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4Gスマートフォン:WiMAX、LTE、4Gの半導体、スペクトラム、市場

4G Smartphones
WiMAX, LTE, 4G ICs, Spectrum, and Markets

 

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ABI リサーチ 2011年10月お問い合わせください 5555

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4G スマートフォン 無料メルマガ

4G機能のあるモバイルデバイスは、プレミアムサービスや製品を提供する携帯電話会社、装置のOEM、ICベンダ、ネツトワーク設備ベンダ、コンテンツ会社にとっての、主要な次世代のプラットフォームとして、ビジネスチャンスとなり初めている。4G機能のあるデバイスセグメントはますます増加しているものの、スマートフォンは、既存や新規の企業にとって最大で最重要なデバイスセグメントであり続けるだろう。4G機能のあるスマートフォン出荷数は、他のデバイスを大きく上回ると予測されており、4Gの収益機会を模索する製品やサービスのための設計選択や技術パスに非常に大きく影響するだろう。この調査レポートは、LTEやWiMAXなどの新しい4Gスマートフォン市場の参加者が直面する主要な促進要因と阻害要因を調査している。携帯端末のOEMや帯域幅割当てに関する考察と、それらが4Gチップセットの設計に与える影響についても注目している。地域毎と国毎の予測によって、4Gスマートフォンと4G半導体ベンダの市場価値の潜在性を示唆している。

4G capable mobile devices are beginning to emerge as the next major platform opportunity for mobile operators, device OEMs, IC vendors, network equipment vendors, and content companies to deliver premium services and products. Despite the growing number of 4G capable device segments, the smartphone will remain the largest and most important device segment for incumbents and new entrants to address. The projected shipment volumes of 4G smartphones far surpass all other device opportunities and will greatly affect the design choices and technology paths of products and services looking to cash in on the 4G opportunity.This report highlights key drivers and barriers faced by market participants in the emerging 4G (LTE & WiMAX) smartphone markets. Handset OEMs, spectrum allocation considerations, and their effect on the design of 4G chipsets are highlighted and discussed. Regional and country level forecasts demonstrate the potential market value for 4G smartphones and 4G IC vendors.

What Questions Does This Report Answer?

  • What are the key barriers and drivers of 4G smartphone uptake?
  • Who are currently the key stakeholding handset OEMs for 4G smartphones?
  • How do spectrum concerns affect 4G smartphone design and business models?
  • Which 4G standards are likely to offer the best market opportunity?
  • How will the emerging smartphone market affect 4G IC design?

Who Needs This Report?

  • Mobile operators
  • MVNO's
  • Handset IC vendors
  • Handset OEMs
  • Executive Brief

  • Top Line Forecast
  • Drivers
  • Inhibitors
  • Market Share
  • Summary and Strategic Recommendations

 



目次


Section 1.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


1.1. Key Market Drivers
1.2. Key Market Barriers
1.3. Operator Recommendations
1.4. Smartphone OEM Recommendations
1.5. 4G IC Vendor Recommendations
1.6. 4G Smartphone Market Forecast Summary

Section 2.
MARKET DRIVERS AND BARRIERS


2.1. Market Drivers for 4G Smartphones
2.2. Mobile Operator Evolving Business Models
2.3. 4G Smartphones as Mobile Hotspots
2.4. Improving and Enabling Legacy 3G Applications
2.5. Smartphone Application Ecosystems and 4G Service Development
2.6. Mobile Data Capacity Crunch
2.7. Handset Subsidization
2.8. Market Barriers for 4G Smartphones
2.9. Limited Deployments
2.10. Lack of Roaming Agreements
2.11. 4G IP Uncertainty
2.12. LTE Spectrum Band Fragmentation
2.13. Tiered Data Plans
2.14. Outdated Billing/OSS
2.15. Consumer Understanding of 4G - "Faux G"
2.16. Strategic Recommendations - Operators
2.17. Strategic Recommendations - Smartphone OEMs
2.18. Strategic Recommendations - IC Vendors

Section 3.
MARKET CONSIDERATIONS


3.1. 4G Wholesale and MVNO Markets
3.2. WiMAX Chipset Integration
3.3. LTE Chipset Integration
3.4. Frequency Bands and Antenna Design Constraints
3.5. WiMAX to TD-LTE Migration

Section 4.
SPECTRUM CONSIDERATIONS


4.1. What is 4G?
4.2. LTE
4.3. Regional LTE Subscriptions
4.4. Regional TD-LTE Subscriptions
4.5. WiMAX Spectrum Availability
4.6. Regional WiMAX Subscriptions

Section 5.
KEY INDUSTRY PLAYERS


5.1. Beceem Communications (acquired by Broadcom)
5.2. GCT Semiconductor Inc
5.3. LG Electronics
5.4. Marvell Semiconductors Inc
5.5. MediaTek Inc
5.6. Qualcomm Inc
5.7. Samsung Electronics Co Ltd
5.8. Sequans Communications
5.9. ST-Ericsson

