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5Gインフラストラクチャーにおける光ネットワーキングのビジネスチャンス 2019-2028年

Optical Networking Opportunities in the 5G Infrastructure Market: 2019 to 2028

 

出版社 出版年月電子版価格
Communications Industry Researchers
CIR社
2019年1月US$4,500
シングルユーザライセンス(1PC)

サマリー

2017年7月の米国調査会社CIR社(Communications Industry Researchers)の調査レポート5G無線ネットワークにおける光ネットワークのビジネスチャンス 2017-2026年の出版以来、5Gの分野では様々なことが起こった。特に、加入者数増加の期待が高まり、CIR社はPON、WDM、キャリアイーサネット、空間分割多重、5Gのバックホールやフロントホールネットの光ケーブルなどが有望と考えている。

米国調査会社CIR社(Communications Industry Researchers)の調査レポート「5Gインフラストラクチャーにおける光ネットワーキングのビジネスチャンス 2019-2028年」は、17社のモバイル事業者の高度5G戦略について概説し、これらのキャリアの光ネットワークの採用計画やハードウェアとケーブルのサプライヤはどこかであるかについて述べている。5Gインフラストラクチャーの主要な光機器とケーブルサプライヤについて分析している。10年間の光機器とケーブルの数量(ポート数)と金額(ドル)を技術タイプ毎、フロントホールとバックホール毎、地域毎に詳細に予測している。

Description

Since CIR published its first report on optical networking in the 5G infrastructure market in 2017, a lot has happened in the 5G world.  In particular, expectations for subscriber numbers have grown, leading CIR’s more bullish expectation for PON, WDM, Carrier Ethernet, space division multiplexing and optical cable in 5G-focused backhaul and fronthaul nets.

The report includes profiles of 17 mobile operators with advanced 5G strategies, showing how these carriers are planning to deploy optical networks and who their suppliers of hardware and cable will be.  It also includes analyses of the leading optical equipment and optical cable suppliers for the 5G infrastructure.  There are also detailed 10-year forecasts in volume (ports) and value ($ Millions) terms of both optical equipment and cable with breakouts by type of technology, fronthaul vs. backhaul deployment, and geography.

 



目次

Executive SummaryChapter One: Introduction

1.1 Background of this Report
1.1.1 How will the 5G Optical Infrastructure be Built?
1.1.2 The Need for 5G Optical Infrastructure
1.1.3 Rebuilding the Mobile Infrastructure for 5G: Who is it Good For?
1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report:
1.3 Methodology of Report:
1.4 Forecast Methodology
1.5 Plan of this Report
 

Chapter Two: Ten-Year Forecasts for Optical Networking Equipment Markets for 5G Infrastructure

2.1 Forecasting Methodology
2.1.1 New Equipment/Fiber Markets vs. Replacement
2.1.2 Derivation of Revenue Forecasts
2.1.3 5G Subscribers: Uncertainties
2.2 What 5G Infrastructure Means to the Optical Networking Business
2.2.1 5G Subscribers: Early Trials, Subscriber Base Evolution and Optical Infrastructure
2.3 Evolution of the 5G Infrastructure: Backhaul and Fronthaul
2.3.1 5G Backhaul will need more Dark Fiber
2.3.2 Transition to 5G Cells -- Impact on 5G backhaul
2.3.3 Evolving Meanings of Backhaul and Fronthaul
2.3.4 The Future of Fronthaul Technology
2.3.5 CPRI and its successors
2.4 Global 5G Optical Equipment by Equipment Type and Network Type
2.5 Ten-Year Forecast for PON Equipment for 5G Infrastructure
2.5.1 A Note on PONs and 5G as a Replacement for fiber-to-the-home (FTTH)
2.5.2 PON Varieties and 5G
2.5.3 Ten-Year Forecasts of PONs for 5G
2.6 Ten-Year Forecast for WDM Equipment for 5G
2.6.1 Data Rates Supported by WDM for 5G Infrastructure
2.6.2 A role for Fronthaul Processors and OTN
2.6.3 Ten-Year Forecasts of WDM for 5G
2.7 Ten-Year Forecast for SDM Equipment for 5G Infrastructure
2.7.1 Ten-Year Forecasts of SDM for 5G
2.8 Ten-Year Forecast of Carrier Ethernet for 5G
2.9 Ten-Year Forecast of Optical Cable for 5G Infrastructure
2.9.1 Deployment of Optical Cable: Operational Issues
2.9.2 Ten-year Forecasts
2.10 Alternatives to Optical Networking in the 5G Infrastructure
2.10.1 Free Space Optics
2.10.2 Wireless Backhaul for 5G: Microwave and mmWave
2.11 5G Infrastructure in the APAC Region: Ten-year Forecasts
2.11.1 Impact of High Mobile Penetration Rates
2.11.2 Many 5G Trials already in Place
2.11.3 Prestige Projects and National Agendas
2.11.4 China
2.11.5 Taiwan
2.11.6 Korea
2.12.7 Japan
2.12 5G Infrastructure in North America: Ten-year forecasts
2.12.1 United States
2.13 5G Infrastructure in Europe: Ten-year Forecasts
2.13.1 Funding limitations in Europe
2.13.2 Impact of Brexit
2.14 Key Points from this Chapter
 

