trends, 2017-2020 100
8.6 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Project Based Analysis, 2017 101
8.6.1 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Major Active Plants, 2017 101
8.6.2 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Upcoming Projects, 2017 102
8.6.3 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Key Under-construction Projects, 2017 103
8.7 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Deal Analysis, 2017 104
8.7.1 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Deal Volume vs. Deal Value, 2006-2017 104
8.7.2 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Split by Deal Type, 2017 106
9 Renewable Energy Policy, Brazil 108
9.1 Overview 108
9.2 Auctions/Tenders 109
9.2.1 Renewable Energy Auctions 109
9.2.2 T &D lines Auctions 111
9.2.3 Brazil’s First Renewable Energy De-contraction Auction 111
9.2.4 Hybrid Renewable Energy Projects to Participate in Energy Auctions 111
9.2.5 Reverse Auction 111
9.3 Local Content Policy 111
9.4 Brazil National Climate Change Plan 111
9.5 National Policy on Energy Efficiency 112
9.6 National Electricity Conservation Program - PROCEL 112
9.7 National Energy Plan (PNE), 2030 112
9.8 Brazilian Energy Plan, (PDE) 2026 112
9.9 Energy Expansion Plan 2010-2019 113
9.10 Luz para Todos Electrification Program 113
9.11 Incentives for Small Hydropower Facilities, Law 9648 113
9.12 Wind Turbine Component Tax Exemption (Executive Decree 656) 114
9.13 Inova Energia Program 114
9.14 National Biodiesel Program 114
9.15 Net Metering for Distributed Generation 114
9.16 Distributed Generation Regulation and Tax Incentives 114
9.17 Grid Access Policies 115
9.18 National Alcohol Program 115
9.19 Federal and State Taxes on Ethanol 115
9.20 Social Fuel Stamp Auction System 116
9.21 Ethanol Blending Mandate 116
9.22 Ethanol Export Tax Credit - Special Regime of Reinstatement of Tax Amounts for Exporting Companies - Reintegra 117
9.23 Spending on Biofuels 117
9.23.1 CT-Petro program 117
9.23.2 CT-TRANSPORTE 117
9.23.3 CT-INFRA 117
9.23.4 CT-ENERG 117
9.23.5 CT-AGRO 117
9.23.6 CT-BIOTEC 117
9.23.7 Green-Yellow 118
9.24 Role of the National Development Bank of Brazil 118
9.25 Regulated Investments in Energy Efficiency 118
9.26 The Energy Efficiency Law 118
9.27 Solar Water Heating Legislation 118
10 Wind Power Market, Brazil, Company Profiles 119
10.1 Company Snapshot: Renova Energia S.A. 119
10.1.1 Renova Energia S.A. - Company Overview 119
10.1.2 Renova Energia S.A. - Business Description 119
10.1.3 Renova Energia S.A. - SWOT Analysis 119
10.1.4 Renova Energia S.A. - Major Products and Services 121
10.1.5 Renova Energia S.A. - Head Office 122
10.2 Company Snapshot: Multiner S.A. 122
10.2.1 Multiner S.A. - Company Overview 122
10.2.2 Multiner S.A. - Major Products and Services 122
10.2.3 Multiner S.A. - Head Office 122
10.3 Company Snapshot: Energisa SA 122
10.3.1 Energisa SA - Company Overview 122
10.3.2 Energisa SA - Business Description 123
10.3.3 Energisa SA - SWOT Analysis 123
10.3.4 Energisa SA - Major Products and Services 125
10.3.5 Energisa SA - Head Office 125
10.4 Company Snapshot: Elawan Energy SL 126
10.4.1 Elawan Energy SL - Company Overview 126
10.4.2 Elawan Energy SL - Major Products and Services 126
10.4.3 Elawan Energy SL - Head Office 126
10.5 Company Snapshot: ContourGlobal L.P. 126
10.5.1 ContourGlobal L.P. - Company Overview 126
10.5.2 ContourGlobal L.P. - Business Description 126
10.5.3 ContourGlobal L.P. - SWOT Analysis 127
10.5.4 ContourGlobal L.P. - Major Products and Services 129
10.5.5 ContourGlobal L.P. - Head Office 129
11 Appendix 130
11.1 Abbreviations 130
11.2 Bibliography 130
11.3 Market Definitions 130
11.4 Methodology 131
11.5 Coverage 131
11.5.1 Secondary Research 131
11.5.2 Primary Research 132
11.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 132
11.6 Contact Us 132
11.7 Disclaimer 132

