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モノのインターネット(IoT)の無線接続と市場

Wireless IoT Connectivity Technologies and Markets

 

出版社 出版年月冊子体価格電子版価格 ページ数
Berg Insight
ベルグインサイト社
2015年10月Eur1,200Eur1,800
1-5ユーザライセンス
160

サマリー

スウェーデンの調査会社ベルグインサイト社(Berg Insight)の調査レポート「モノのインターネット(IoT)の無線接続と市場」は、モノのインターネット(IoT)の内蔵技術、ネットワーキング、アプリケーションなどの主要な動向について記載しています。モノのインターネット(IoT)のエコシステムや、無線接続技術の比較分析、半導体産業やIT産業の企業のモノのインターネット(IoT)戦略、モノのインターネット(IoT)のチップセットやモジュールの最新の企業概要、主要な垂直市場でのモノのインターネット(IoT)の採用動向とベンダの戦略、2020年までのモノのインターネット(IoT)のセルラーデバイスの市場予測などを記載しています。

Description

The global cellular IoT market performed well in 2014, displaying growth in all major world regions and vertical markets. Berg Insight estimates that shipments of cellular IOT devices will grow from 79.7 million units in 2014 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.1 percent to reach 239.7 million units in 2020. In the coming years millions of motor vehicles, utility meters, consumer electronics, security alarms and other machines will become networked. Get up to date with the latest trends from all main regions and vertical markets with this unique 160 page report.
 

Wireless IoT Connectivity Technologies and Markets summarizes the main trends in the Internet of Things covering embedded technology, networking and applications.

This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 160 pages of unique business intelligence including
5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions.

Highlights from the report:

  • 360-degree overview of the IoT ecosystem.
  • Comparison of wireless IoT connectivity technologies.
  • IoT strategies of key players in the semiconductor and IT industries.
  • Updated profiles of the main suppliers of IoT chipsets and modules.
  • Summary of adoption trends and vendor strategies in key vertical market segments.
  • Cellular IoT device market forecast until 2020

Beyond the hype – what is the reality of IoT?

Berg Insight estimates that 5.9 billion products with embedded microprocessors were sold worldwide in 2014. IoT is about networking these products as well as new device categories that can benefit from connectivity. Consumer products account for the vast majority of devices with embedded connectivity. Small appliances account for a third of the volume or roughly 2.0 billion units. Other top five categories are toys 1.0 billion, home entertainment 0.8 billion, HVAC equipment and controls 0.4 billion and home appliances 0.3 billion. Utility meters and motor vehicles are other significant categories with 0.2 billion and 0.1 billion units respectively.

Berg Insight firmly believes that the main growth segments in the IoT market until 2020 will be established products which sell in significant volumes and incorporate some form of microprocessor technology. Devices and things that do not have any form of digital intelligence today may only represent significant opportunities in the longer term, as greenfield applications normally need considerable time to reach maturity. Consumer oriented products will dominate in terms of volume as few industrial or enterprise products are produced in very large quantities. Potential exceptions are smart infrastructure (e.g. smart cities and intelligent traffic systems) and smart agriculture. Governments and local authorities may propose the deployment of massive sensor networks for resource management, security, safety, environment, traffic and other needs. Such projects will however inevitably become highly complex, expensive, controversial and difficult to implement. The likelihood for any project announced in 2016 to become fully implemented by 2020 is therefore close to zero. Smart agriculture falls into the same category. Some best practices for improved efficiency in the farming and forestry industries using connected sensors will be developed until the end of this decade. Implementing them at full scale will however take several decades and requires massive financial support from governments. Berg Insight has identified six primary segments that are mainly consumer related and meet the mentioned criteria: energy meters, automotive, home appliances, HVAC equipment & controls, home entertainment and lighting. Moreover, connected wearables are by definition included among the major application categories.

The diversity of the market is reflected in the fragmentation among IoT networking technologies due to the broad variety of application environments, communication needs and cost constraints. IoT comprises everything from premium cars with the computing power of hundreds of microprocessors powered by an engine to low-cost sensors based on basic microcontrollers running on coin-cell batteries. One size does not fit all and therefore fragmentation will remain.