Section 6.
MARKET FORECASTS


6.1. Smartphone Definition
6.2. WWAN/Wi-Fi Routers (i.e., Mobile Hotspot Routers)
6.3. Notes on Methodology
6.4. Smartphone Forecasts
6.5. 4G Smartphone IC Forecasts
6.6. Smartphone OEMs

Section 7.
COMPANY DIRECTORY


Section 8.
ACRONYMS


8.1. Scope of Study
8.2. Sources and Methodology
8.3. Notes


45 Tables

* 表の部分売りが可能です。データリソースまでお問合せください。(電話:03-3582-2531、Eメール:office@dri.co.jp)

1
4G Wholesale Subscriptions by Device Segment, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
2
WiMAX Chipset ASP, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
3
WiMAX Device Shipments by Segment, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
4
LTE Chipset ASP, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
5
LTE Device Shipments by Segment, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
6
LTE Antenna Spacing Requirements by Frequency, World Market, 2011
7
LTE Key Frequency Bands, World Market, 2011
8
WiMAX Key Frequency Bands, World Market, 2011
9
Regional LTE Subscriptions, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
10
Regional TD-LTE Subscriptions, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
11
Regional WiMAX Subscriptions, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
12
Smartphone Shipments by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
13
Smartphone Wholesale ASP by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
14
Smartphone Revenues by Region, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
15
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
16
4G Smartphone ASP by Air Interface, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
17
4G Smartphone Revenues by Air Interface, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
18
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, West Europe, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
19
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, East Europe, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
20
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Asia-Pacific, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
21
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, North America, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
22
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Latin America, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
23
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Middle East, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
24
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Africa, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
25
LTE Smartphone Chipset Shipments by Mode, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
26
WiMAX Smartphone Chipset Shipments by Mode, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
27
LTE Smartphone Chipset Revenues, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
28
WiMAX Smartphone Chipset Revenues, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
29
4G Smartphone IC Shipments by 4G Band Count, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
30
4G Smartphone Device Specifications, World Market, 2011
31
4G Smartphone IC Specifications, World Market, 2011
32
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Japan, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
33
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, China, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
34
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, India, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
35
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, South Korea, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
36
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Australia, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
37
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, UK, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
38
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Germany, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
39
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Italy, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
40
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, France, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
41
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Spain, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
42
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Canada, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
43
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, United States, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
44
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, Mexico, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
45
4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface, South Africa, Forecast: 2010 to 2016


9 Charts
  • Regional LTE Subscriptions
  • Regional WiMAX Subscriptions
  • Regional TD-LTE Subscriptions
  • WiMAX Device Shipments by Segment
  • LTE Device Shipments by Segment
  • 4G Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface
  • 4G Penetration of Smartphone Shipments
  • 4G Penetration of Smartphone Shipments, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  • 4G Smartphone Shipment Forecast by Technology


1 Figures
  • LTE Antenna Design Constraints

 

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プレスリリース

Business and Technology Complications Keep 4G Smartphones to Just 25% of the Volume in Five Years

NEW YORK - October 10, 2011
Shipments of 4G smartphones are expected to grow from 4.6 million in 2010 to 245 million in 2016. LTE smartphone shipments will surpass WiMAX smartphones in 2011 and grow at a 72% CAGR over the forecast period. Senior mobile devices analyst, Michael Morgan, notes, “Nearly all of the world’s mobile operators, including the largest, are supporting LTE. It is an important driver for the LTE ecosystem that dwarfs any other drivers of 4G in general or of WiMAX and LTE, specifically.”

4G smartphones are emerging as the next major platform opportunity for mobile operators, device OEMs, IC vendors, network equipment vendors, and content companies. Despite the growing number of 4G-capable device segments, smartphones will remain the largest and most important device segment for incumbents and new entrants. Shipment volumes of 4G smartphones will far surpass all other device segments and will greatly affect the design choices and technology paths of products and services looking to cash in on the 4G opportunity.

Initial 4G smartphones are being brought to market to fulfill strong operator demand in spite of numerous technological and business concerns that have yet to be fully addressed. As the 4G device ecosystem charges forward, questions around spectrum allocation and alignment loom over operators and device OEMs seeking to maximize their addressable markets and achieve economies of scale. Despite the superior spectrum alignment and lower component costs of WiMAX technologies, operators are supporting LTE smartphones and hoping that LTE eventually delivers the most robust device ecosystem.

“Mobile operators prefer to support LTE over WiMAX since it makes the most sense strategically to put their weight behind the technology that is best suited to maintaining the status quo among wireless network incumbents,” says Kevin Burden, vice president and practice director, mobile networks.

ABI Research’s new report, “4G Smartphones,” highlights key drivers and barriers faced by market participants in the emerging 4G (LTE & WiMAX) smartphone markets. Regional and country level forecasts demonstrate the potential market value for 4G smartphones and 4G IC vendors.

It is part of ABI Research’s Smartphones and Mobile Devices Research Service.

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