Chapter Three: Deployment Strategies and Supplier Relationships for Optical Networks and Cable in 5G Infrastructure: Sixteen Carriers

3.1 AT&T
3.2 Verizon
3.3 T-Mobile/Sprint
3.4 Charter Communications, Inc.
3.5 EE
3.6 Three UK
3.7 Vodafone
3.8 Orange
3.9 O2
3.10 Softbank
3.11 KDD
3.12 LG Uplus
3.13 SK Telecom
3.14 KT Corporation
3.15 China Mobile
3.16 China Telecom
3.17 China Unicom
 

Chapter Four: Supply Chain Analysis for Optical Networking in the 5G Infrastructure

4.1 Ericsson
4.1.1 5G-related Products
4.1.2 5G Alliances
4.1.3 CIR’s Perspective on Ericsson
4.2 Nokia
4.2.1 5G-related Products
4.2.2 Contribution of Nokia Bell Labs
4.2.3 5G Alliances
4.2.4 CIR’s Perspective on Nokia
4.3 Huawei
4.3.1 5G-related Products
4.3.2 5G Alliances
4.3.3 Impact of Current Political Problems
4.3.4 CIR’s Perspective on Huawei
4.4 ZTE
4.4.2 5G-related Products
4.4.3 5G Alliances
4.4.2 CIR’s Perspective on ZTE
4.5 Ciena
4.5.1 5G-related Products
4.5.2 CIR’s Perspective on Ciena
4.6 Infinera
4.6.1 5G-related Products
4.6.2 5G Alliances
4.6.3 CIR’s Perspective on Infinera
4.7 Analysis of the PON Supply Structure
4.8 Suppliers of Optical Cable for 5G Infrastructure
4.8.1 Corning
4.8.2 Prysmian Group
4.8.3 CommScope
4.8.4 Sterlite Technologies
4.8.5 Nexans
4.8.6 OFS/Furukawa
4.8.7 Sumitomo Electric Lightwave
4.8.8 Yangtze Optical Fiber (YOFC)
4.8.9 Fujikura

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プレスリリース

[プレスリリース原文]

Published Feb 11, 2019

CIR Issues New Report on 5G Optical Networking and Cabling Infrastructure Buildout

February 11, 2019

Crozet, Virginia:  Industry analyst firm CIR has just issued a new report on the 5G fiber optics infrastructure market. In the report the firm projects a robust market for optical networking and cabling in the coming years as carriers deploy the infrastructure necessary to meet the needs of the growing 5G wireless business. CIR sees global expenditures on 5G fronthaul and backhaul equipment will peak at $4.1 billion dollars in 2021. Optical cabling expenditures will exceed $5 billion annually with some years having spending amounts substantially higher during the 5G infrastructure build out.

About the Report:

This new report from CIR analyzes and quantifies the opportunities in the optical networking market for 5G fronthaul and backhaul equipment as well as optical cable. In both the forecasts and the analysis, the market is broken down by protocols — WDM, PON, Carrier Ethernet, and SDM — and by data rate and type of technology used. Geographical breakouts also included. In addition, the prospects for alternatives to fiber optics in 5G infrastructure such as millimeter and microwave radio and free-space optic are explored. Our ten-year forecasting model takes account of the rapid build out of 5G infrastructure that is expected in the next few years and the inevitable decline as the 5G infrastructure deployments become sufficient to support a large number of 5G users.

Forecasts of all the technologies in the report are expressed in both volume and value terms. Companies addressed in the report include Ericsson, Nokia, Huawei, ZTE, Ciena, Infinera, Corning, Prysmian Group, CommScope Sterlite Technologies, Nexans, OFS/Furukawa, Sumitomo Electric Lightwave, Yangtze Optical Fiber (YOFC), and Fujikura. Among the topics discussed in the report is the impact on the 5G infrastructure market of the growing exclusion of Chinese firms (Huawei and ZTE) from building the 5G infrastructure in the US and Europe.

About CIR:

Communications Industry Researchers (CIR) has published hype-free industry analysis for the optical networking and photonics networks for more than 25 years. Our reports contain the most authoritative market forecast and technology assessment available.

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