Estonia - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts / BuddeComm

エストニアの通信、モバイル、ブロードバンド市場調査 2010年 (第9版)

Estonia - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

出版社	出版日	冊子体	電子媒体	ページ数
BuddeComm	2010年5月	US$ 595	US$ 495	49p

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市場と産業の分析、市場動向と発展
実績、数値、統計
産業および法規制問題
インフラ
主要企業、収益、加入者数、ARPU
インターネット、VoIP、IPTV
モバイル音声とデータ市場
ブロードバンド - FTTH、DSL、ケーブルテレビ、無線
コンバージェンス、デジタルメディア

Publication Overview

Estonia is a country leading in technology use. The report covers trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media including VoIP and IPTV developments. Subjects include:

Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
Facts, figures and statistics;
Industry and regulatory issues;
Infrastructure;
Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU;
Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
Mobile voice and data markets;
Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
Convergence and digital media.

Executive Summary

Since independence Estonia embraced market reform and joined the European Union, overseeing rapid economic growth characterised by large real wage increases driven by declining unemployment and emigration, EU sourced development funds and extremely rapid credit growth. Like its Baltic neighbours the global financial turmoil brought an end to Estonia’s economic boom, with real GDP contracting by 3.6% during 2008 followed by 14.1% during 2009.

Recovery has been assisted by Estonia’s low public debt and swift adjustment measures, with EU estimates of a 0.1% contraction in real GDP in 2010 followed by 4.2% expansion in 2011. Medium-term growth prospects is dependent on addressing private sector debt, regaining international competitiveness and a focus on exports which is largely contingent on the health of its main trading partners; Finland, Sweden and Russia.

Estonia’s telecom market benefited from the recent economic growth in terms of demand for new products and funding sources for investment. Increased demand was also the result of regulatory changes such as market liberalisation and implementation of an EU-mandated regulatory framework designed to stimulate competition. Telecom services’ spending was largely protected during the economic downturn due to the utility nature of most telecom services.

Internet usage is high, with the proportion of the population who are Internet users exceeding 70%. The market has moved almost completely from dial-up access to broadband, with DSL subscriptions the most popular, and boasts the highest fixed-broadband penetration level of all Eastern European countries, approaching 30%.

Widespread Internet usage has underpinned the country’s emerging Internet economy. A variety of e-commerce, e-government, e-education and e-health services are widely available. Usage rates, among the highest in the world, indicate the success of well-thought out applications and a willingness by Estonians to embrace technological innovation.

A well-developed cable TV sector has provided a strong base for infrastructure-based competition with the network of the largest cable TV operator accessible by over 50% of households. Competition in the digital pay TV market is healthy as take up of broadband TV (IPTV) and satellite pay TV is growing annually. Analogue switch-off has been brought forward from the original date of 2012 to July 2010, with a phased transition to complete switch-off currently underway.

A highly developed mobile market is evident, with seven competing GSM or WCDMA networks pushing SIM card penetration levels beyond 100%. To grow revenue service providers are focusing on increasing usage and hence revenue per subscriber, mainly in the form of minutes of use and marketing of mobile broadband services. The latter holds much promise given the current low mobile broadband penetration levels and hence strong growth potential.

Market highlights:

Estonia continues to lead Eastern Europe in fixed-broadband penetration. Competition is expected to improve after a state proposal for a nationwide FTTx network was approved in late 2009. The proposal aims to provide 90% of the population with 100Mb/s by 2012.
Broadband TV (IPTV) penetration is equal to approximately 20% of total households. Take up is likely to increase following an agreement to share programming between the incumbent IPTV provider and the region’s largest satellite pay TV operator.
Usage of online services is growing; one in six people has purchased an item online while almost one in three has used the Internet for training and education. Usage figures for e-government services is higher, with three quarters of the population obtaining public administration-related information online and over half of the population submitting completed forms online.
Four 3G mobile networks compete for customers in the mobile broadband market. Offered speeds are increasing in response to competition, with 4G LTE trials undertaken, offering speeds of up to 100Mb/s. The future growth path of mobile broadband is expected to emulate that of the mobile voice market over the coming years as the cost of access and capable handsets decrease and end-user awareness and ease of use increases.

