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世界の非軍事・航空宇宙用途の屋外光無線システム (FSO) 市場の予測と分析 2017-2027年

Outdoor Free Space Optics In Non-Military/Aerospace Applications

Global Market Forecast 2017-2027

 

出版社 出版年月ファイ ル/CD-ROM価格 ページ数
ElectroniCast Consultants
エレクトロニキャスト社
2018年10月US$1,800
シングルユーザーライセンス(PDF)
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米国調査会社エレクトロニキャスト社の調査レポート「世界の非軍事・航空宇宙用途の屋外光無線システム (FSO) 市場の予測と分析 2017-2027年」は、世界の軍事と航空用途以外の光無線通信 (フリースペースオプティクス、自由空間光通信) の10年間の市場を予測している。FSOは通常、ビル間の光通信にLEDやレーザービームを使用しており、光ファイバーを使用しない光通信である。2017-2027年のFSO用送受信機の市場を主要地域(南北アメリカ/EMEA/アジア太平洋地域)と、距離毎とデータスループット毎予測している。

 

Market Forecast and Analysis of Outdoor Free Space Optics (FSO) Links Used in Non-Military/Aerospace Communication Applications

 

10-Year Market Forecast

Free Space Optics (FSO) is a line-of-sight (LOS) technology that uses directed LEDs or Laser emitters, which provide optical bandwidth Transmitters and Receivers to link voice, video, and data intelligent transfer.  A single FSO link product often may incorporate multiple transmitters along with receiver/s to ensure adequate performance, in case of interference.

As the cost and other obstacles of deploying fiber optic cables or copper-based cables continue to increase, the product and deployment opportunities for FSO as well as other wireless communication link solutions improve.  Communication managers face the timely delays and cost comparison of utilizing a telecommunication leased-line versus the implementation of an FSO system, the flexibility of the FSO product-area may present an attractive communication link alternative.

Data throughput (transfer) rates are continuing to push up into the multi-gigabit region and optical communication use is increasing; therefore, the emphasis on low-cost, quickly deployed system solutions is encouraging to the FSO prospects.

This report provides the ElectroniCast market consumption forecast of outdoor transmitter/receiver pairs used in non-military/aerospace outdoor fixed-location (stationary) FSO communication links; therefore, government-based Defense/Homeland Security or aircraft/spacecraft use, as well as Inside-the-building links, are not included.

FSO devices, which are placed at a window inside of a building, but directed outside, for outdoor links, are included in the forecast.  Only the FSO Function of FSO/RF Hybrid Products is included in market data.

The market data in this report does not include all of the other parts that compose of the entire FSO system equipment, such as the mounting brackets, external mux/demux, drivers, switches, amplifiers, wire/connectors, installation/service, etc.   
    
FSO communication links require at least two separate transmitter/receiver pair units; for example – one T/R pair unit at point ¨A¨ and another T/R pair unit at point ¨B¨.

The analysis and forecast are presented for FSO Transmitter/Receiver (pair) link devices, segmented by distance and data-rate throughput.  The forecast for each selected FSO link device, in turn, is segmented by geographic region:

•    America (North America, Central and South America)
•    EMEA (Europe, Middle Eastern countries, plus Africa)
•    APAC (Asia Pacific)

The market forecast data are segmented by the following functions:

•    Consumption Value (US$, million)
•    Quantity (number/units)
•    Average Selling Prices (ASP $, T/R Pair)

Market Data Category List by Distance/Meters and by Throughput/Mbps

•    500 Meters or Less

o    156 Mbps or Lower
o    Higher Than 156 Mbps

•    More Than 500 Meters

o    156 Mbps or Lower
o    Higher Than 156 Mbps           

Research Methodology

Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces.  The future market for a particular type of optical wireless product category depends on a number of factors, including:

  •     User equipment demand (telecommunication, data network, military/ aerospace and instrumentation) for optoelectronics (receivers, transmitters, transceivers), passive optical components (couplers/splitters, isolators, DWDM components and others (connectors and of cable).
  •     The continuing trend of digital machines to higher speed and complexity, with increasing performance/cost ratio, driving an economics-based expansion of their use.
  •     Displacement of previous transmission technologies, such as copper lines and microwave, by fiber optics, based on economic advantage and technology advancement.
  •     Possible displacement of these transmission technologies by other solutions, such as wireless/cellular and digital direct broadcast satellite (DBS and VSAT).
  •     Installation costs of wireless and wire-line networks or links.
  •     Costs relative to licensing and Right-of-Way concerns
  •     Shifts in the types and technologies of fiber optic/photonic components deployed, including discrete optoelectronics evolving to hybrid, evolving in turn to monolithic, and in their end applications.
  •     Trends in world economies, regional economies and government policies.

INFORMATION BASE

This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through early October 2018.  During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed primary research interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, datacom, military/aerospace and other communication industries, instrumentation/laboratory – R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of communication link products. The interviews were conducted principally with:

  •     Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of free space optics (FSO) system equipment, components and support equipment, as well as laser diodes and photodiodes, application-specific ICs, packages and cables, substrate materials, optical waveguide and other components used in the fabrication of optoelectronic transceivers, cable assemblies and installation apparatus
  •     Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of cable, cable assemblies, connectors, installation apparatus, passive devices and transceivers, such as telecommunication transmission, switching and distribution equipment producers, data communications equipment producers (switches, hubs, routers), computer and workstation producers, weapon system, aircraft and spacecraft electronic equipment producers, optical instrumentation system producers and others.
  •     Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments.

The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.

Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
 
The analyst then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.

A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:

  •     Professional technical journals and papers
  •     Trade press articles
  •     Technical conference proceedings
  •     Product literature
  •     Company profile and financial information
  •     Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
  •     Personal knowledge of the research team.

In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the North American and other world region markets for optical interconnect products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.

Bottom-up Methodology

ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels.

The background market research focuses on the amount of each selected data-rate capability range within each selected distance capability range of product used in each Region in the base year (2017), and the prices paid. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each product category, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward digital broadband communication equipment usage and economic payback (see Figure 1).

Figure 1
ElectroniCast Market Research & Forecasting Methodology

About ElectroniCast

ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in LED Lighting components and devices.  As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.

Proprietary Statement

All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast. ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest.  Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive.  ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.



目次

Introduction                                             
Market Acceptance of Free Space Optics                            
Mobile Backhaul                                         
Alternative Technical Redundancy                                
Hybrid FSO/RF Link                                           
Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Region                             
Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Link Length                               
Line of Sight Challenges                                      
Common Use of Free Space Optic Links                              
FSO Architectures (Point-to-Point, Mesh, Point-to-Multi-Point)                     
Pros/Cons of FSO Implementation                                  
Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Data-Rate and Distance                    
Profiles of Selected FSO Companies/Brands - Introduction


    Anova Technologies (Celeras LTS)                                
    Communication by Light (CBL)                                     
    EC System International                                     
    Fog Optics                                             
    fSONA Networks Corporation                                       
    Harris Corporation                                         
    IBSENtelecom                                           
    JV-Labs.EU s.r.o. (RedStar)                                    
    Koruza (Fabrikor)                                         
    Laser Light Communications, LLC                                 
    LightPointe Communications                                 
    Mostcom (Artolink®)                                    
    Mostcom (Northern Storm®)                                     
    OWB Networks™                                         
    Plaintree Systems Inc.                                         
    Polewall AS                                               
    RONJA                                             
    Trimble Inc. (GeoDesy)                                         
    Wireless Excellence (CableFree)                                 

Competitive Market Share Estimates of Leading Companies/Brands                     

LAN/MAN/WAN - Overview                                      
Free Space optics Link Examples                                
Technology Life Cycle                                         
Research Methodology Explanation                                
Global Summary and Regional Market Forecast (Excel Spreadsheets)                 
Global Market Forecast                                        
America Market Forecast                                    
EMEA Market Forecast                                        
APAC Market Forecast                                        