List of Tables

1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption, Global (GT), 2001-2017 13
Table 2: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type (MW), 2006-2030 21
Table 3: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type (%), 2017 and 2030 23
Table 4: Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type (MW), 2017-2030 25
Table 5: Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison by Cumulative Installed Capacity of Technology, 2017-2030 27
Table 6: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation (GWh), 2006-2030 29
Table 7: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation, Source Comparison Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 31
Table 8: Renewable Power Market, Global, Assumptions for LCOE Calculation 32
Table 9: Renewable Power Market, Global, LCOE Comparison of Power-generating Sources ($/kWh), 2017 34
Table 10: Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2030 37
Table 11: Wind Power Market, Global, Power Generation (TWh), 2006-2030 42
Table 12: Wind Power Market, Global, Renewable Energy Targets 47
Table 13: Wind Power Market, Global, Auction, 2009-2017 53
Table 14: Wind Power Market, Global, Turbine Market Share (%), 2010-2017 61
Table 15: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type(MW), 2006-2030 66
Table 16: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type (%), 2017 and 2030 68
Table 17: Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Fuel Type(MW), 2017 and 2030 70
Table 18: Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Technologies Based on Installed Capacity, 2017-2030 72
Table 19: Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Fuel Type (GWh), 2006-2030 74
Table 20: Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Technologies Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 76
Table 21: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type (MW), 2006-2030 79
Table 22: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type (%), 2017 and 2030 81
Table 23: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type (MW), 2017-2030 83
Table 24: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Based on Installed Capacity, 2017-2030 85
Table 25: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Source Type (GWh), 2006-2030 87
Table 26: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 89
Table 27: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity (MW), 2006 - 2030 92
Table 28: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation (GWh), 2006 - 2030 95
Table 29: Wind Power Market, Brazil, New Investment ($m), 2017-2020 101
Table 30: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Major Active Plants, 2017 101
Table 31: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Upcoming Projects, 2017 103
Table 32: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Key Under-construction Projects, 2017 103
Table 33: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Deal Volume vs. Deal Value ($m), 2006-2017 105
Table 34: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Deals by Type, 2017 107
Table 35: Renewable Energy Auctions, Brazil, 2007-2017 109
Table 36: Hydropower Plant Auction, Winners, September 2017 110
Table 37: Biodiesel and Mineral Diesel, Brazil, Federal Taxes 116
Table 38: Renova Energia S.A., Major Products and Services 121
Table 39: Multiner S.A., Major Products and Services 122
Table 40: Energisa SA, Major Products and Services 125
Table 41: Elawan Energy SL, Major Products and Services 126
Table 42: ContourGlobal L.P., Major Products and Services 129
Table 43: Abbreviations 130

List of Figures

1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: Wind Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Share by Country (%), 2017 9
Figure 2: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2017 10
Figure 3: Carbon-di-oxide Emissions from Energy Consumption, Global (GT), 2001-2017 13
Figure 4: Primary Energy Consumption, Global (Mtoe), 2001-2030 15
Figure 5: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type (MW), 2006-2030 21
Figure 6: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type (%), 2017 and 2030 23
Figure 7: Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type (MW), 2017-2030 25
Figure 8: Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison by Cumulative Installed Capacity of Technology, 2017-2030 27
Figure 9: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation (GWh), 2006-2030 29
Figure 10: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation, Source Comparison Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 31
Figure 11: Renewable Power Market, Global, LCOE Comparison of Power-generating Sources ($/kWh), 2017 33
Figure 12: Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity (MW), 2006-2030 36
Figure 13: Wind Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW), by Region, 2006- 2030 38
Figure 14: Wind Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity(GW) by Country, 2017 39
Figure 15: Wind Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Share by Segment (%), 2017 and 2030 40
Figure 16: Wind Power Market, Global, Power Generation (TWh), 2006-2030 41
Figure 17: Wind Power Market, Global, Generation Share by Region (%), 2017 and 2030 43
Figure 18: Wind Power Market, Global, Generation Share by Country (%), 2017 and 2030 44
Figure 19: Wind Power Market, Global, Generation Share by Segment (%), 2017 and 2030 45
Figure 20: Wind Power Market, Global, Power Consumption (TWh), 2006-2030 46
Figure 21: Wind Power Market, Global, Auction, 2017 52
Figure 22: Wind Power Market, Global, Share of Offshore Wind in Cumulative Capacity (%), 2017-2030 55
Figure 23: Wind Power Market, Global, Average Turbine Size (MW), 2006-2030 56
Figure 24: Wind Power Market, Global, CO2 Emission Reduction (MW), 2006-2030 58
Figure 25: Wind Power Market, Global, Number of Jobs (Thousands), 2012-2017 59
Figure 26: Wind Power Market, Global, Turbine Market Share (%), 2017 60
Figure 27: Wind Power Market, Global, Turbine Market Share (%), 2010-2017 61
Figure 28: Wind Power Market, Global, New Investment ($m), 2017-2020 62
Figure 29: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type(MW), 2006-2030 65
Figure 30: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type (%), 2017 and 2030 68
Figure 31: Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Fuel Type(MW), 2017 and 2030 70
Figure 32: Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Technologies Based on Installed Capacity, 2017-2030 72
Figure 33: Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Fuel Type (GWh), 2006-2030 74
Figure 34: Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Technologies Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 76
Figure 35: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type (MW), 2006-2030 79
Figure 36: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type (%), 2017 and 2030 81
Figure 37: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type (MW), 2017-2030 83
Figure 38: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Based on Installed Capacity, 2017-2030 85
Figure 39: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Source Type (GWh), 2006-2030 87
Figure 40: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Based on Power Generation, 2017-2030 89
Figure 41: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity (MW), 2006 - 2030 91
Figure 42: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Technology (MW) and Number of Wind Farms by State, 2017 94
Figure 43: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Average Capacity Factor (%), 2012-2017 96
Figure 44: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Contracted Capacity and Average Price during Various Auctions and PROINFA, 2004-2017 97
Figure 45: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Capacity Allotted in Auctions, 2006-2017 99
Figure 46: Wind Power Market, Brazil, New Investment ($m), 2017-2020 100
Figure 47: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Upcoming Projects, 2017 103
Figure 48: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Deal Volume vs. Deal Value ($m), 2006-2017 105
Figure 49: Wind Power Market, Brazil, Split by Deal Type (%), 2017 107

 

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