Estonia key telecom parameters – 2009 - 2010

Sector	2009	2010 (e)
Broadband (thousand)
Fixed broadband subscribers	365	400
Fixed broadband penetration rate	28%	30%
Mobile broadband subscribers	67	93
Mobile broadband penetration rate	5%	7%
Subscribers to telecoms services (thousand)
Fixed-line telephone subscribers	496	494
Mobile phone subscribers	1,620	1,610

(Source: BuddeComm based on industry data)

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

TOP

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Key Statistics
2. Telecommunications Market
- 2.1 Overview of Estonia’s telecom market
3. Regulatory Environment
- 3.1 Background
  - 3.1.1 EU Regulatory Framework
- 3.2 Regulatory authority
- 3.3 Telecoms sector liberalisation in Estonia
  - 3.3.1 Privatisation
  - 3.3.2 Interconnect
  - 3.3.3 Access
  - 3.3.4 Carrier selection and Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  - 3.3.5 Number portability
4. Fixed Network Market
- 4.1 Overview of operators
- 4.2 Eesti Telekom (Elion)
5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
- 5.1 National telecom network
  - 5.1.1 Elion
  - 5.1.2 Alternative operators
- 5.2 Telecoms & IT
6. Wholesaling
- 6.1 Overview
7. Internet Market
- 7.1 Overview
  - 7.1.1 Internet statistics
- 7.2 Estonia’s emerging Internet society
  - 7.2.1 Estonian Information Society Strategy 2013
  - 7.2.2 Legislation
  - 7.2.3 E-government
  - 7.2.4 E-commerce
  - 7.2.5 E-education
  - 7.2.6 E-health
8. Broadband Market
- 8.1 Fixed-broadband overview
  - 8.1.1 Fixed-broadband statistics
- 8.2 Cable modems
- 8.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
- 8.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
- 8.5 Wireless broadband
  - 8.5.1 Overview
  - 8.5.2 WiFi
  - 8.5.3 WiMAX
- 8.6 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2019
  - 8.6.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
  - 8.6.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
9. Mobile Communications
- 9.1 Overview of Estonia’s mobile market
  - 9.1.1 Mobile statistics
- 9.2 Regulatory issues
  - 9.2.1 Third Generation (3G) licences
  - 9.2.2 Fourth 3G licence
  - 9.2.3 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
  - 9.2.4 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
- 9.3 Mobile technologies
  - 9.3.1 Digital
  - 9.3.2 3G mobile
- 9.4 Major mobile operators
  - 9.4.1 Eesti Mobiltelefon (EMT)
  - 9.4.2 Radiolinja Eesti/Elisa
  - 9.4.3 Tele2 Eesti
  - 9.4.4 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
- 9.5 Mobile voice services
  - 9.5.1 Prepaid cards
- 9.6 Mobile data services
  - 9.6.1 Overview
  - 9.6.2 Short Message Service (SMS)
  - 9.6.3 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
  - 9.6.4 Enhanced Data rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
  - 9.6.5 Mobile TV
  - 9.6.6 Mobile broadband
- 9.7 Mobile content and applications
  - 9.7.1 Overview
  - 9.7.2 Location-based services
  - 9.7.3 M-commerce
10. Glossary of Abbreviations

Table 1 – Country statistics Estonia – 2009
Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – 2009
Table 3 – Internet user statistics – 2009
Table 4 – Internet subscriber statistics – 2009
Table 5 – Broadband statistics – 2009
Table 6 – Mobile statistics – September 2009
Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
Table 8 – Local loop unbundling and shared access costs – 2006 - 2008
Table 9 – Eesti Telekom group – financial data – 2007 - 2009
Table 10 – Eesti Telekom group – revenue breakdown – 2007 - 2009
Table 11 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 - 2010
Table 12 – Elion PSTN/ISDN subscribers and outgoing call minutes – 2002 - 2010
Table 13 – Elion VoIP subscribers – 2007 - 2009
Table 14 – Workplace network usage by network type – 2006 - 2009
Table 15 – Wholesale lines by type – September 2009
Table 16 – Elion wholesale broadband subscribers – 2004 - 2009
Table 17 – Internet users, subscribers and penetration rates – 1998 - 2009
Table 18 – Take up of e-government services by businesses – 2004 - 2010
Table 19 – Take up of e-government services by individuals – 2004 - 2010
Table 20 – Online purchases by individuals – 2004 - 2010
Table 21 – E-education usage by individuals – 2007 - 2010
Table 22 – E-education usage by businesses – 2007 - 2010
Table 23 – Fixed-broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2009
Table 24 – Fixed-broadband subscribers by access type – January 2009
Table 25 – Elion fixed-broadband subscribers and monthly ARPU – 2006 - 2009
Table 26 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2019
Table 27 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2019
Table 28 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – September 2009
Table 29 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1998 - 2009
Table 30 – EMT subscribers and monthly ARPU – 2005 - 2009
Table 31 – Elisa – financial data – 2008 - 2009
Table 32 – Tele2 financial data – 2008 - 2009
Table 33 – Tele2 subscribers – 2007 - 2009
Table 34 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2000 - 2010
Table 35 – EMT prepaid subscribers – 2002 - 2010
Table 36 – Total SMS messages sent – 2004 - 2010
Table 37 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2010