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【年間購読プラン】光ファイバ市場予測 2016年

Fiber Optic Forecast Service

FOFS 2016

 

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ElectroniCast Consultants
エレクトロニキャスト社
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Fiber Optic Forecast Service FOFS 2016

Annual Subscription Plan

This annual subscription plan is for clients that want all of the fiber optic related ElectroniCast multiple-client reports for 2016


 

米国調査会社エレクトロニキャスト社の「【年間購読プラン】光ファイバ市場予測 2016年」は、2016年に出版予定の調査レポートを予約する購読プランです。

Annual Subscription Plan      

This annual subscription plan is for clients that want all of the fiber optic related ElectroniCast multiple-client reports for 2016

About ElectroniCast      

ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends covering fiber optic communication components and devices, as well providing market data on light emitting diodes (LEDs) used in lighting

As an independent consultancy ElectroniCast offers multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.

Annual Subscription Plan Description      

This annual subscription plan is for clients that want all of the ElectroniCast multiple-client reports for 2016. The Fiber Optic Forecast Service (FOFS) provides our clients with over 20 reports (sent electronically) over the course of the year.  Every month, ElectroniCast releases complete and detailed market forecasts and analysis of selected fiber optic communication products.  

ElectroniCast market forecast reports are used by leading established and start-up manufacturers, R&D institutes and universities, associations, investment banks & venture capital firms, and other concerns worldwide as an important strategic planning tool for future sales, marketing and manufacturing efforts.

Analyst Inquiry Service:

Subscribers are invited to discuss the findings of the market forecasts with the principal analyst of the Fiber Optic Component group at ElectroniCast, via telephone, video web or e-mail Q&A throughout the year.

Monthly Journal:

The FOFS includes detailed review and forecast of various fiber optic product activities around the world. It also provides features of technology developments or new market trends, and sensitivities and key drivers to watch in the near term.  The subscription service also includes the Fiber Optic Industry Monthly Review, which provides overviews and analyst briefs of industry news items of interest.

Information Base for the Market Forecasts
    
Primary Research     

The market forecasts studies are based on analysis of information obtained continually since 1985, but updated to the study release date.  ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the communication industries, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of fiber optic transmission links.  The interviews were conducted principally with:

    •    Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of cable, circulators, collimators, specialty fiber, fusion splice, test equipment, connectors/splices, isolators, couplers, DWDM filter modules, dispersion compensators, photonic switches, attenuators, photonic ICs, modulators, transmitters/receivers, optical amplifiers, OADMs and other related optical communication components.

    •    Engineers, marketing, purchasing personnel and market planners at major users of passive and active optical components, such as telecommunication transmission, switching, distribution and apparatus equipment, regional and long-haul telephone companies, alternative local carriers, Internet service providers, data com equipment companies, cable TV system suppliers, military/ aerospace OEMs, utilities and a number of other end users of fiber optic communication components and technology.

The interviews cover issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers and distributors also are interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid.  Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products are obtained.
    
Analysis     

The analyst then considers customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.

Secondary Research      

A full review of published information is performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources are reviewed:

-    Professional technical journals and papers
-    Trade press articles; Technical conference proceedings
-    Product literature; Company profile and financial information
-    Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast studies
-    Personal knowledge of the research team
   

It is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report are qualified.

Bottom-up Methodology    

ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level and then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product for the particular studied product and used in each application in the previous calendar year, as well as the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback.  

Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy   

The quantities of fiber optic collimators, transmitters/receivers, modulators, isolators, circulators, couplers, DWDM filters, attenuators, optical amplifiers and other optical communication components used in a particular application are interrelated.  Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates various component and devices in the field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the ElectroniCast Consultants’ database.  These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check".

The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast.

Proprietary Statement

All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast.

ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest.  Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive.  ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.

 

Global Market Forecasts - Publication Schedule and Individual Report Fee

Topic                                     Month      Fee ($)

Harsh Environment Fiber Optic Components/Devices            January        9,800
Fiber Optic Installation Apparatus (Outside and inside Plant)        January        9,800

Optical Isolators                            February    3,690
Hand-Held OTDR Fiber Optic Test Equipment                February    3,690

Fiber Optic Sensors                            March         6,690

Planar Lightwave Circuit (PLC) Splitters                 April        3,690
Fiber Optic Structured Cabling System                    April        3,690

All Optical - Photonic Switch                        May        4,690

LED-Based Visible Light Communication (VLC)             June        3,690
Optical Backplanes                             June        5,690

Expanded Beam Fiber Optic Connectors                July        3,690
Fiber-to-the-Antenna (FTTA)                        July        3,690

Underwater Wireless Optical Communication (UWOC)            August        3,690
Fiber Optic Circulators                            August        3,690

Laser-Based Optical Fiber Lighting                     September    3,690
Fiber Optic Collimator Lens Assemblies                September    3,690

Fiber Optic Component Attenuators                    October    3,690
Data Center Interconnect                         October    3,690

Fiber Optic Media Converters                        November    3,690
FTTH Transceivers                             November    3,690

Remote Fiber Test System (RFTS)                      December    3,690
    
Fiber Optic Industry Monthly Review and Analysis - Journal        Monthly    369/yr       

Fiber Optic Forecast Service (FOFS) (all above reports/journal)     2016         22,000
                    

Subject to change please contact us for details.  All study reports are global market forecasts

Terms: Payment is due at subscription authorization; reports are delivered throughout the year  
                



 

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