Cellular technologies have a prominent role in the IoT market, enabling high value applications with significant data requirements. 2G technologies have dominated cellular IoT for many years, but recently there has been a rapid transition to 3G/4G, starting in North America and parts of Asia-Pacific. LTE Rel-13, due for publication in January 2016, will include several new enhancements that will facilitate the migration of IoT applications to 4G networks. The first set of enhancements are referred to as LTE-M, which defines a new low complexity device category type that supports reduced bandwidth, reduced transmit power, reduced support for downlink transmission modes, ultra-long battery life via power consumption reduction techniques and extended coverage operation. As a complement to LTE-M, a new narrowband radio technology called NB-IOT will be defined to provide improved indoor coverage, support of massive number of low-throughput, low-delay sensitivity, ultra-low device cost, lower device power consumption, and optimized network architecture. NB-IOT has good prospects to bridge the gap between cellular and emerging LPWA technologies such as Sigfox and LoRA.

Another major group of wireless technologies relevant for IoT is wireless local area and personal area networks (WLAN/PAN). Established and emerging standards such as Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, ZigBee and Thread play a key role for networking in homes, buildings and other facilities. International standard organisations and their standards are important for the ecosystem by establishing common foundations for technologies and device interoperability. The adoption of various technologies and standards also depends on which type of network architecture they are designed for as different end-users and applications have very diverse requirements. Radio frequency availability is yet another important factor.

This report answers the following questions:

  • How will the wireless IoT technology market evolve over the next five years?
  • What are the base requirements for adding connectivity to a device?
  • Which vertical markets will become successful and which will fail?
  • What drives the development of IoT value propositions from global OEMs and consumer brands?
  • Why are the new standards LTE-M and NB-IOT so significant for the cellular IoT ecosystem?
  • What are the prospects for emerging LPWA technology standards?
  • What is the positioning of short-range technologies like Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, ZigBee and Thread in IoT?

 



目次

Executive summary

1 Embedded systems and the Internet of Things
1.1 Introduction to embedded systems
1.1.1 Market figures and key segments
1.1.2 Technology trends
1.1.3 Business and adoption trends
1.2 Embedded application environments
1.2.1 Embedded hardware and chipsets
1.2.2 Embedded software and applications
1.2.3 End-to-end application platforms and solutions
1.3 Embedded connectivity and the Internet of Things

2 Wireless IoT connectivity technologies
2.1 Wireless technologies and standards
2.1.1 International standard organisations
2.1.2 Network architectures
2.1.3 Unlicensed and licensed frequency bands
2.2 Cellular technologies
2.2.1 2G/3G networks
2.2.2 4G networks
2.2.3 LTE-M and NB-IOT
2.3 LPWA and satellite technologies
2.3.1 Proprietary and semi-proprietary LPWA technologies
2.3.2 LoRa
2.3.3 Sigfox
2.3.4 Ingenu
2.3.5 Wi-SUN
2.3.6 Weightless
2.3.7 Satellite technologies
2.4 WLAN/WPAN technologies
2.4.1 Wi-Fi
2.4.2 Bluetooth
2.4.3 ZigBee
2.4.4 WirelessHART
2.4.5 Thread
2.4.6 Z-Wave
2.4.7 ULE
2.4.8 DSRC

3 Semiconductor companies and module vendors
3.1 Semiconductor industry players
3.1.1 ARM Holdings
3.1.2 Intel
3.1.3 Qualcomm
3.1.4 Atmel
3.1.5 Broadcom
3.1.6 Cypress
3.1.7 Dialog Semiconductor
3.1.8 Marvell
3.1.9 Mediatek
3.1.10 Microchip
3.1.11 NXP Semiconductors
3.1.12 Renesas
3.1.13 Samsung Electronics
3.1.14 STMicroelectronics
3.1.15 Texas Instruments
3.1.16 Toshiba Semiconductors
3.1.17 Altair Semiconductors
3.1.18 GreenPeak Technologies
3.1.19 Nordic Semiconductor
3.1.20 SemTech
3.1.21 Sequans Communications
3.1.22 Silicon Labs
3.2 Cellular M2M/IoT module vendors
3.2.1 Sierra Wireless
3.2.2 Gemalto M2M
3.2.3 Telit
3.2.4 u-blox
3.2.5 SIMCom
3.2.6 Quectel
3.2.7 Huawei
3.2.8 ZTE WeLink
3.2.9 Fibocom
3.2.10 Other cellular module vendors
3.3 WLAN/WPAN M2M/IoT module vendors
3.3.1 Adeunis RF
3.3.2 Advantech
3.3.3 Bluegiga
3.3.4 Digi International
3.3.5 GainSpan
3.3.6 Ingenu
3.3.7 Laird Technologies
3.3.8 Lantronix
3.3.9 Linear Technology
3.3.10 Murata
3.3.11 NWave Technologies
3.3.12 Radiocrafts
3.3.13 Sigma Designs
3.3.14 Silex Technology

