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Evolved EDGEのインフラ、加入者、チップセット、端末の市場予測

Evolved EDGE
Infrastructure, Subscriber, Chipset, and Handset Forecasts

 

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ABI リサーチ 2009年12月お問い合わせください 3437

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EDGE Evolution(EDGEをさらに高速化したもの)、またはEDGE 2として知られているEvolved EDGE(Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution)は、GSM/GPRS/EDGE標準ファミリーの新規格であり、現在のEDGE規格により高速なデータ通信速度をもたらす規格である。3GPPによって開発されたが、近年この規格は注目されていなかった。この調査レポートは、この規格の従来と最新の発展を調査し、利点と不利点、この技術が広範に採用される際のポジショニングと可能性、注目すべき主要な市場などを記載している。地域や主要な国毎のE-EDGE基地局のCAPEXとE-EDGE端末の収益、E-EDGEチップセットの収益、E-EDGE加入者数を記載している。

Evolved EDGE, also know as EDGE Evolution or EDGE II is a standard following the GSM/GPRS/EDGE standard family which would bring data speed increases to the current EDGE standard. It has been developed by 3GPP, but in recent years there has been silence about anything regarding this standard.
This study covers the previous and recent developments in the standard, its advantages and disadvantages, where it is going, its position and potential as a widely deployable technology, and the key markets to watch. All forecasts assume an optimistic scenario for conditions promoting the technology's adoption. Information includes E-EDGE base station upgrade CAPEX by region and key country, handset revenue by region and key country, E-EDGE chipset revenue, and E-EDGE subscribers.

What Questions Does This Report Answer?

  • What have been recent developments in Evolved EDGE?
  • What are some handset manufacturers and infrastructure vendors' positions on this standard?
  • What could prevent this standard's adoption?
  • Towards which segment of the market would this standard be aimed?

Who Needs This Report?

  • Service providers with extensive EDGE networks
  • Infrastructure vendors
  • Mobile handset vendors


目次

Executive Summary: Top-Line Forecast
Executive Summary: Drivers
Executive Summary: Inhibitors
Executive Summary: Summary and Strategic Recommendations

Section 1.
Executive Summary


Section 2.
Evolved Edge Overview


2.1. E-EDGE Standard
2.2. E-EDGE in the GSM Roadmap
2.3. Extending the life of 2G
2.4. Market Drivers
2.4.1. Use of Existing Spectrum
2.4.2. CAPEX Compared to 3G
2.4.3. 2G CAPEX In Light of 3G and 4G Solutions
2.4.4. Existing User Base
2.4.5. Cost of E-EDGE Devices
2.5. Market Barriers
2.5.1. Lack of Devices
2.5.2. Lack of Chipsets
2.6. Trials

Section 3.
Market Issues


3.1. Standard Strategies
3.1.1. E-EDGE as a Way of Skipping Over 3G
3.1.2. E-EDGE and 3G Coexistence
3.2. Handsets

Section 4.
Key Industry Players


4.1. Mobile Operators
4.1.1. China Mobile
4.1.2. Vodacom
4.2. Infrastructure Vendors
4.2.1. Ericsson
4.2.2. Nokia Siemens Networks
4.2.3. ZTE
4.3. Chipset Vendors
4.3.1. Icera
4.3.2. ST-Ericsson
4.4. Handset vendors
4.4.1. Nokia
4.4.2. Research In Motion (RIM)

Section 5.
Market Forecasts


5.1. Coverage Overview
5.2. Methodology
5.3. EDGE and E-EDGE Base Station Forecasts
5.4. E-EDGE Handset Forecasts
5.5. E-EDGE Chipset Forecasts
5.6. E-EDGE Subscriber Forecast

Section 6.
Company Directory

Acronyms
Scope of Study
Sources and Methodology
Notes


Tables

  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX and Handset Revenue by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX and Handset Revenue by Key Country, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Key Country, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • EDGE Base Station Installed Base Capable of E-EDGE Upgrades by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade Cost Per Base Station, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Shipments by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Shipments by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset ASPs Class, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Revenue by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Revenue by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Chipset Shipments - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Chipset ASP, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Chipset Revenue - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Subscribers by Region - Optimistic Scenario,

Charts

  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX and Handset Revenue by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Key Country, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • EDGE Base Station Installed Base Capable of E-EDGE Upgrades by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Installed Base by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade Cost Per Base Station, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Shipments by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Shipments by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset ASPs Class, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Revenue by Region - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Handset Revenue by Key Country - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Chipset Shipments - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Chipset ASP, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Chipset Revenue - Optimistic Scenario, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015
  • E-EDGE Subscibers by Region - Optimistic Scenario,
  • E-EDGE Base Station Upgrade CAPEX and Handset Revenue by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2015

 

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プレスリリース

E-EDGE: A Mobile Network Wildcard

NEW YORK - December 23, 2009
E-EDGE could be big, if it fulfils its potential. The “Evolved” enhancement of today’s widespread EDGE mobile networks could be generating nearly $3.7 billion in CAPEX for cellular base station upgrades in 2015, if operators and handset makers adopt the technology.

However that is by no means certain. Although the spectrally-efficient Evolved-EDGE includes data features and faster data speeds, no E-EDGE networks exist today, and the existence of the required E-EDGE-enabled handsets is officially still just a rumor.

According to ABI Research analyst Xavier Ortiz, E-EDGE is a classic “chicken and egg” problem: “Handset vendors don’t want to make E-EDGE phones unless there’s a market guaranteed by E-EDGE networks. And operators won’t upgrade their EDGE networks unless they are confident handsets will be available.”

RIM, he reports, says it is “pushing the egg to see if the chicken pops out.” The BlackBerry maker has been a driving force in establishment and promotion of the standard, which it sees as having the potential to bring mobile broadband to rural and suburban areas poorly covered by 3G and 4G networks. RIM believes E-EDGE’s speed and efficiency will translate to a good user experience that won’t saturate network capacity.

With 3G networks quite prevalent in industrialized nations and 4G soon to make its grand entrance, is E-EDGE facing a closing window of opportunity? That may be the case in regions enjoying good broadband coverage, but much of the world does not. That’s why decisions by China Mobile and operators in India are crucial to the future of E-EDGE. If they decide it’s worth adopting, E-EDGE will take off rapidly.

The relative newness of those nations’ cellular infrastructure may work in E-EDGE’s favor, because while older GPRS/GSM base stations will require a hardware upgrade, more recently-built ones can be upgraded in software as part of regular maintenance.

ABI Research’s new “Evolved EDGE” study covers the previous and recent developments in the standard, its advantages and disadvantages, and the key markets to watch. Information includes E-EDGE base station upgrade CAPEX by region and key country, handset revenue by region and key country, E-EDGE chipset revenue, and E-EDGE subscribers.

It is included in three ABI Research Services: 4G, Mobile Networks and Mobile Devices.

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