List of Tables

Market Data Category List by Distance/Meters and by Throughput/Mbps                
FSO Links in Non-Military/Aerospace Global Market Forecast, By Region ($ Million)        
FSO Links in Non-Military/Aerospace Global Market Forecast, By Distance ($ Million)            
FSO Links in Non-Military/Aerospace Global Market Forecast, By Distance (Quantity)        
Free Space Optic Solutions: Pros and Cons                            
FSO 500 Meters or Less (Non-Military/Aerospace) Forecast, By Data-Rate             
FSO More Than 500 Meters (Non-Military/Aerospace) Forecast, By Data-Rate             
Free Space Optics Products                                     
2017 Competitive Market Share (%) Estimates                             
Migration or Upgrade Scenarios to Gigabit Ethernet                        
Global Market Forecast: Detailed Database                    
America Market Forecast: Detailed Database                    
EMEA Market Forecast: Detailed Database                    
APAC Market Forecast:  Detailed Database                        


List of Figures

Hybrid FSO/RF Link                                         
FSO Architectures                                         
Millimeter Wave and Free Space Optics Frequency System                     
Free Space Optics (FSO)                                    
Free Space Optics 10 Gigabits                                     
FSO Installed on Rooftop                                     
Last Mile FSO Application                                    
FSO at 100Mbps for 30-400 Meters                                 
FSO Unit                                             
All Optical Space-to-Earth Data Distribution                             
Carrier-Grade Gigabit Capacity/4-Beam Auto-Tracking FSO Link                     
FSO Unit                                             
FSO Unit                                             
FSO Components                                         
FSO Unit                                             
FSO Application Examples                                     
Small Foot Print FSO Unit                                    
FSO - Homes Connected                                     
FSO System                                              
Free Space Optics Unit                                         
FSO Deployment Example                                     
Evolution of Research Emphasis During Technology Life Cycle                    
ElectroniCast Market Research & Forecasting Methodology                   

 

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プレスリリース

[プレスリリース原文]

Outdoor Free Space Optics Market Forecast (2017-2027)


Worldwide Commercial Use of FSO Transmitter/Receivers Reached an $52.97 Million in 2017… 

Aptos, CA (USA) – October 8, 2018 – ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market and technology research consultancy addressing the optical communications industry, today announced the report release of their 10-year (2017-2027) global market forecast and analysis study covering the outdoor use of Free Space Optics (FSO) equipment in non-military/aerospace fixed-location applications.
    
According to the study, the global consumption value of outdoor FSO Transmitter and Receiver Link Devices used in stationary commercial applications reached an estimated $52.97 million in year 2017.
    
The Europe, Middle East, Africa region (EMEA) will continue to lead the market over the next few years when it comes to transmitter/receiver pairs used in commercial FSO transmission systems. European inner-city urban areas typically are difficult for wire-lines, including optical fiber cable installations; therefore, this fact promotes the consumption of FSO or other wireless solutions.

The increase in the consumption of FSO links in the America region will be attributed to not only continued upgrades and network facilitation in the United States and Canada, but partly from the accelerating economic growth of major cities in Latin America.  

    Free Space Optic communication links can be installed along railroad/subway tracks, tunnels, airport terminals, parking lot/structures or other major un-obstructed right-of-way (ROW); outdoors on building rooftops (building-to-building and/or campus), exterior walls, towers, indoors (aim out a window), or any combination; however, a direct line-of-sight and appropriate distance are required to enable a successful Link between two points (point-to-point).  
    
The Asia Pacific region (APAC) region has rapidly expanding market opportunities and therefore, the ElectroniCast forecast shows the APAC region with the fastest growth during the 1st-half of the forecast period (2017-2022).  
    
Free Space Optic (FSO) Transmitters and Receivers used in link equipment with a range capability of 500 meters or less dominated in relative market share last year with a global consumption value of $37.85 million or just-over 71%
   

Outdoor FSO Transmitters and Receivers
Used in Non-Military/Aerospace Applications
Global Consumption in 2017, By Distance Capability
    ($52.97 Million in 2017) – Source: ElectroniCast Consultants

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