4 Key vertical markets
4.1 Automotive & Industrial
4.1.1 OEM automotive
4.1.2 Aftermarket automotive
4.1.3 Industrial automation
4.2 Infrastructure
4.2.1 Smart grids
4.2.2 Smart cities
4.2.3 Intelligent traffic systems
4.3 Consumer & Home
4.3.1 IoT platforms for the consumer market
4.3.2 Smart homes and building automation
4.3.3 Consumer electronics, small appliances and toys

5 Market analysis and forecasts
5.1 IoT market analysis
5.1.1 Insights from the US IoT market
5.1.2 Market positioning of major network technologies
5.2 Cellular technologies
5.2.1 Cellular IoT device shipments
5.2.2 Vertical markets
5.2.3 Regional markets
5.2.4 Technology standards
5.3 LPWA technologies
5.4 WLAN/WPAN technologies

Glossary

 

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プレスリリース

Berg Insight says connected LEDs will shape the consumer IOT market

2015-10-16

A new report from the M2M/IoT analyst firm Berg Insight ranks connected LEDs as the most promising vertical market segment in IoT. The global shift from inefficient traditional light bulbs to energy saving LED technology is creating a massive window of opportunity for adding connectivity to the next generation of lighting systems. Between 2014 and 2023, the global share of lamps sold based on LED technology is expected to rise from 15 percent to 74 percent. Over the same period the market value is expected to fall by 30 percent due to price deterioration and longer product lifespan. Berg Insight believes that the global lighting industry will respond to these challenging conditions by adding connectivity features to mass-market products. “There are currently some 40 billion lamp sockets worldwide and by the next decade, three out of four new lamps installed will be LEDs. Once you add connectivity to this equation, you will have the number one volume application for IoT”, says Tobias Ryberg, Senior Analyst, Berg Insight. Using the US as an example, Mr Ryberg points out that nearly 2 billion lamps will be sold in the country this year. By comparison, the combined sales of home entertainment devices and household appliances were less than 200 million units. He also expects that connected LEDs will become widely adopted for street lighting but since the total installed base in the US is less than 100 million, yearly shipments will most likely not exceed 10 million units. Mr Ryberg believes that connected LED solutions will have a major impact on the popularity of competing wireless technology standards for the smart home. “The key question is how consumers will interact with connected LEDs” he concludes. “If the preferred method is to use the smartphone as remote for controlling lamps in the near proximity, Bluetooth has a very strong chance to win the segment. If on the other hand all lights are integrated into a smart home network, 802.15.4 technologies such as ZigBee and Thread will have a very bright future.”


Berg Insight says LTE will become the leading technology for cellular IoT devices in 2019

2015-10-15

A new research report from Berg Insight predicts that LTE will become the leading technology for cellular IoT devices in 2019. Berg Insight forecasts that global shipments of cellular IoT devices will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.1 percent to reach 239.7 million units in 2020. LTE device shipments started to take off in 2015 and are expected to surpass GPRS devices in four years’ time. “2G is still growing rapidly in emerging markets and has a clear cost advantage in Europe. The economics of 4G is however dramatically improved with LTE Cat-0 and the upcoming LTE-M standard. Once these are in place there will be no more significant barriers left against migration from 2G”, says Tobias Ryberg, Senior Analyst, Berg Insight and author of the report. As a result of the direct move from 2G to 4G, Berg Insight believes that 3G will only serve as an interim technology in cellular IoT. Annual shipments of 3G cellular IoT devices are predicted to peak in 2018. Instead the main alternative to 4G cellular technologies will be Low Power Wide Area (LPWA) networking technologies. Berg Insight believes that the 3GPP’s recent initiative to define a new narrowband radio technology for IoT (NB-IOT) is highly significant and creates a unique opportunity for the mobile industry to include a new set of applications into its domain. “A global universal standard for lightweight IoT communication on public networks is essential for driving the market forward”, concludes Mr Ryberg.

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