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この調査レポートは、通信用トランシーバとトランスポンダの市場を調査し、技術や規格、MSAなどの動向や2009年から2013年までの予測を提供しています。

This new report from CIR provides our latest forecasts of transceivers and transponders for the public networking environment for the years 2009 to 2014. The report focuses especially on the rise of the ITU-defined Optical Transport Network (OTN) and what that will mean for the both the WDM and SONET transceiver/transponder market. In particular, we discuss how the need for ROADMs to be more actively deployed will create new markets for active optical modules and also what the future demand for tunable transponders will be. 

An important part of this report will also be in examining how the major carriers will be implementing their next-generation 100 Gbps backbones, now that the appropriate standards are beginning to be firmed up. With this in mind, this report takes and in-depth look at how this transition will create opportunities for transceiver/transponder makers. At the other end of the scale we take a close look at what lies in the future of SONET/SDH. Are there still markets left for it to serve and does OC-768, in fact, have any future? 

CIR has been carrying out analysis of transceiver/transponder markets for over a decade now and as with all its previous reports in this series, CIR will in this report, also examine future reach requirements for transceivers and transponders and what parts of the network will be biggest revenue earners; long-haul, metro or access. 

Also in this report, we review key enabling technologies for public network transmission modules and how the many overlapping MSAs will play themselves out in the market. The report also discusses how the leading firms in the telecom transceiverDtransponder space are planning their product and marketing strategies for the future with so many uncertainties- both economic and technological- impacting the market . 

CIR's new telecom transceiver/transponder report analyzes and quantifies all of the key market opportunities in this business. Detailed volume and value forecasts are provided for each protocol covered broken out by data rates, MSA, technology platform, reach, etc. 

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary 

E.1 Current Business Conditions in the Telecom Transceiver/Transponder Market
E.1.1 Impact of Economic Growth and Capex Trends
E.2 Key Opportunities in the Telecom Modules Market
E.2.1 The Rise of the OTN and the Implications for the WDM Market
E.2.2 The Future of OC-768: Is There One?
E.2.2 Is there still a Sweet Spot for OC-192?
E.2.3 Opportunities, Standards and MSAs
E.3 Summary of Forecasts
E.3.1 Changes from Last Year 

Chapter One: Introduction

1.1 Background to Report
1.1.1 Rise of the OTN, Fall of OC-768
1.1.2 Where to with OC-768
1.1.2 Video, Cloud Computing and What It Means to the Module Makers
1.2 Objectives and Scope of Report
1.3 Methodology of Report
1.4 Plan of Report

Chapter Two: Transceiver/Transponder Technology, Standards, and MSAs 

2.1 Transceivers and Transponders
2.1.1 TOSAs and ROSAs
2.2 Enabling Technologies 
2.2.1 Where Can Optical Integration Making a Difference: Now and the Future
2.2.2 Silicon Photonics in the Telecom Transponder Space: Who Cares?
2.2.2 Influential Developments in Tunable Laser and Other WDM Technology
2.2.3 What Telecom Needs from WDM Now
2.2.4 Impact of New Dispersion Compensation Technology
2.3 Standards Evolution
2.3.1 The ITU, OTN and the End of SONET
2.3.2 IEEE and the 100 Gbps for Service Providers
2.4 MSA Evolution
2.4.1 300-pin, XENPAK, XPAK and X2: Where to From Here
2.4.2 The Role of XFP and SFP+ in the Public Network
2.4.4 Public Network MSAs for the Future: 40 and 100 Gbps
2.4.5 MSAs for Tunable Transponders 

Chapter Three: Transceivers, Transponders and Markets

3.1 Applications Drivers for Public Network Transceiver/Transponder Markets
3.1.1 Video, Video, Everywhere!
3.1.2 Cloud Computing and Virtualization: What It Means for Transceiver/Transponder Makers
3.3 Long-haul and Ultra-long Haul Networks
3.3.1 Network Evolution and Coming Technology Changes: The Optical Switch At Last?
3.3.2 Transponder/Transceiver Requirements
3.4 Metro Networks
3.4.1 Network Evolution: Metro DWDM and/or Metro SONET?
3.4.2 Transponder/Transceiver Requirements
3.5 Access Networks
3.5.1 Access WDM and ROADMs
3.5.2 Transponder/Transceiver Requirements
3.6 SONET/SDH Forecasts
3.6.1 Forecasts by Data Rate and Reach
3.6.2 Forecasts by Network Segment
3.7 WDM Forecasts
3.6.1 Forecasts by Data Rate and Reach
3.6.2 Forecasts by Network Segment
3.7 TOSA/ROSA Forecasts

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