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この調査レポートは、通信用とデータ通信用のレーザ市場を調査し、2013年までの市場を予測しています。量子ドットレーザやシリコンレーザなどの市場将来性のほか、DFBレーザ、FPレーザ、DBRレーザ、面発光レーザなど、主要レーザのアーキテクチャや技術も調査対象としています。

Much of 2009 and 2010 will see the communications laser business digging itself out of the mess created by the worldwide economic slump. But the medium-to-long term prospects for these devices now look quite good.

In the long-haul segment of the network, the scene now seems set for a major upgrade of carrier backbones. This will lead to enhanced demand for high-performance DFB and even FP lasers. This new demand will come both from the shift up to 100 Gbps that many of the leading carriers are considering and from the more gradual changeover to a WDM infrastructure compliant with the ITU-Ts OTN standards. CIR believes that this shift will mean the arrival of the first ever high volume market for tunable lasers, along with a substantial new market opening up for lasers in ROADMs.

The re-architecting of the core network in WDM form also raises the question of whether new roles will open up for pump lasers as optical amplifiers assume a new prominence

Lasers for the new carrier network will be high value-added products that can be sold on the basis of performance and superb engineering. But the low-end of the laser market now looks on the verge of explosion too.

In the LAN, for example, processor speeds have caught up with the capabilities of 10 GigE. That means that 10 GigE is about to go down the same mass market road as GigE has done in the past five years or so. Good news for the VCSEL business it would seem. PONs also continue their steady growth into the home and the latest active optical cabling may not just be a limited volume offering for the InfiniBand market but the way forward to new kinds of optical interfaces for the PC and for high end consumer video. 10 GigE and PONs are potentially huge markets for diode lasers and they are only just beginning to take off too.

But this is not to say that the way forward for the communications laser business will be an easy one or the decisions that product and planning managers in this business will have to take will be an easy one.

There are certainly dangers of taking the wrong direction technologically, for example. In the data center the speed at which single-mode fiber is adopted will radically impact the kinds of lasers that are used for data communications. This raises the question of whether the new breed of LW VCSELs that are about to hit the market will have sufficient credibility to be widely adopted. New kinds of lasers may also be needed for 100 GigE, a technology on the verge of commercialization that no one would have taken seriously five years ago.

Meanwhile, in the public network there is question of what type of lasers are needed for the next generation of PONs which may use WDM and/or operate at 10 Gbps, and with tunable lasers becoming a volume item, the old question of which tuning technology is optimal will raise its head again.

This report analyzes and quantified emerging opportunities across the entire communications laser space. It covers all the major laser architectures and technologies; DFB, FP, DBR, VCSEL, tunables, etc. as well as the opportunities in communications for pump lasers and some of the newer types of lasers such as quantum dot lasers and silicon lasers. It also discusses the latest innovations in laser manufacturing, packaging and integration and how this will play out in the marketplace.

We have also included in this report an analysis of the strategies being adopted by laser firms both large and small and, as with all CIR reports, this study also includes a detailed five-year forecast of the markets covered.

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary

E.1 Summary of Opportunities and Challenges
E.1.1 High Volumes, Low Margins: Opportunities in PONs and Consumer Electronics
E.1.2 Modest Volumes, Better Margins: Opportunities and Innovations in Ethernet, Parallel Optics and WDM
E.2 Laser Firms to Watch
E.3 The Growing Importance of Optical Integration
E.4 Summary of Forecasts

Chapter One: Introduction

1.1 Background to this Report
1.1.1 Long-Haul and Lasers: 100 Gbps and Tunable
1.1.2 Lasers at the Low-End: PONs and Next Generation Data Networks
1.1.3 Beyond the Communications Market: Of Mice, Computer Interconnects and Consumer Electronics
1.1.2 ASPs and Innovations
1.2 Goals and Scope of this Report
1.3 Methodology of this Report
1.4 Plan of Report 

Chapter Two Technological Evolution of Telecom and Datacom Lasers

2.1 Introduction
2.2 Fabry-Perot Lasers 
2.2.1 Recent FP Supplier and Technology Developments
2.3 Distributed Feed-Back Lasers 
2.3.1 EMLs
2.2.2 Recent DFB Supplier and Technology Developments
2.3 VCSELs
2.3.1 Technology Directions for VCSELs
2.3.2 Recent VCSEL Supplier Developments
2.4 Tunable Lasers
2.4.1 Tunable lasers: Mechanisms and Costs
2.4.2 Tunable lasers: The Changing Supply Structure
2.5 The Future of Pump Lasers
2.6 Light Sources for POF
2.7 Other Types of Communications Lasers
2.7.1 Quantum Dot Lasers
2.8 Modulation and Modulators
2.8.1 Modulation Issues At Higher Speeds
2.8.2 EMLs and External Modulation
2.8.3 Advanced Modulation Schemes
2.8.4 A Note on Silicon Photonics and Modulation
2.8.5 Long-Term Solutions
2.9 Optical Integration and the Future of Communications Lasers 
2.9.1 Silicon Photonics 
2.9.2 The Future of Optical Integration for Lasers
2.10 Other Developments in Laser Manufacturing Technology 

Chapter Three: Demand Patterns for Telecom and Datacom Lasers 

3.1 Introduction
3.2 The Future of High-End Communications Lasers in the OTN Era
3.3 Lasers, Enterprise Networks and the Mainstreaming of 10 GigE
3.4 What 40/100 GigE Will Mean for the Laser Business
3.5 Lasers for PONs
3.5.1 PON Deployment: State of the Art
3.5.2 PON Transceivers and Lasers
3.5.2 New Technologies and New Markets for PONs: The Laser Industry Perspective
3.6.1 AOCs
3.6.2 Optical USB
3.7 Applications-of-the-future: Lasers inside the Computer and Inside the Home
3.7.1 Lasers, Optical Backplanes and Optical Computing
3.7.2 Chip-to-chip Communications
3.7.2 Fiber-in-the-Home
3.6 Closely Related Non-Communications Applications
3.6.1 Laser Mice
3.6.2 Sensors

Chapter Four: Market Forecasts (Volume and $$$$)

4.1 Forecasting Methodology
4.1.1 A Note on Pricing
4.1.2 A Note on the Ratio of Lasers to Ports
4.1.3 Sources of Error and Alternative Scenarios
4.2 FP Lasers Forecasts
4.3 DFB Laser Forecasts
4.4 EML Lasers Forecasts
4.5 VCSEL Forecasts
4.6 Tunable Lasers
4.7.1 Conventional Parallel Optics Forecast
4.8 Pump Lasers
4.9 Summary of Forecasts

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS USED IN THIS REPORT

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